annual domestic primary energy consumption. The‘economic’ potential of renewable energy (i.e. theamount of generation, which is commerciallyfeasible, taking account of costs for renewable andfossil fuel generating, etc.) depends on severalfactors: current state of the economy; cost,availability and quality of fossil fuel energyresources; electricity and heating prices in thecountry and its regions; distribution of technologycapabilities between regions; etc. Potential changeswith time and should be specifically assessed aspart of preparation and implementation of specificprogrammes and projects for renewable energy. Atpresent the economic potential is about 300 tonnesof fuel equivalent per year (which is 30% of annualprimary energy consumption in <strong>Russia</strong>).There are several reasons for verylimited use of renewables in <strong>Russia</strong> atpresent: high capital costs of renewableenergy plants; lack of specific mechanisms ofstate funding and support, and need forhighly skilled staff; and lack of informationabout availability and economic potential ofrenewables among government, businessand the general public.Abundance of fossil fuels and surplusgenerating capacity in <strong>Russia</strong> might be added tothe factors, which discourage development ofrenewables.There are many opportunities forefficient use of renewables in <strong>Russia</strong> today.<strong>Russia</strong> is rich in sources of renewable energy,which could be harnessed using moderntechnologies. In particular, renewable sourcescould be used for non-grid electricity suppliesand as local energy sources for heating.Practically all <strong>Russia</strong>n regions have at leastone or two forms of renewable energy that arecommercially viable, and most regions have severalforms. These resources include: small rivers,agriculture and forestry waste, peat deposits, windand solar resources and low-grade heat energy ofthe earth. In some cases, renewable energy is morecost-effective than use of fossil fuels (when supplyof the latter is costly and unreliable).About 10 million people in <strong>Russia</strong> are notconnected to electricity grids and are currentlyserved by stand-alone generating systems usingeither diesel fuel or gasoline. Nearly half of thesediesel and gasoline systems are unreliablebecause of fuel delivery problems and/or highfuel costs. Remote northern and Far East regionsare supplied with fuel by rail or road, andsometimes by helicopter. Some areas receivewinter supplies by sea or river during the summeras water routes in <strong>Russia</strong> are only navigableduring limited periods. Fuel deliveries aretherefore unreliable and expensive.Non-grid electricity supplies usingrenewable energy have proved to be costefficientin many countries, since they dispensewith (often high) costs of creating transmissionlines. In <strong>Russia</strong> a number of solutions could beefficient: hybrid wind-and-diesel systems,biomass boilers, and small hydro power plants,could all be competitive in comparison withconventional technologies using fossil fuels.Heat and hot water could also beprovided to households using renewables.Specific opportunities are as follows:• Direct use of geothermal energy for heatingof buildings, hot water production,temperature control in greenhouses, cropdrying, etc., is commercially viable inKamchatka, the North Caucasus and otherregions with large geothermal resources;• Changeover of district boiler facilities fromfuel, delivered over large distances, tobiomass boilers (using local agriculture andforestry waste);• Use of solar collectors would be efficient insouthern regions of <strong>Russia</strong>.Heat pump technology, which is widelyused in many countries, deserves special attention.It enables conversion of renewable low-grade heatinto heat, which is usable for heating of premises,with a conversion rate of 4-6 or more. Examples oflow-grade heat sources include: purified water fromaeration plants in large cities, which hastemperature of 16-22°C; circulating water used inturbine condensers at power stations, which hasaverage year-round temperature of 12-25°C; warmwater in abandoned coal mines; geothermal waters;sea water on the Black Sea coast and other water112 National Human Development <strong>Report</strong> in the <strong>Russia</strong>n Federation 2009
odies; outdoor air; rocks and soil; solar installationsand energy recovery systems. The strategic goalshould be to manufacture heat pumps in <strong>Russia</strong>,and create the regulatory and engineering support,which could enable large-scale application of thesetechnologies in coming years.In many countries renewable energytechnologies (photoelectric solar elements, smallwind turbines, etc.) have also proven to be morecost-effective than conventional energy sources incertain industrial applications. The number of suchapplications is growing and includes: marine/rivertransport; cathodic protection of pipelines and wellheads; power for off-shore oil and gas platforms;power for telecommunications; and many otherapplications. The list of renewable energyapplications in industry is long and is beingconstantly added to. As well as generatingelectricity in specific circumstances at relativelylower costs, industrial use of renewable creates anew market for renewable energy, stimulatingfaster development of innovative technologies fornon-standard uses.<strong>Russia</strong> has considerable potential forindustrial applications of renewable energy, butits current use is extremely limited. Renewableenergy should be used in <strong>Russia</strong> to reduceenvironmental load in cities and towns withenvironmental problems, as well as in recreationand resort areas and specially protected naturalsites. Use of renewables should be a key aspectof innovation-based development in <strong>Russia</strong>nscience, technology and the power sector.<strong>Russia</strong>n technologies in the field ofrenewable energy are already comparable toforeign technologies in their construction andfunction. <strong>Russia</strong> has enormous experience in theconstruction and use of small hydropower plants(less than 25 MW capacity), and technologylevels in tidal and geothermal energy are aheadof the EU and US. But western countries areahead of <strong>Russia</strong> in development of windturbines, solar cells and heat pumps.Most <strong>Russia</strong>n technologies are at the R&Dor testing stage, while similar western technologieshave already been commercialized to a greater orlesser extent, enabling production of electricitywith a huge price discount to traditionalgenerating. If <strong>Russia</strong> can develop a viable domesticmarket for renewable energy technologies basedon the considerable technical and scientificexperience, which it already has, this would kickstartlarge-scale renewable generating.The cost issue is the most crucial factorfor development of renewable energy. The twomain indicators, which determine efficiency, areinitial cost of building renewable power plantsand cost of electricity produced by these plants.Per unit capital costs, as well as cost ofelectricity generation, is significantly lower forpower plants, which use traditional sources ofenergy, than for renewable energy power plants.Cost of electricity produced usingrenewables consists mainly (92%) of capitalinvestments, while operating costs of renewableenergy installations is much lower than that of fuelfiredor nuclear plants, and their ‘fuel’ is free. Costsof electricity production using renewables are notsensitive to fluctuations on energy markets.Share of the fuel component in the saleprice of electricity produced at coal-firedplants is 36% and it is as high as 64% for gasfiredplants. Sustained rise of prices for fossilfuels (particularly oil) is bound to makerenewable energy increasingly competitive, asthe cost of electricity produced fromrenewable energy sources will approach thecost of electricity from conventional powerplants. Since renewable energy isenvironment-friendly and has otheradvantages over conventional power, there isbound to be increasing demand for ‘cleanelectricity’ in developed countries over comingyears, and renewable energy will become fullycompetitive in many countries.However, it is not hard to grasp whyinvestors are skeptical and reluctant to invest indevelopment of alternative energies. Theycannot see the sense of investing heavily inrelatively expensive facilities, future prospects forwhich are not entirely clear, when investments infuel-fired and nuclear power plants offerguaranteed returns. However, there are manyexamples of economic breakthroughs by new113
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National Human Development Reportin
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National Human Development Reportin
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSThe authors express
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Dear Reader,You have before you the
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PREFACEThis is the 13 th National H
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country’s fuel & energy regions r
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environmental degradation and enhan
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Chapter 1The Energy Sector,the Econ
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By 2008 Russia had increased its sh
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the share of energy in the national
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exported, increased. However, this
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elimination of structural and terri
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• Establishment of competitive me
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number of developed countries, incl
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Although the United Nations Climate
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industrial region of the Urals - Sv
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2.2. Budget capacityand structure o
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(the Federal State Statistics Servi
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Immigration by young and highly ski
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energy regions exacerbate the incom
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Khanty-Mansi and Yamal-Nenets Auton
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the Ministry for Regional Developme
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various other long-term problems in
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is also associated with the fuel an
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Republic of Mordovia 8051 0.732 68.
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Legislative control of impact audit
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Chapter 3Personal Incomes, the Ener
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than any other sources of income -
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Are wages now the main instrument f
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comparison of month-on-month develo
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• The unemployed, people who aree
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Attachment to Chapter 4Volga Federa
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Attachment to Chapter 4Belovo Belov
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The previous National Human Develop