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284<br />

ChApter 4<br />

has been estimated at $125 billion. 489 In addition, the war witnessed<br />

an explosion of organized crime that still plagues a region that has<br />

become a byword for trafficking in humans, narcotics, and arms.<br />

A Historical Aversion to a Confederal Yugoslavia<br />

The transformation of Yugoslavia into a loose federation or<br />

a confederation was not acceptable to the Serbian nationalists. To<br />

them, “Yugoslavia was only a means of solving the Serb question,”<br />

and thus they accepted only a centralist and unitary Yugoslavia. 490<br />

But such a Yugoslavia was never what other peoples wanted. Since<br />

the creation of the first Yugoslavia in 1918, Serbs have been adamantly<br />

opposed to any federal arrangement and to the principle of consultation<br />

to reach agreement among the republics and provinces. True,<br />

Serbs were later content with the federalization of socialist Yugoslavia,<br />

but only insofar as it guaranteed Serbian domination. Once<br />

such a Yugoslavia was challenged, in 1966, at the Brioni Plenum, Serbian<br />

nationalists began increasingly to look to a historical alternative,<br />

namely the idea of a Greater Serbia.<br />

The creation of a Greater Serbia necessitated expansion in a<br />

northwesterly direction to incorporate one-third of the territory of<br />

Croatia and two-thirds of Bosnia-Herzegovina. The idea, hatched<br />

by Dobrica Ćosić and his clique, was widely embraced by the Serbian<br />

elite in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Without their support, Milošević<br />

would not have stood a chance of persuading the Serbian people to<br />

support a belligerent policy of building a Greater Serbia.<br />

Although the Serbian national agenda triggered the wars in<br />

Yugoslavia, the Serbian nationalists insisted that the 1974 Constitution<br />

was primarily to blame because it confederalized Yugoslavia<br />

and thereby called into question the legitimacy of the republics’<br />

489 Žarko Papić, Bosna i Balkan, Mogućnosti i uslovi oporavka (Bosnia and the Balkans,<br />

Prospects and Conditions for Recovery), Sarajevo, Bosna Forum 17/02, pp . 43–45 .<br />

490 Almost the entire Serb nation was encompassed in the former SFRY .<br />

Europe, and especially the Balkans, knew of no such precedent .

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