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Report - PEER - University of California, Berkeley

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10.8P f0.8(a) Eq. (10)(b) Eq. (3)0.6(c) Eq. (10) No sens.0.40.2Monte CarloP f0.60.40.2Flex. C3 F1Flex. C4 F1Flex. C3 F2Flex. C6 F1Shear C6 F1Total00.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5S a[g]00.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5S a[g]Figure 6. Fragility curves: LEFT (a) full system (b) independent components(c) full system without sensitivities; RIGHT contribution <strong>of</strong> the main failuremodes to the total fragility.Figure 6 (Left, full circles) also shows a limited validation by “regular” Monte Carlosimulation. It is recalled that this simulation differs from that used to evaluate Eq.(10)in that it requires non linear analyses to be performed for different samples <strong>of</strong> x andassociated random selection <strong>of</strong> a record (from those used for collecting the demandvalues). The target coefficient <strong>of</strong> variation <strong>of</strong> the probability estimate is decreasingwith increasing probability, ranging from 0.10 to 0.01, the total number <strong>of</strong>simulations for all points in the curve being above 5000. The match betweensimulation results and those from the proposed procedure is quite good.Finally, Figure 6 (Right) shows the total fragility (Eq.(10)) together with thoserelative to the most important individual failure modes. This plot gives an importantindication <strong>of</strong> the modes that dominate global failure (flexural in column C3 at the firstand second floor, flexural in columns C4 and C6 at the first floor and shear along Yin column C6, first floor).ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSThe work has been carried out under partial funding from the EU project SPEAR(Contract NG6RD-CT-2001-00525).REFERENCESApplied Technology Council (ATC). 1985. <strong>Report</strong> 13: Earthquake damage evaluation data for<strong>California</strong>. Redwood City, CA.Au S. K., J. L. Beck. 2003. Subset simulation and its application to seismic risk based ondynamic analysis, ASCE J. Eng. Mech. Vol.129(8):901-917.231

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