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Report - PEER - University of California, Berkeley

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The increased dispersion leads to higher closure probabilities. The effects <strong>of</strong>transforming ground motions and the effects <strong>of</strong> increased dispersion are confirmed inFigures 11–12. In Figure 12, the influence <strong>of</strong> scaling ground motions to a differentcharacteristic period is demonstrated. Scaling the records at T=0.6s results inincreased demands and dispersion leading to higher closure probabilities. Forexample, the probability <strong>of</strong> closure in 50 years based on the evaluation using recordsscaled at T=1.2 seconds was previously reported to be 0.46% for the single bentmodel. When the records are scaled at T = 0.6 seconds instead, the probabilityincreases to 1.69%. Additionally, if the dispersion in the latter case is assumed toincrease from 0.614 to 0.75, the probability <strong>of</strong> closure becomes 2.95%.EDP, Drift (%)54321Scaled, Transformed RecordsScaled, Non-transformedP(Closure|IM)0.50.40.30.20.1Scaled, Transformed RecordsScaled, Non-transformed00 1 2 3 4IM, S a (T), g00 1 2 3 4IM, S a (T), gFigure 11. Effect <strong>of</strong> scaling and transformation on EDP-IM and P(DV).EDP, Drift (%)54321Scaled at T=1.2 (original)Scaled at T=0.6P(Closure|IM)0.50.40.30.20.1Scaled at T=1.2s (original)Scaled at T=0.6s00 1 2 3 4IM, S a (T), g00 1 2 3 4IM, S a (T), gFigure 12. Effect <strong>of</strong> hazard curve and response dispersion on EDP-IMrelationship and P(DV|IM).The choice <strong>of</strong> the characteristic period at which the ground motion scaling is carriedout presents certain challenges. For example, the initial period <strong>of</strong> the fixed-basemodel <strong>of</strong> the viaduct is in fact 0.6 seconds. The initial period <strong>of</strong> the model with soilfoundationsprings increases to about 0.8 seconds for the single bent model. Thevalue <strong>of</strong> T = 1.2 seconds corresponds to the system with effective stiffness properties.75

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