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Report - PEER - University of California, Berkeley

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The main difficulty in assigning a probability distribution to the yield strength <strong>of</strong>the steel used in a group <strong>of</strong> buildings, however, is the possibility that different gradeshave been used, which would lead to a distribution with multiple peaks and troughs(see Crowley et al., 2004). One approach to solve this problem could be to calculatethe probability <strong>of</strong> failure for the building class given each possible steel grade, usingthe normal distribution to model the dispersion for each grade, and then to compute aweighted average <strong>of</strong> failure, knowing or judging the use <strong>of</strong> each steel grade within thebuilding class. The validity <strong>of</strong> such an approach would become questionable,however, if different steel grades were <strong>of</strong>ten used within individual buildings.3.2.3 Probabilistic Modelling <strong>of</strong> Limit States Threshold ParametersDymiotis et al. (1999) have studied the seismic reliability <strong>of</strong> RC frames usinginterstorey drift to define the serviceability and ultimate structural limit states. Theyhave found that a lognormal distribution may be used to describe the variability ininterstorey drift for both limit states. Therefore, the variability in non-structural limitstates, defined in this work as a function <strong>of</strong> interstorey drift limiting values, will berepresented by means <strong>of</strong> lognormal distributions, using the mean drift ratios that havebeen suggested by Crowley et al. (2004).Kappos et al. (1999), on the other hand, report the ultimate concrete strainreached in 48 tests <strong>of</strong> very well-confined RC members. A simple statistical analysis <strong>of</strong>this data shows that it would appear that in the case <strong>of</strong> limit state sectional strains alognormal distribution is also able to describe the variability <strong>of</strong> these parameters.Hence, and since for the structural limit states it is the sectional steel and concretestrains that define respective boundaries, it would appear that a lognormal distributionmay also be applied to describe the variability in these limit state parameters. Again,the mean values suggested by Crowley et al. (2004) are employed, in tandem withassumed coefficients <strong>of</strong> variation.3.2.4 Probabilistic Modelling <strong>of</strong> Scatter in Empirical RelationshipsA number <strong>of</strong> empirical relationships have been used to derive the functions <strong>of</strong>displacement capacity and period that have been presented in Section 2. Theseinclude empirical expressions for the plastic hinge length members and the yieldcurvature <strong>of</strong> RC members, all <strong>of</strong> which are discussed in Glaister and Pinho (2003),and an additional empirical parameter employed in the formula derived by Crowleyand Pinho (2004) to relate the height <strong>of</strong> a building to its yield period. All <strong>of</strong> theaforementioned relationships rely on empirical coefficients to relate one set <strong>of</strong>structural properties to another, as for example the coefficient <strong>of</strong> 0.1 in the yieldperiod vs. height equation, T y = 0.1H T . The mean value and standard deviation <strong>of</strong>these coefficients have been taken from the studies carried out to derive thoseformulae, with a normal distribution being used to model the respective dispersion.182

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