LOCAL AGENDA 21 – LOCAL PLAN FOR SUSTAINABLE ...

31GIURGIUPopulation Projections for Giurgiu:- Thousand persons -Population19922004 2010CompositionScenarioScenarioOptimistic Pessimistic Optimistic PessimisticTotal population 74.00 77.00 74.00 80.00 75.00Sex ratio- males 36.00 37.50 36.00 38.80 36.50- females 38.00 39.50 38.00 41.20 38.50Composition by age groups0 – 14 17.40 17.00 15.30 17.50 15.5015 - 59 47.60 50.30 19.50 52.00 50.2060 and over 9.10 9.70 9.20 10.50 9.303 – 19 19.10 19.30 18.70 20.00 18.80The social and economic composition of thepopulation depends on the development of economicactivities. It is a major factor and gives the generalactivity rate, the employment rate and the structure byeconomic activities for all levels of professionaltraining. Here are the projections as to thecomposition of the active population and ofemployment by activities of the national economy:a) Composition by activities of the national economy of the city’s active population:EconomicActivity1992- Thousand persons -2004 2010ScenarioScenarioOptimistic Pessimistic Optimistic PessimisticPrimary sector - agriculture,forestry, fisheries 1.17 2.35 3.35 1.27 2.32Overall activity rate (%) 1.58 3.05 4.77 1.59 3.09Secondary sector - industryand construction 19.75 16.52 6.71 15.00 14.60Overall activity rate (%) 26.69 21.45 9.07 18.75 19.46Tertiary sector - trade andservices 13.00 16.00 19.77 21.06 17.48Overall activity rate (%) 17.57 20.78 26.72 26.33 23.30Persons looking foremployment 1.38 1.83 5.29 1.17 1.80Overall activity rate (%) 1.86 2.38 7.14 1.45 2.41Total active population 35.30 36.70 35.30 38.50 36.20Overall activity rate (%) 47.70 47.66 47.70 48.12 48.26Total population 74.00 77.00 74.00 80.00 75.00