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Report - PEER - University of California, Berkeley

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Benefit–cost ratio(BCR) 2.5UC <strong>Berkeley</strong> – Stanley Hall21.55%discount10.501 5 10 20 30 40 50Building Life (years)Benefit $0.1 $0.6 $1.1 $1.7 $2.1 $2.4 $2.5Cost $1.2 $1.2 $1.2 $1.2 $1.2 $1.2 $1.2Figure 5. Ratio <strong>of</strong> benefits to costs for use <strong>of</strong> unbonded braces in place <strong>of</strong>conventional braces.Recognizing the uncertainties involved, the basic parameters were varied toexplore the sensitivity <strong>of</strong> the results to the basic assumptions. The analysis did notinclude direct consideration <strong>of</strong> some potential losses that are difficult to quantify.These include the loss <strong>of</strong> research faculty that might move to other institutions whilerepairs are made to the building, the losses associated with on-going experiments, andthe sizable effect <strong>of</strong> the loss <strong>of</strong> the facility on the economy <strong>of</strong> the local community.The analysis, coupled with these qualitatively expressed considerations, providedsufficient evidence to support the investment in the enhanced system.Enhanced Performance ObjectivesSan Leandro is a city on the San Francisco Bay, about eight kilometers from theHayward Fault. Recently a national chain <strong>of</strong> automobile dealerships proposed tobuild a new sales and repair facility in the city. The projected cost <strong>of</strong> the building is$5 million with an inventory value <strong>of</strong> $2 million and projected gross annual revenue<strong>of</strong> nearly $4 million. The owner’s lender required earthquake insurance in order t<strong>of</strong>inance the project because <strong>of</strong> the proximity <strong>of</strong> the site to a major earthquake fault.The best quote on earthquake insurance the owner could find was $150,000 per year.The owner had both a long-term interest in reducing future potential losses, and adesire to reduce the amount <strong>of</strong> earthquake insurance the bank would require.Using tools available today, an analysis was performed to estimate potentiallosses in a design level earthquake. The analysis suggested that for a large earthquakeon the nearby fault, repair costs would approach about 40% <strong>of</strong> the replacement cost <strong>of</strong>the building. Most lenders require that this expected loss be less than 20% to removeinsurance requirements. The design engineer developed an enhanced structural designthat would reduce the expected losses. The design added structural elements and109

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