LOCAL AGENDA 21 – LOCAL PLAN FOR SUSTAINABLE ...

33GIURGIUPopulation projection for pre-school and school population in Giurgiu:Age Groupsin theEducation SystemU.M. 19922004 2010ScenarioScenarioOptimistic Pessimistic Optimistic Pessimistic3 – 6 % 10.20 19.90 15.00 25.00 18.60Pers. 1,428 3,000 1,965 4,500 2,6007 – 14 % 61.10 49.00 55.00 47.50 52.10pers. 8,554 7,400 7,205 8,000 7,30015 – 19 % 28.70 31.10 30.00 27.50 29.30pers. 4,018 4,700 3,930 5,500 4,100Total Population % 100 100 100 100 100Thou. pers. 14.00 15.10 13.10 18.00 14.00Percentage Total 3-19 % 73.30 78.25 70.00 90.00 74.50Total Population % 100 100 100 100 100Between 3-19 years Thou. pers. 19.10 19.30 18.70 20.00 18.80Projection of the active population by activities of the national economyEconomicU.M. 1992 Medium Term 2004 Long Term 2010ActivityScenarioScenarioOptimistic Pessimistic Optimistic PessimisticActive population loc. 35,298 36,695 35,298 38,480 36,190total of which: % 100 100 100 100 100Agriculture % 3.04 6.09 9.69 3.00 6.10Forestry % 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.18 0.19Fisheries % 0.10 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.11Industry % 49.54 38.00 14.00 30.00 32.30Construction % 6.39 7.00 5.00 9.00 8.00Trade, public food services,hotels % 9.03 13.50 12.00 14.00 13.00Transportation % 7.09 8.00 8.50 8.80 8.50Telecommunications % 2.30 2.50 2.80 2.70 2.60Finances, banking, insurance % 1.25 2.00 2.80 2.80 1.80Research, development,computer science and othereconomic activities and services. % 1.98 1.40 1.40 1.60 1.50Municipal public services % 6.67 7.30 8.00 9.00 7.60Public administration % 5.47 5.65 9.25 9.20 7.30Culture, sport, tourism % 1.15 1.25 1.25 2.90 2.50Public services and otheractivities % 1.88 2.00 10.00 3.70 3.50Persons looking for employment % 3.93 5.00 15.00 3.00 5.00