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The Challenge of Low-Carbon Development - World Bank Internet ...

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<strong>The</strong> WBG urban transport portfolio (2003–08)<strong>The</strong> IEG review <strong>of</strong> the overall transport portfolio (IEG2007) noted that the number <strong>of</strong> urban transport operationsis small relative to the scale <strong>of</strong> the problem. It suggestedthat the limited activity may reflect the complexity <strong>of</strong> theseprojects, but nonetheless it recommended that this subsector<strong>of</strong> activity should grow. Since then the WBG TransportBusiness Strategy for 2008–12 has identified climate changeas one <strong>of</strong> its five strategic objectives.Bus rapid transit projects, many withcarbon objectives, multiplied at the <strong>Bank</strong>after 2002.During 2003–08 there were 36 <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> urban transportoperations, versus 37 in the previous five-year period1998–2002. However, average <strong>Bank</strong> commitments per yeardeclined from $713 to $611 million. <strong>The</strong> decline in part reflectsa complete lack <strong>of</strong> new operations in South Asia in2003–08. However, a post-2008 upsurge may signal a partialreversal <strong>of</strong> trends.During 2003–08, there was a clear shift toward BRT. <strong>The</strong>rewere 19 such operations (11 for full BRTS), compared with6 in 1998–2002 (only one <strong>of</strong> which was for a BRTS). <strong>The</strong>new operations were concentrated in Latin America andEast Asia.Attention to carbon has been increasing. During 2003–08,39 percent <strong>of</strong> the urban transport operations had formalor informal 2 carbon reduction goals, versus 19 percent inthe prereview period. As many as 10 operations in 2003–08had components to monitor carbon reduction (comparedto only 1 in the previous period), 6 <strong>of</strong> which involved GEFfinancing to develop the components.Barriers and interventions to reducing congestion andCO 2emissionsBRTSs face a number <strong>of</strong> barriers:• Conflicting demand for road space. Establishing dedicatedbus lanes can displace other road users, creating resistanceto the loss <strong>of</strong> circulation space and leading to spillover<strong>of</strong> traffic to neighboring roads. Demand managementand parking restrictions are potential responses.• Institutional problems. <strong>The</strong> real benefits <strong>of</strong> mass publictransportation are only realized with a multicorridortrunk route system that is linked to a series <strong>of</strong> feederroutes. Scaling up to such a system puts a premium oncoordinated planning in multi-jurisdictional metropolitanareas and on sustained long-term political commitmentto routes and land use zoning.• Opposition by taxi and minivan owners. BRT achievespollution, congestion, and carbon emissions reductionslargely by substituting for existing fleets <strong>of</strong> minibuses.Such fleets are highly polluting and unsafe but employthousands <strong>of</strong> drivers, who tend to oppose change. Thisprocess has proven to be politically contentious in manycities; responses include finding ways to integrate the driversinto the new system or otherwise compensate them.Photo by Curt Carnemark, courtesy <strong>of</strong> the <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong>Photo Library.Beyond Energy: <strong>Low</strong>-<strong>Carbon</strong> Paths in Cities and Forests | 49

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