The Challenge of Low-Carbon Development - World Bank Internet ...

The Challenge of Low-Carbon Development - World Bank Internet ... The Challenge of Low-Carbon Development - World Bank Internet ...

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12.07.2015 Views

Management ResponseI. IntroductionManagement welcomes the second phase evaluation by theIndependent Evaluation Group (IEG) of lessons-learnedfor development and climate change mitigation from theWorld Bank Group’s (WBG) portfolio in energy, forestry,and transport. As noted in the first phase evaluation (IEG2009), IEG’s evaluation covering the expanding projectlevelexperience of the Bank and the International FinanceCorporation (IFC) in promoting renewable energy, energyefficiency, and carbon finance enables a comprehensive assessmentof the focus and success of the WBG’s efforts onlow carbon development. Management appreciates the factthat this report covers activities across the entire WBG,including IFC and the Multilateral Investment GuaranteeAgency (MIGA).The report addresses a very important topic and summarizesa major exercise to review how the WBG portfoliohas been contributing to low-carbon growth objectives. Itapproaches this exercise from an appropriate and constructiveangle: not to be the “judge” of the past WBG performancein promoting low-carbon growth, since, until veryrecently, it was not a stated WBG objective, but rather touse available experiences and lessons to inform future actions.It correctly recognizes that projects can contribute tolow-carbon growth even if they do not necessarily includeit in development objectives, and thus assesses a wide poolof projects with and without explicitly stated mitigationrelated objectives. While the report does not look at everysector and subsector where significant mitigation cobenefitscan be obtained, its selection of sectors is reasonable.Management appreciates the many useful observations andsuggestions provided in the report and concurs with aspectsof IEG’s main findings. Many of these comments reinforcethe messages expressed in the WBG Strategic Frameworkon Development and Climate Change (SFDCC) and arecomplemented by emerging lessons from analytical studies,sector strategies, and relevant project level experiencesacross the WBG. At the same time, management differswith some of IEG’s findings and recommendations.II. Key Issues of Agreement and DivergenceOverview of responseThis Management Response first outlines the areas in whichmanagement broadly agrees with the analysis in the review,noting, however, areas where IEG could have given a fulleraccount of efforts the WBG has made or is making. It thendiscusses areas in which Management believes that IEGhas drawn conclusions from an analysis based on limitedcoverage, without fully taking into account the significantongoing changes that have been facilitated by the adoptionof the SFDCC.A. Areas of agreementLow-Carbon Studies. Appendix J, referring to the lowcarbonpilot program, provides a useful summary of theavailable work. It also includes the comment that access toenergy is generally not considered. Management would liketo emphasize that this statement should not be generalizedabout all work on low-carbon studies, since the observationis based only on work presently in the public domain (forexample, Brazil and Mexico and the review of renewableenergy targets and power dispatch efficiency for China).The low-carbon study for India has paid attention to theaccess issue.In addition, the appendix does not address the issue of longtermplanning (20 years+) and demand for capacity buildingin this area, which has been integral to the low-carbonwork along with the need to engage and build consensusacross broad stakeholder groups. These are the emergingkey lessons, and as such should be incorporated in the lowcarbonwork to be pursued in the future.Development cobenefits. With respect to the issue ofenergy access, IEG correctly notes that monitoring andevaluation data are rarely available to quantify cobenefitsof low-carbon interventions in terms of poverty reduction,energy/transport access, and gender equity. In this regard,management believes that it is worth noting the priority beinggiven to developing results frameworks for the SFDCCand the Climate Investment Funds (CIF). This ongoingwork aims to identify indicators which would allow for abetter tracking of distributional and gender dimensions,with a view to assessing the extent to which developmentcobenefits actually result from low-carbon interventions.A new set of International Development Association (IDA)core indicators has also been prepared to better capture thedevelopment impacts of energy projects. Also, the forthcomingreport on transport and climate underscores theimpact of development cobenefits in moving toward a lowcarbontransport sector.Finally, since the issue of development cobenefits is ofcentral importance to the WBG, management feels that itxvi | Climate Change and the World Bank Group

should have been strengthened in the report. This wouldhave helped identify a set of concrete suggestions on howbest to capture and measure the potential developmentdividend of low-carbon growth.B. Areas of divergenceStrategic direction. Management is of the view that severalmajor policy decisions made by the WBG on climatechange needed to be better reflected in the IEG report. Specifically,the report tends to imply that the SFDCC requires“optimizing” both local and global benefits and outcomes.However, this premise is not the message of the StrategicFramework; the SFDCC very clearly states that the WBG isto help clients “maximize” national and local developmentoutcomes, taking advantage of low-carbon growth opportunitiesto achieve these outcomes whenever possible. Itwould have been better if the IEG report had correctly presentedcurrent WBG policies as articulated in the SFDCC.While the IEG report makes selective references to specificrecent initiatives that draw on lessons from experiencesover the study period, it does not recognize the significanceof ongoing changes that have been facilitated by theadoption of the SFDCC. These changes cut across projectdesign and implementation, corporate targets, and new financialinstruments and are also reflected in organizationalrestructuring as well as addition of new staff with specializedexpertise. While it is too soon to evaluate their impact,these actions are indicative of greater corporate commitmentto addressing climate change. For example, climatechange work has become a major focus of IFC’s business.The IEG report should also have emphasized more stronglythat the “debate” has moved beyond “low-carbon” developmentto “climate smart” development as noted in the WorldDevelopment Report 2010, taking into account synergiesthat exist between climate resilience and low-carbongrowth.Cleaner production. An area of difference in views concernsIFC’s Cleaner Production (CP) program, which IEGsummarizes as dedicating “significant resources … to smallloans” and largely dependent for impact on concessionallending. In contrast, management perceives cleaner productionmore broadly as part of a systematic approach tohelping clients identify opportunities for resource and energyefficiency which can be implemented at low cost andwith continuing benefits. Management would like to stressthat the CP program is one initiative among others that aimto improve resource-use efficiency in IFC operations.Coal power. Management would like to emphasize that theapplication of the system analysis suggested for evaluatinginvestment decisions for coal power projects should takeinto account differences across power markets. The IEGreport’s conclusion that investment in transmission anddistribution (T&D) loss reduction would avert the neededcapacity addition from the Tata Mundra project in India isoversimplified. This conclusion does not account for differencesin power supply-demand balances or the level of T&Dlosses within India’s regional networks (the 27 percent T&Dlosses cited in the report is an average across five regionalnetworks). An investment decision on capacity additionsis always linked to a prospective service market, not to theentire country. The analogy of using the same system wideapproach as for the Kosovo electricity system analysis is aninappropriate extrapolation, since the total system capacityis only about 1,000 MW linked through a single nationaltransmission network. For Kosovo, any investment in T&Dloss reduction will result in capacity availability in any regionof the country; whereas in India, the power market is muchlarger, and the supply-demand situation varies locally.Energy efficiency. Management is of the view that thereport’s evaluation of energy efficiency is somewhatoversimplified in that it does not include a discussion ofoperationally-relevant nuances vis-à-vis energy efficiencybarriers. By limiting the discussion to specific financingtools such as credit lines, the analysis does not fully appreciatethe broader challenges in dealing with energy efficiencyimplementation through key delivery mechanisms(for example, incentive systems, market-based approaches,and regulatory policies to implement energy efficiency subprojects)which are required to overcome energy efficiencysector constraints and address transaction risks. Furthermore,by focusing on only a few types of interventions, thediscussion does not mention some of the barriers addressedthrough other operations (technical assistance, policy work,and so forth), which are meant to create additional driversfor energy efficiency (mostly through incentives or throughnew policy drivers). As a result, the evaluation depicts anincomplete picture of World Bank programs in some countries,most notably in China.Management also believes that barriers to investment inenergy efficiency, particularly within many large energy-intensiveindustries, remain significant and justify continuedtargeted efforts to work with banks and commercial lenders.This conclusion is underscored by recent announcementsof setbacks in achieving Chinese targets for energyefficiency improvements in key industrial sectors. IEG’smethodology, which relies primarily on self-reporting byindustrial enterprises already under government mandate,needs to be reassessed, with more attention given to commercialrealities and constraints on clean energy lending.Outstanding data issues. Management finds that the datafile provided in the report is difficult to reconcile with theenergy database, and as such, does not allow for verificationof IEG’s numbers. Further efforts to ensure consistency ofdata would be desirable.Management Response | xvii

should have been strengthened in the report. This wouldhave helped identify a set <strong>of</strong> concrete suggestions on howbest to capture and measure the potential developmentdividend <strong>of</strong> low-carbon growth.B. Areas <strong>of</strong> divergenceStrategic direction. Management is <strong>of</strong> the view that severalmajor policy decisions made by the WBG on climatechange needed to be better reflected in the IEG report. Specifically,the report tends to imply that the SFDCC requires“optimizing” both local and global benefits and outcomes.However, this premise is not the message <strong>of</strong> the StrategicFramework; the SFDCC very clearly states that the WBG isto help clients “maximize” national and local developmentoutcomes, taking advantage <strong>of</strong> low-carbon growth opportunitiesto achieve these outcomes whenever possible. Itwould have been better if the IEG report had correctly presentedcurrent WBG policies as articulated in the SFDCC.While the IEG report makes selective references to specificrecent initiatives that draw on lessons from experiencesover the study period, it does not recognize the significance<strong>of</strong> ongoing changes that have been facilitated by theadoption <strong>of</strong> the SFDCC. <strong>The</strong>se changes cut across projectdesign and implementation, corporate targets, and new financialinstruments and are also reflected in organizationalrestructuring as well as addition <strong>of</strong> new staff with specializedexpertise. While it is too soon to evaluate their impact,these actions are indicative <strong>of</strong> greater corporate commitmentto addressing climate change. For example, climatechange work has become a major focus <strong>of</strong> IFC’s business.<strong>The</strong> IEG report should also have emphasized more stronglythat the “debate” has moved beyond “low-carbon” developmentto “climate smart” development as noted in the <strong>World</strong><strong>Development</strong> Report 2010, taking into account synergiesthat exist between climate resilience and low-carbongrowth.Cleaner production. An area <strong>of</strong> difference in views concernsIFC’s Cleaner Production (CP) program, which IEGsummarizes as dedicating “significant resources … to smallloans” and largely dependent for impact on concessionallending. In contrast, management perceives cleaner productionmore broadly as part <strong>of</strong> a systematic approach tohelping clients identify opportunities for resource and energyefficiency which can be implemented at low cost andwith continuing benefits. Management would like to stressthat the CP program is one initiative among others that aimto improve resource-use efficiency in IFC operations.Coal power. Management would like to emphasize that theapplication <strong>of</strong> the system analysis suggested for evaluatinginvestment decisions for coal power projects should takeinto account differences across power markets. <strong>The</strong> IEGreport’s conclusion that investment in transmission anddistribution (T&D) loss reduction would avert the neededcapacity addition from the Tata Mundra project in India isoversimplified. This conclusion does not account for differencesin power supply-demand balances or the level <strong>of</strong> T&Dlosses within India’s regional networks (the 27 percent T&Dlosses cited in the report is an average across five regionalnetworks). An investment decision on capacity additionsis always linked to a prospective service market, not to theentire country. <strong>The</strong> analogy <strong>of</strong> using the same system wideapproach as for the Kosovo electricity system analysis is aninappropriate extrapolation, since the total system capacityis only about 1,000 MW linked through a single nationaltransmission network. For Kosovo, any investment in T&Dloss reduction will result in capacity availability in any region<strong>of</strong> the country; whereas in India, the power market is muchlarger, and the supply-demand situation varies locally.Energy efficiency. Management is <strong>of</strong> the view that thereport’s evaluation <strong>of</strong> energy efficiency is somewhatoversimplified in that it does not include a discussion <strong>of</strong>operationally-relevant nuances vis-à-vis energy efficiencybarriers. By limiting the discussion to specific financingtools such as credit lines, the analysis does not fully appreciatethe broader challenges in dealing with energy efficiencyimplementation through key delivery mechanisms(for example, incentive systems, market-based approaches,and regulatory policies to implement energy efficiency subprojects)which are required to overcome energy efficiencysector constraints and address transaction risks. Furthermore,by focusing on only a few types <strong>of</strong> interventions, thediscussion does not mention some <strong>of</strong> the barriers addressedthrough other operations (technical assistance, policy work,and so forth), which are meant to create additional driversfor energy efficiency (mostly through incentives or throughnew policy drivers). As a result, the evaluation depicts anincomplete picture <strong>of</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> programs in some countries,most notably in China.Management also believes that barriers to investment inenergy efficiency, particularly within many large energy-intensiveindustries, remain significant and justify continuedtargeted efforts to work with banks and commercial lenders.This conclusion is underscored by recent announcements<strong>of</strong> setbacks in achieving Chinese targets for energyefficiency improvements in key industrial sectors. IEG’smethodology, which relies primarily on self-reporting byindustrial enterprises already under government mandate,needs to be reassessed, with more attention given to commercialrealities and constraints on clean energy lending.Outstanding data issues. Management finds that the datafile provided in the report is difficult to reconcile with theenergy database, and as such, does not allow for verification<strong>of</strong> IEG’s numbers. Further efforts to ensure consistency <strong>of</strong>data would be desirable.Management Response | xvii

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