Part 1 - AL-Tax
Part 1 - AL-Tax Part 1 - AL-Tax
Chapter 3share borders or be geographically closer but, rather, are closer by some economic considerations(which may include geographic proximity, certainly).6. Equation (3.6) models these exogenous-external conditions as common to all units (N.B. no subscripti) but, generally, they will at least correlate across units.7. Another common spatial-lag specification, frequently used to specify contiguity, leader-emulation,or cultural-connection mechanisms of interdependence, for example, is to consider outcomesfrom unit or set of units j, but not the outcomes from other units, to diffuse to the outcome in i.For example, only outcomes from countries with similar religious or political heritage diffuse.This implies the weights are 1 (for sums; 1/(N 1) for averages) or 0, so diffusion either occursfrom some j to some i or it does not, but otherwise the math is the same.8. Furthermore, PCSEs did not seem to help much in this last regard.9. The latter is not so much difficult as computationally intensive. These two methods are the oneswe explored and most commonly discussed, but are not exhaustive of those potentially capableof returning ‘good’ estimates of β and ρ.10. The exogenous-external factors may seem not to satisfy the intuitive statement of valid instrumentsbecause they enter both domestic- and foreign-country tax policies. However, they enter bothexogenously so, although they do not provide much leverage or power to the instrumentation –they do so only insofar as they are domestic-context conditioned and this context conditioningcorrelates (exogenously) across countries – they are nonetheless valid.11. On the other hand, Persson and Tabellini (2000) discussed just such ‘strategic delegation’ as oneimplication of their model. Voters in one country have incentives to support a citizen-candidateof greater or lesser capital-labor endowment than themselves precisely because they internalizethe effect on their own capital-tax rates of foreign elections.12. Asymptotic efficiency should not at all be confused with efficiency. The former is an extremelyweak property, stating only that as sample sizes approach infinity estimates become the mostefficient ones and nothing at all necessarily about the relative or absolute efficiency of the estimatesalong the path they follow as sample sizes approach infinity. Furthermore, if one had infinitesamples, efficiency would be virtually irrelevant.13. The latter of the two parts of (b) is of course the usual regressor-exogeneity assumption necessaryto the unbiasedness and consistency of all LS estimators. However, violation of it alone producesbiased and inconsistent estimates of β, not of ρ (except insofar as bias in the formerinduces bias in the latter, which, by usual induced-bias intuition, only occurs in some dampenedproportion to the degree to which a typical single country’s domestic X correlates with theforeign y in its spatial lag, which is not usually very much).14. The capital-endowment data are from the Penn World Tables. Hays used the capital stock perworker in 1965 as a measure of each country’s initial capital endowment.15. While Hays’s regression models allowed for tax competition, his theoretical model made asmall-country assumption and so did not, because the global after-tax return to capital is exogenousto small countries. Tax competition is not inconsistent with his theory, but Hays’s originalfocus is on strategic interaction (among producer groups) within countries rather than on taxcompetition between countries.16. Table 3.2 reports the original estimates as well.17. Neither Hays nor Basinger and Hallerberg reported results that included period dummies.(Period dummies are a simple method to control for common shocks.) This is problematic in69
International Taxation Handbookthat if common shock variables are underspecified, estimated coefficients on spatially weightedvariables are likely to be inflated (Franzese and Hays, 2004, 2006). However, Basinger andHallerberg argued that period dummies create a multicolinearity problem for their models.Distinguishing common shocks from uniform, 1/(N 1), diffusion is especially difficult, andFranzese and Hays (2003) argued that such period dummies may also create a spatial-Hurwicz/Nickell bias in the estimates for spatial-lag coefficients. Whether the benefits of perioddummies outweigh the costs is ambiguous and probably should be assessed on a case-by-casebasis.18. Row standardization replaces the ones in each country’s row in the weighting matrix with 1/N,where N is the number of countries with which its tax rate is correlated. In other words, if acountry’s capital tax rate is positively correlated with five other countries, the appropriate cellsin the weighting matrix take a value of 0.2. This procedure normalizes the sums across rows ofcell entries to one in each row.19. For example, if Country A’s tax rate is correlated with five other countries and Country B’s taxrate is only correlated with Country A, the importance of Country A’s tax rate (i.e. its weight inthe spatial-weighting matrix) in determining Country B’s tax rate will be greater than thereverse.20. We see no strong reason to think this measurement error would be systematic.21. For a discussion of this bias, see Beck and Katz (2004) on estimating dynamic models with TSCSdata.22. Interestingly, when period dummies are included in the models, the two consistent estimators(S-2SLS and S-ML) give very different estimates, particularly of the spatial-lag coefficient. Inboth the capital-account and financial-openness models, the S-2SLS estimates are approximatelytwo times larger than the S-ML estimates. We suspect this problem results from aneigenvalue-approximation simplification of the likelihood function employed in Stata’s spatialregressionpackage, which approximation we suspect performs poorly in the presence of highcolinearity between the spatial lag and the other regressors. The correlation between perioddummies and a spatial lag reflecting a uniform interdependence process is high (and grows withN, the number of units, reaching perfect colinearity at N ).ReferencesBartels, L. (1991). Instrumental and ‘Quasi-instrumental’ Variables. American Journal of PoliticalScience, 35(3):777–800.Basinger, S. and Hallerberg, M. (2004). Remodeling the Competition for Capital: How DomesticPolitics Erases the Race to the Bottom. American Political Science Review, 98(2):261–276.Beck, N. and Katz, J. (2004). Time-series-cross-section Issues: Dynamics, 2004. Paper Presented atthe 2004 Summer Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, Palo Alto, CA.Boix, C. (1998). Political Parties, Growth and Equality. Cambridge University Press, New York.Cameron, D. (1978). The Expansion of the Public Sector: A Comparative Analysis. AmericanPolitical Science Review, 72(4):1243–1261.Dehejia, V. and Genschel, P. (1999). Tax Competition in the European Union. Politics and Society,27(3):403–430.70
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Chapter 3share borders or be geographically closer but, rather, are closer by some economic considerations(which may include geographic proximity, certainly).6. Equation (3.6) models these exogenous-external conditions as common to all units (N.B. no subscripti) but, generally, they will at least correlate across units.7. Another common spatial-lag specification, frequently used to specify contiguity, leader-emulation,or cultural-connection mechanisms of interdependence, for example, is to consider outcomesfrom unit or set of units j, but not the outcomes from other units, to diffuse to the outcome in i.For example, only outcomes from countries with similar religious or political heritage diffuse.This implies the weights are 1 (for sums; 1/(N 1) for averages) or 0, so diffusion either occursfrom some j to some i or it does not, but otherwise the math is the same.8. Furthermore, PCSEs did not seem to help much in this last regard.9. The latter is not so much difficult as computationally intensive. These two methods are the oneswe explored and most commonly discussed, but are not exhaustive of those potentially capableof returning ‘good’ estimates of β and ρ.10. The exogenous-external factors may seem not to satisfy the intuitive statement of valid instrumentsbecause they enter both domestic- and foreign-country tax policies. However, they enter bothexogenously so, although they do not provide much leverage or power to the instrumentation –they do so only insofar as they are domestic-context conditioned and this context conditioningcorrelates (exogenously) across countries – they are nonetheless valid.11. On the other hand, Persson and Tabellini (2000) discussed just such ‘strategic delegation’ as oneimplication of their model. Voters in one country have incentives to support a citizen-candidateof greater or lesser capital-labor endowment than themselves precisely because they internalizethe effect on their own capital-tax rates of foreign elections.12. Asymptotic efficiency should not at all be confused with efficiency. The former is an extremelyweak property, stating only that as sample sizes approach infinity estimates become the mostefficient ones and nothing at all necessarily about the relative or absolute efficiency of the estimatesalong the path they follow as sample sizes approach infinity. Furthermore, if one had infinitesamples, efficiency would be virtually irrelevant.13. The latter of the two parts of (b) is of course the usual regressor-exogeneity assumption necessaryto the unbiasedness and consistency of all LS estimators. However, violation of it alone producesbiased and inconsistent estimates of β, not of ρ (except insofar as bias in the formerinduces bias in the latter, which, by usual induced-bias intuition, only occurs in some dampenedproportion to the degree to which a typical single country’s domestic X correlates with theforeign y in its spatial lag, which is not usually very much).14. The capital-endowment data are from the Penn World Tables. Hays used the capital stock perworker in 1965 as a measure of each country’s initial capital endowment.15. While Hays’s regression models allowed for tax competition, his theoretical model made asmall-country assumption and so did not, because the global after-tax return to capital is exogenousto small countries. <strong>Tax</strong> competition is not inconsistent with his theory, but Hays’s originalfocus is on strategic interaction (among producer groups) within countries rather than on taxcompetition between countries.16. Table 3.2 reports the original estimates as well.17. Neither Hays nor Basinger and Hallerberg reported results that included period dummies.(Period dummies are a simple method to control for common shocks.) This is problematic in69