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Notes on Poisson Regression and Some Extensions

Notes on Poisson Regression and Some Extensions

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. tab yy | Freq. Percent Cum.------------+-----------------------------------0 | 359 23.92 23.921 | 266 17.72 41.642 | 404 26.92 68.553 | 247 16.46 85.014 | 128 8.53 93.545 | 48 3.20 96.746 | 20 1.33 98.077 | 8 0.53 98.608 | 21 1.40 100.00------------+-----------------------------------Total | 1,501 100.00. tab y, sum(PrY_pois) mean| Summary of| PrY_poisy | Mean------------+------------0 | .143793971 | .278870252 | .270416833 | .174813094 | .084756995 | .032875096 | .010626187 | .002944028 | .00071369------------+------------Total | .19380861Incidentally, the estimated mean <strong>and</strong> variance of y are respectively 1.94 <strong>and</strong> 2.79, suggesting adeparture from the usual Poiss<strong>on</strong> sampling assumpti<strong>on</strong>s.Full Model. Next we add several covariates to the model. For example, coho10 is a linear effectof 10-year birth cohort to capture secular trends toward fewer children am<strong>on</strong>g later birth cohorts;married is a dummy variable to capture the tendency for women to postp<strong>on</strong>e childbearing untilafter marriage. 1 The models also c<strong>on</strong>trol for resp<strong>on</strong>dent’s educati<strong>on</strong>, income <strong>and</strong> race.. xi:glm childs coh10 married i.deg n<strong>on</strong>wht income, family(p)i.deg _Ideg_1-3 (naturally coded; _Ideg_1 omitted)Generalized linear models No. of obs = 1496Optimizati<strong>on</strong> : ML Residual df = 1489Scale parameter = 1Deviance = 1934.104383 (1/df) Deviance = 1.298928Pears<strong>on</strong> = 1661.586326 (1/df) Pears<strong>on</strong> = 1.1159081 Note that this measure reflects current marital status, not necessarily the marital status at the time of childbearing.5

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