Islamic Republic of Afghanistan - Enhanced Integrated Framework ...

Islamic Republic of Afghanistan - Enhanced Integrated Framework ... Islamic Republic of Afghanistan - Enhanced Integrated Framework ...

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capacity limitations throughout the public andprivate sectors. Meeting these challenges andrebuilding the country will take many yearsand require consistent international support.The successful transformation of Afghanistaninto a secure, economically viable state that canmeet the aspirations of the Afghan people, liveat peace with itself and its neighbors and contributeto regional and international stabilitywill depend upon the effective utilization of allavailable human, natural and financial resources.In this partnership a critical role mustbe played by the private sector. Significantlyreducing poverty will require substantially increasingemployment which depends on maintaininghigh rates of economic growth in theyears ahead. It is not sufficient to rely on theGovernment and the international communityto sustain the high rates of investment neededto generate the levels of employment to have amajor impact on reducing poverty. As themacroeconomic projections presented in Chapter4 indicate, a substantial increase in privateinvestment will be essential if significant progressis to be realized in meeting the social andeconomic objectives of the country.Afghanistan is a country with significant potentialfor economic development. It has substantialwater, agricultural and mineral resourcesand is well positioned to become atrade and business hub linking the markets ofCentral Asia, the Middle East, South Asia andChina. The potential exists or sustainable economicgrowth in the future. However, thereare a number of fundamental limitations in theeconomic environment that must be addressedif these efforts are to succeed:• The country’s ‘hard infrastructure’, includingroads and reliable supplies of waterand power, is inadequate to support rapidand sustained economic growth.• The corresponding ‘soft infrastructure’,which includes the human and institutionalcapacity necessary for an economy to function,is also extremely limited. Considerableemphasis is being given to developingcapacity in both the public and private sectorsand to institutional development, butthese efforts will take time.• Economic governance is weak. The Governmentis pursuing comprehensive economicreform, including the introductionof new commercial laws and regulations,but the establishment of institutionsneeded for effective implementation andenforcement are largely lacking and willtake years to develop.1• Afghanistan’s commercial connections toregional and global economies were severelydisrupted and must be redeveloped.The development of a competitive privatesector will depend on establishing access toforeign markets and developing viable exportactivities.• Critical markets for land and finance arelargely undeveloped, limiting the ability ofprivate investors to establish and operatebusinesses. Property rights are often contestedor difficult to defend.• Afghanistan is experiencing high population.Continued rapid population growthwill substantially increase the levels of investmentthat will be required to substantiallyreduce poverty.Both the Government and the internationalcommunity recognize that prolonged aid dependencywill undermine the chances ofachieving sustained economic growth and povertyreduction. However, given the major limitationsin the economic environment that mustbe addressed, the successful transition to acompetitive market economy will require sustainedcommitment by the Government, withthe support of the international community.Simply creating conditions in which the privatesector can operate alone will not be sufficient.Increased efforts by both the Government andthe donor community to attract Afghan andforeign investors are needed if the goals of theANDS are to be realized.Social and economic development will also beseverely curtailed if the insecurity that prevailsis not resolved. Despite the considerable effortsby the Government and the international com-1 Many of the government’s initiatives in this area are describedin “A Policy for Private Sector Growth and Development” presentedat the Enabling Environment Conference, Kabul, June2007.4Afghanistan National Development Strategy (ANDS)

munity, security has steadily deteriorated since2004 in some parts of the country. Ongoingcross-border activities, particularly in thesouthern and southeastern provinces, have resultedin several areas being effectively off limitsto meaningful development assistance.The lack of stability reduces the ability of aidagencies and the Government to operate inmany areas and to effectively implement projectsand programs. The impacts of these limitationstypically fall most heavily on the poor.Insecurity also increases the cost of doing businessand undermines private sector growthand development. 2 The difficulties in maintainingsecurity contribute significantly to twoclosely related issues: increasing corruption inthe public sector and the rapid growth of thenarcotics industry. There is a consensus thatcorruption in Afghanistan is widespread andhas been getting worse. 3 Public corruptionrepresents a major disincentive for private investment,substantially increasing the costs andrisks of doing business. A lack of security insome parts of the country has created conditionsin which poppy cultivation has flourished,feeding a growing narcotics industrythat both funds terrorist activity and feeds publiccorruption. Although poppy cultivation hasbeen greatly reduced in 29 of the 34 provinces,in the remaining five it has seen explosivegrowth to where Afghanistan accounts foraround 90 percent of the world’s opium production.INTERNATIONAL SUPPORTFOR AFGHANISTANAfter the fall of the Taliban, the internationalcommunity’s response was not only militarybut also began to provide Afghanistan with theinstitutional and financial resources to start thestate building process. In 2006, the AfghanistanCompact agreed between the Governmentand international community established goalsfor state building, setting benchmarks in coresectors of security, governance, and development,including the cross-cutting goals ofcounter-narcotics. To implement its obligationsunder the Afghanistan Compact, the Governmentdeveloped the Afghanistan National DevelopmentStrategy (ANDS) to clarify existingconditions, establish objectives and define thepolicies, programs and projects needed toachieve those objections. The internationalcommunity made new pledges of financial andsecurity assistance and set out to improve itscoordination by renewing and upgrading theUN Assistance Mission for Afghanistan(UNAMA), headed by a Special Representativeof the Secretary General with enhanced powersfor coordination. 4The ANDS represents an important milestonein the efforts to rebuilding of Afghanistanwhich has been underway since late 1380(2001). During this time there have been anumber of reports, conferences and strategiesdeveloped to address Afghanistan’s challenges.5 In addition, the Government and theinternational community have entered into aseries of agreements concerning the directionand support for the country’s developmentefforts, including notably the Bonn Agreement,the commitment to the Millennium DevelopmentGoals (MDGs) and the AfghanistanCompact. The ANDS builds on all of these andprovides a comprehensive and integrated strategythat reflects recent experience and currentconditions.THE AFGHANISTANNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTSTRATEGYThe Afghanistan National Development Strategy(ANDS) represents the combined efforts ofthe Afghan people and the Afghan Governmentwith the support of the internationalcommunity to address the major challengesfacing the country. To comprehensively ad-2 For example, the World Bank “Investment Climate Assessment”reported that companies are typically spending as much as15 percent of total sales on security costs.3 For example, in the 2005 Transparency International “CorruptionPerceptions Index” Afghanistan ranked 117th (of 158); twoyears later the country was ranked 172nd (of 179).4 Afghanistan has also placed special emphasis on good relationswith its neighbors, particularly Pakistan. The two countries conveneda joint Peace Jirga in August 2006, and Afghanistan looksforward with hope and optimism to enhanced cooperation withPakistan.5 Details for many of the key documents can be found in thebibliography.Introduction 5

capacity limitations throughout the public andprivate sectors. Meeting these challenges andrebuilding the country will take many yearsand require consistent international support.The successful transformation <strong>of</strong> <strong>Afghanistan</strong>into a secure, economically viable state that canmeet the aspirations <strong>of</strong> the Afghan people, liveat peace with itself and its neighbors and contributeto regional and international stabilitywill depend upon the effective utilization <strong>of</strong> allavailable human, natural and financial resources.In this partnership a critical role mustbe played by the private sector. Significantlyreducing poverty will require substantially increasingemployment which depends on maintaininghigh rates <strong>of</strong> economic growth in theyears ahead. It is not sufficient to rely on theGovernment and the international communityto sustain the high rates <strong>of</strong> investment neededto generate the levels <strong>of</strong> employment to have amajor impact on reducing poverty. As themacroeconomic projections presented in Chapter4 indicate, a substantial increase in privateinvestment will be essential if significant progressis to be realized in meeting the social andeconomic objectives <strong>of</strong> the country.<strong>Afghanistan</strong> is a country with significant potentialfor economic development. It has substantialwater, agricultural and mineral resourcesand is well positioned to become atrade and business hub linking the markets <strong>of</strong>Central Asia, the Middle East, South Asia andChina. The potential exists or sustainable economicgrowth in the future. However, thereare a number <strong>of</strong> fundamental limitations in theeconomic environment that must be addressedif these efforts are to succeed:• The country’s ‘hard infrastructure’, includingroads and reliable supplies <strong>of</strong> waterand power, is inadequate to support rapidand sustained economic growth.• The corresponding ‘s<strong>of</strong>t infrastructure’,which includes the human and institutionalcapacity necessary for an economy to function,is also extremely limited. Considerableemphasis is being given to developingcapacity in both the public and private sectorsand to institutional development, butthese efforts will take time.• Economic governance is weak. The Governmentis pursuing comprehensive economicreform, including the introduction<strong>of</strong> new commercial laws and regulations,but the establishment <strong>of</strong> institutionsneeded for effective implementation andenforcement are largely lacking and willtake years to develop.1• <strong>Afghanistan</strong>’s commercial connections toregional and global economies were severelydisrupted and must be redeveloped.The development <strong>of</strong> a competitive privatesector will depend on establishing access t<strong>of</strong>oreign markets and developing viable exportactivities.• Critical markets for land and finance arelargely undeveloped, limiting the ability <strong>of</strong>private investors to establish and operatebusinesses. Property rights are <strong>of</strong>ten contestedor difficult to defend.• <strong>Afghanistan</strong> is experiencing high population.Continued rapid population growthwill substantially increase the levels <strong>of</strong> investmentthat will be required to substantiallyreduce poverty.Both the Government and the internationalcommunity recognize that prolonged aid dependencywill undermine the chances <strong>of</strong>achieving sustained economic growth and povertyreduction. However, given the major limitationsin the economic environment that mustbe addressed, the successful transition to acompetitive market economy will require sustainedcommitment by the Government, withthe support <strong>of</strong> the international community.Simply creating conditions in which the privatesector can operate alone will not be sufficient.Increased efforts by both the Government andthe donor community to attract Afghan andforeign investors are needed if the goals <strong>of</strong> theANDS are to be realized.Social and economic development will also beseverely curtailed if the insecurity that prevailsis not resolved. Despite the considerable effortsby the Government and the international com-1 Many <strong>of</strong> the government’s initiatives in this area are describedin “A Policy for Private Sector Growth and Development” presentedat the Enabling Environment Conference, Kabul, June2007.4<strong>Afghanistan</strong> National Development Strategy (ANDS)

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