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2030 Comprehensive Plan Update.pdf - Scott County

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<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> DevelopmentPre-19001900-19091910-19191920-19291930-19391940-19491950-19591960-19691970-19791980-19891990-1999<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> DevelopmentPre-19001900-19091910-19191920-19291930-19391940-19491950-19591960-19691970-19791980-19891990-19992000-2005<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


Who are we planning for in <strong>2030</strong>?Your new neighbors! Probably• <strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong>’s senior population (65+) is expected toquadruple from 2000 to <strong>2030</strong>• Meanwhile, the <strong>County</strong> is expected to see more and moreyounger people who may be starting a family or haverecently started a family• The <strong>County</strong>’s population in <strong>2030</strong> is projected to be moreethnically diverse than the 2000 population<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


Who are we planning for in <strong>2030</strong>?Your children! most likelyTwin Cities Metropolitan Area - New Residents2000-<strong>2030</strong> (by category)39%61%From Within the Region(Net Births)From Outside theRegion (Migration)<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


Population Change projected for <strong>2030</strong>We need to plan for a <strong>County</strong> of 221,000 people!We need to plan for cities with 40,000 to 50,000 people!(think Maple Grove, Burnsville, Lakeville)We need to plan for townships with 5,000 people!(this is a sizeable community in Minnesota)<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


What does this change mean graphically?Together, the <strong>County</strong>’s seven cities are projected toadd about 47,000 new dwelling units by <strong>2030</strong> toaccommodate its share of anticipated populationgrowthThe <strong>County</strong>’s 11 townships are projected to addabout 4,400 new dwelling units by <strong>2030</strong> toaccommodate its share of anticipated growth<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


What does this change mean graphically?Based on average urban densities (4 units per acre),this means 11,750 acres of developable landacross the seven cities is needed for residentialpurposesBased on average rural densities (1 unit per 5 acres),this means 22,000 acres of developable landacross the 11 townships is needed for residentialpurposes<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


What does this change mean graphically?Based on these assumptions:• The need for urban land development is 12,800acres (or about 20 square miles)• The need for rural land development is 36 squaremilesWhat does this look like on a map?<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


Why do we go through this exercise?To illustrate the three main reasons to undertake this<strong>2030</strong> visioning effort right now1. Change: Places and landscapes are changingfaster now than ever before2. Opportunity: We are at a unique point in the<strong>County</strong>’s history when growth can bringopportunities and benefits – if managed properly3. Legacy: We have a chance to plan for what wewant to become, as opposed to what we will allowto happen.<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


How can we “paint a picture” of <strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> in <strong>2030</strong>?Consider this undeveloped piece of land<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


How can we “paint a picture” of <strong>Scott</strong><strong>County</strong> in <strong>2030</strong>?Consider the patterns of development around you today?<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>


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Question!What will <strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> look andfunction like in the year <strong>2030</strong>and beyond?<strong>Scott</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>2030</strong> <strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>Update</strong>

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