Cyber Physical Systems – Situation Analysis - Energetics Meetings ...

Cyber Physical Systems – Situation Analysis - Energetics Meetings ... Cyber Physical Systems – Situation Analysis - Energetics Meetings ...

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Cyber Physical SystemsSituation AnalysisDRAFT – March 9, 2012memory and 10 million source lines of code (SLOC). It is expected that developing aircraft such as the787 will require even higher levels of software size and system complexity. Automobiles today haveabout 10 million SLOC and consist of 1–10 networks—figures that are expected to increase to hundredsof millions of SLOC and tens of internal and external networks to accommodate increasing technologicalneeds. 216 Advances in CPS will be needed to ensure the safety and security of these increasingly complexand networked automobiles and aircraft. One example of a CPS in transportation is an aircraft whosesmart sensor fabrics and onboard networking enables self-monitoring of its systems and structural healthwhile performing real-time diagnostics and coordination with ground stations. 217Research in CPS is necessary to transform the national airspace system (NAS), which is the safest in theworld yet is operating under a loosely integrated network of systems, procedures, and infrastructure,much of which is decades old. 218 Since national airspace is already crowded, events such as severeweather can cause significant delays and result in loss of both money as well as energy. Bettermanagement of air traffic can result in a more efficient system, increasing the on-time performance offlights as well as reducing energy consumption which may result from delays. One main focus forincreasing the efficiency and safety of the United States‘ air transportation system is in the developmentof NextGen. NextGen, a transformational effort for air traffic control led by the FAA, envisions how thenation‘s aviation system will operate in 2025 and beyond. NAS was already operating at near capacity in2004, and it is expected that the demand will grow two-to-three fold over the next 20 years. NextGen willtransform how the U.S. air transportation system is operated and managed. This will improve safety,speed and efficiency and mitigate the environmental impacts of air transportation, while accommodatingincreased demand.CPS will be critical to developing and implementing NextGen in the United States as well as worldwide.Areas where CPS can be applied, and that will require both new technologies and the transformation ofexisting technology include satellite navigation and control of aircraft, advanced digital communications,advanced infrastructure for greater information sharing, and enhanced connectivity between all airtransportation system components. Reliable, seamless integration of the technological (e.g., computerbased)and physical elements of the system will continue to be essential for the safe operation of airtransportation. This requirement will become even more essential in next-generation systems in which thelevel of automation in all parts of the systems increases, ranging from aircrafts to ground infrastructure,communication systems, and air traffic controller decision support tools. 219Fifteen years ago, the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) launched the Intelligent VehicleInitiative, which focused on preventing crashes by helping drivers avoid mistakes. Europe has also paidmore attention to road safety in recent years; the European Road Safety Action Program aimed to reduceroad fatalities by 50%% by 2010.The reason behind this shift in focus is human life. According to DOT, more than 42,000 people die eachyear in the United States as a result of 6.8 million accidents (www.itsdocs.fhwa.dot.gov//). Highwayinjuries also have a strong impact—3 million Americans were injured in 2001. Survivors often sustainmultiple injuries and require long hospitalizations. The cost is more than $230 billion a year—representing a greater share of the nation‘s health care costs than any other cause of illness or injury. The216 Poovendran et al. ―2008 HCTCPS Workshop Report.‖217 Adam, Nabil. ―Workshop on Future Directions in Cyber-Physical Systems Security Final Report.‖ Jan 2010.218 NITRD. ―Winning the Future with Science and Technology for 21 st Century Smart Systems.‖219 Feron, Eric and Hamsa Balakrishnan. ―CPS and NextGen: Cyber-Physical Systems Challenges in Next Generation Aviation.‖2011.41

Cyber Physical SystemsSituation AnalysisDRAFT – March 9, 2012situation is even worse in developing countries. In 2003, more than 104,372 Chinese died as a result oftraffic accidents—on average, 286 people around the world die each day.The ITS market covers the use of smart technologies such as electronics, communications, andinformation processing technology that are designed to improve aspects of surface transportation andcreate safer, smarter, and interconnected transport infrastructure. The DOT ITS Program seeks to―research and facilitate a national, multi-modal surface transportation system that features a connectedtransportation environment around vehicles of all types, the infrastructure, and portable devices to servethe public good by leveraging technology to maximize safety, mobility, and environmentalperformance.‖ 220 In this system, vehicles and infrastructure would ―talk‖ to each other and share keyinformation such as real-time traffic, location, or speed. If a vehicle could ―see‖ other vehicles around it,drivers could know when there is a car in a blind spot when changing lanes, or be alerted of upcomingroadway hazards or congestion. In such a system, drivers would be able to check a range of commutingtravel options before leaving home, such as travel times, costs, traffic, and environmental footprints. 221KEY DRIVERSCongestionBoth the nation‘s air and ground transportation spaces are crowded, and CPS can provide solutions ormethods to deal with congestion in the future. Congestion is a major problem for ground transportation.In 2010, commuters dealt with a cumulative delay of 4.8 billion hours—or an average of 34 hours perauto commuter for the year, with levels as high as 74 hours for the Washington, D.C. metro area. Thisexcess travel time due to congestion, plus the 1.9 billion gallons of wasted fuel, represents a cost of $101billion. 222 One cyber-physical system solution for ground transportation is the use of radiocommunications to report traffic and navigation information to individual vehicles. This empowers thedriver to decide upon alternate routes based on data. On a larger scale, this could lead to real-time trafficmanagement, in which the overall traffic system changes and adjusts based on the activities of individualvehicles. 223 In this scenario, vehicles could communicate with the traffic infrastructure to exchange timecriticaland less-time-critical traffic and route condition updates to help alleviate congestion. 224Congestion has also been increasing in aviation, especially for busy metropolitan airports. As airtransportation becomes more crowded, systems such as NextGen hope to reduce congestion by increasingefficiency.Safety Reduction and Accident PreventionSafety is one of the most important drivers for transportation -CPS and is a priority for all transportationsectors. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, preventable injuries and deathsfrom motor vehicle crashes in 2005 led to more than $70 billion in costs. 225 CPS in transportation aim toreduce avoidable crashes that cause unnecessary deaths, injuries, and property damage. Across theavionics, automotive, and railroad sectors, the ultimate goal is to eliminate fatalities and accidents. The220 U.S. Department of Transportation RITA (Research and Innovative Technology Administration). ―ITS Strategic ResearchPlan, 2010-2014.‖ Jan 2010.221 USDOT RITA. ―ITS Strategic Research Plan.‖222 Texas Transportation Institute. ―2011 Urban Mobility Report.‖ Sept 2011.223 Krogh, Bruce et al. ―National Workshop on Beyond SCADA: Network Embedded Control for Cyber-Physical Systems(NEC4CPS): Research Strategies and Roadmap.‖ 27 Nov 2007.224 Poovendran et al. ―2008 HCTCPS Workshop Report.‖225 NITRD. ―Winning the Future.‖42

<strong>Cyber</strong> <strong>Physical</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> – <strong>Situation</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong>DRAFT – March 9, 2012situation is even worse in developing countries. In 2003, more than 104,372 Chinese died as a result oftraffic accidents—on average, 286 people around the world die each day.The ITS market covers the use of smart technologies such as electronics, communications, andinformation processing technology that are designed to improve aspects of surface transportation andcreate safer, smarter, and interconnected transport infrastructure. The DOT ITS Program seeks to―research and facilitate a national, multi-modal surface transportation system that features a connectedtransportation environment around vehicles of all types, the infrastructure, and portable devices to servethe public good by leveraging technology to maximize safety, mobility, and environmentalperformance.‖ 220 In this system, vehicles and infrastructure would ―talk‖ to each other and share keyinformation such as real-time traffic, location, or speed. If a vehicle could ―see‖ other vehicles around it,drivers could know when there is a car in a blind spot when changing lanes, or be alerted of upcomingroadway hazards or congestion. In such a system, drivers would be able to check a range of commutingtravel options before leaving home, such as travel times, costs, traffic, and environmental footprints. 221KEY DRIVERSCongestionBoth the nation‘s air and ground transportation spaces are crowded, and CPS can provide solutions ormethods to deal with congestion in the future. Congestion is a major problem for ground transportation.In 2010, commuters dealt with a cumulative delay of 4.8 billion hours—or an average of 34 hours perauto commuter for the year, with levels as high as 74 hours for the Washington, D.C. metro area. Thisexcess travel time due to congestion, plus the 1.9 billion gallons of wasted fuel, represents a cost of $101billion. 222 One cyber-physical system solution for ground transportation is the use of radiocommunications to report traffic and navigation information to individual vehicles. This empowers thedriver to decide upon alternate routes based on data. On a larger scale, this could lead to real-time trafficmanagement, in which the overall traffic system changes and adjusts based on the activities of individualvehicles. 223 In this scenario, vehicles could communicate with the traffic infrastructure to exchange timecriticaland less-time-critical traffic and route condition updates to help alleviate congestion. 224Congestion has also been increasing in aviation, especially for busy metropolitan airports. As airtransportation becomes more crowded, systems such as NextGen hope to reduce congestion by increasingefficiency.Safety Reduction and Accident PreventionSafety is one of the most important drivers for transportation -CPS and is a priority for all transportationsectors. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, preventable injuries and deathsfrom motor vehicle crashes in 2005 led to more than $70 billion in costs. 225 CPS in transportation aim toreduce avoidable crashes that cause unnecessary deaths, injuries, and property damage. Across theavionics, automotive, and railroad sectors, the ultimate goal is to eliminate fatalities and accidents. The220 U.S. Department of Transportation RITA (Research and Innovative Technology Administration). ―ITS Strategic ResearchPlan, 2010-2014.‖ Jan 2010.221 USDOT RITA. ―ITS Strategic Research Plan.‖222 Texas Transportation Institute. ―2011 Urban Mobility Report.‖ Sept 2011.223 Krogh, Bruce et al. ―National Workshop on Beyond SCADA: Network Embedded Control for <strong>Cyber</strong>-<strong>Physical</strong> <strong>Systems</strong>(NEC4CPS): Research Strategies and Roadmap.‖ 27 Nov 2007.224 Poovendran et al. ―2008 HCTCPS Workshop Report.‖225 NITRD. ―Winning the Future.‖42

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