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IGIDR Annual Report 2008-2009 - Indira Gandhi Institute of ...

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Research ActivitiesIn world commercial services export South Asiaapparently improved its share from 1.3 percent in 2000to 2.5 percent in 2006. This gives us a misleadingpicture <strong>of</strong> South Asian trade performance andessentially shows the improving trade performance <strong>of</strong>the large country India. We found that in merchandisetrade as well as commercial services South Asiaperformance excluding India is rather poor. This is amatter <strong>of</strong> serious concern because during this period(2000-06) world trade in manufactures and commercialservices was expanding and the Agreement on Textilesand Clothing (ATC) restrictions on China‘s textile andapparel exports were in place. In merchandise exports,the share <strong>of</strong> South Asia excluding India remainedstagnant at 0.3 per cent and in commercial services theshare declined from 0.19 percent to 0.17 per centbetween 2000 and 2006. We highlight the structuralweaknesses in South Asian exports. This calls forconcentrated government policy support for investmentin industrial upgrading in South AsiaFinancial EconometricsIn ―Volatility in Indian stock markets- A conditionalvariance tale re-told‖ (forthcoming in Journal <strong>of</strong>Emerging market Finance), R. Krishnan and ConanMukherjee attempt to identify, from among the family<strong>of</strong> GARCH models, the model that best describes theIndian stock market volatility, by (1) building volatilitymodels using the traditional GARCH models thataccounts for asymmetry;(2) selecting a suitable modelby nesting through Box-Cox transformation, a family<strong>of</strong> GARCH models. The results confirm the stylisedfact <strong>of</strong> the presence <strong>of</strong> leverage effects in stock market.But contrary to popular belief, it shows that (1) it is thesmaller shocks that affect the returns in the Indianstock market and dominate the news impact curve thanthe large shocks (2) nesting exercise has narroweddown to two entirely different set <strong>of</strong> models that coulddescribe equally well the return process <strong>of</strong> the Indianmarket; but overall results indicate that a nonlinearmodel with an exponent that accounts for smallershocks may be preferable for Indian stock market. (3)Nontrading days account for a sizable portion in returnvariance, contributing almost one-fourth as much tovolatility as any trading day.Law and Economics―With the rise <strong>of</strong> markets, the importance <strong>of</strong> propertylaw, contract law, business law and corporation lawincreased. The same applies to those fields <strong>of</strong> the law,like regulatory law, consumer protection law and tortlaw, which correct failures <strong>of</strong> the market system.‖ Thebook ―Economic Analysis <strong>of</strong> Law in India: Theory andApplications‖ (Oxford University Press, forthcoming),edited by Babu P.G. (<strong>IGIDR</strong>), Eger, T. (Hamburg),Schaefer, H.B. (Hamburg), Somashekhar, T. (NLSBangalore), and Angara Raja (Hyderabad), is anoutcome <strong>of</strong> the cooperation between the <strong>Indira</strong> <strong>Gandhi</strong><strong>Institute</strong> <strong>of</strong> Development Research (Mumbai), theCentral University <strong>of</strong> Hyderabad, the National LawSchool <strong>of</strong> India (Bangalore), as well as the lawfaculties <strong>of</strong> the Universities <strong>of</strong> Ghent (Belgium) andHamburg (Germany) under the auspices <strong>of</strong> EuropeanCommission‘s ―Asia Link‖ framework, is a first <strong>of</strong> itskind in the area <strong>of</strong> Law and Economics in India. Itbrings together several leading scholars such as RobertCooter, Hans-Bernd Schaefer, Thomas Ulen and SatishJain, to name a few, to address a number <strong>of</strong> broadissues <strong>of</strong> relevance to the Indian Law and Economicsscenario, focusing on: (a) financial institutions, (b)accident laws and environmental problems, (c) tradeagreements and intellectual property rights protection,(d) corruption and its effects, (e) the role <strong>of</strong> thejudiciary in fostering efficient enforcement <strong>of</strong> law, and(f) Law and Economic Development.The paper by P. G. Babu (<strong>IGIDR</strong> Mumbai) on ―Suitand Settlement under Asymmetric Information: TheCase <strong>of</strong> the Bhopal Gas Disaster,‖ in the abovementioned volume, models and analyses the famoussuit between the victims <strong>of</strong> the Bhopal gas tragedy andthe Union Carbide Corporation. The analysis relies oninsights from information economics and bargainingtheory. It corroborates theoretically predicted conflictsbetween individually rational actions/choices, on theone hand, and the collectively rational choices on theother hand. In addition, the paper highlights the22 <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2008</strong>-09

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