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GSDRC Topic Guide on Climate Change Adaptation

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TOPIC GUIDE<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>Adaptati<strong>on</strong>Andrew McDevitt


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong><strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>Andrew McDevitt


About this guide<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g>s provide clear, impartial overviews of current evidence and thinking in topic areas relating togovernance, c<strong>on</strong>flict and social development. They introduce key texts, and c<strong>on</strong>tain links to <strong>on</strong>e-page summaries ofthese texts <strong>on</strong> gsdrc.org.<strong>Climate</strong> change is now recognised as a mainstream development issue. Developing countries are expected to suffermost severely from the impacts of climate change, which threatens to exacerbate existing vulnerabilities and hinderprogress in attaining the Millennium Development Goals. At the same time, those most vulnerable to climate changeare also the least resp<strong>on</strong>sible for causing it, whilst the imperative to reduce global greenhouse gas emissi<strong>on</strong>s placesgreater pressure <strong>on</strong> developing countries to shift to low carb<strong>on</strong> development pathways.This topic guide focuses <strong>on</strong> adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate change in developing countries from a governance and socialdevelopment perspective. It explores how climate change is likely to impact <strong>on</strong> the poorest and most vulnerable andsome of the resp<strong>on</strong>se measures that might be adopted.Although bey<strong>on</strong>d the remit of this topic guide, an understanding of the relati<strong>on</strong>ship between adaptati<strong>on</strong>, mitigati<strong>on</strong>(reducing greenhouse gas emissi<strong>on</strong>s) and the broader sustainable development agenda is key to assessing the synergiesand trade-offs between different policy opti<strong>on</strong>s. A brief introducti<strong>on</strong> to these issues is presented in the c<strong>on</strong>text of lowcarb<strong>on</strong> and climate resilient development.The guide was written by Andrew McDevitt (<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>) in November 2010, in collaborati<strong>on</strong> with Tom Mitchell (OverseasDevelopment Institute), Blessings Chinsigwa (University of Malawi) and Mozarahul Alam (United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Envir<strong>on</strong>mentProgramme).About the <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>The Governance and Social Development Resource Centre (<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>) provides cutting-edge knowledge services <strong>on</strong>demand and <strong>on</strong>line. It aims to help reduce poverty by informing policy and practice in relati<strong>on</strong> to governance, c<strong>on</strong>flictand social development. The <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g> receives core funding from the UK Department for Internati<strong>on</strong>al Development(DFID) and from the Australian Agency for Internati<strong>on</strong>al Development (AusAID).www.gsdrc.orgGovernance and Social Development Resource Centre (<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>)Internati<strong>on</strong>al Development Department, College of Social SciencesUniversity of Birmingham, UKFirst published November 2010This updated editi<strong>on</strong> published June 2012© University of BirminghamGovernance and Social Development Resource Centre 2


C<strong>on</strong>tentsUnderstanding climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> as a development issue ............................................................. 5Terms and definiti<strong>on</strong>s .......................................................................................................................................5Where is a good place to start? ........................................................................................................................5The scientific basis for adaptati<strong>on</strong> ....................................................................................................................6Adaptati<strong>on</strong> and development ..........................................................................................................................7The costs of adaptati<strong>on</strong> ....................................................................................................................................8Key climate change and development informati<strong>on</strong> resources ...................................................................... 10Web portals ............................................................................................................................................... 10Research organisati<strong>on</strong>s .............................................................................................................................. 10The impact of climate change <strong>on</strong> poverty and vulnerability ....................................................................... 12Understanding vulnerability in the c<strong>on</strong>text of climate change ..................................................................... 12Vulnerability of different social groups ......................................................................................................... 13Women ...................................................................................................................................................... 13Children ..................................................................................................................................................... 14Older people .............................................................................................................................................. 14Minorities .................................................................................................................................................. 14Additi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources ........................................................................................................................... 15Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: financing and governance ....................................................................... 16Internati<strong>on</strong>al policy framework for adaptati<strong>on</strong> ............................................................................................. 16Financing adaptati<strong>on</strong> ..................................................................................................................................... 16Recent developments ................................................................................................................................ 17Sources, delivery and accountability in adaptati<strong>on</strong> finance ...................................................................... 19Allocati<strong>on</strong> and additi<strong>on</strong>ality of adaptati<strong>on</strong> finance ................................................................................... 20Nati<strong>on</strong>al and sub-nati<strong>on</strong>al governance ......................................................................................................... 21Nati<strong>on</strong>al-level adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning ........................................................................................................... 22Local actors and instituti<strong>on</strong>s ...................................................................................................................... 23Additi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources ........................................................................................................................... 243 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: policies and programmes ........................................................................ 26Introducti<strong>on</strong> ................................................................................................................................................... 26Social policies for adaptati<strong>on</strong>: Social protecti<strong>on</strong> and risk transfer ................................................................ 27Community-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> and livelihood support ................................................................................. 29Disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> ................................................................................................................................... 30Ecosystem-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> ........................................................................................................................ 31Low carb<strong>on</strong> and climate resilient development ............................................................................................ 32Additi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources ........................................................................................................................... 33<strong>Climate</strong> change, c<strong>on</strong>flict, migrati<strong>on</strong> and fragility ........................................................................................ 35<strong>Climate</strong> change, security and c<strong>on</strong>flict ............................................................................................................ 35<strong>Climate</strong> change and migrati<strong>on</strong> ....................................................................................................................... 36Adaptati<strong>on</strong> in fragile and c<strong>on</strong>flict-affected states ......................................................................................... 38Additi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources ........................................................................................................................... 39M<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluating adaptati<strong>on</strong> ...................................................................................................... 40How to measure successful adaptati<strong>on</strong>? ....................................................................................................... 40Additi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources ........................................................................................................................... 41Adaptati<strong>on</strong> guidance and tools .................................................................................................................. 42Mainstreaming adaptati<strong>on</strong> into development programming ....................................................................... 42Project level adaptati<strong>on</strong> tools ........................................................................................................................ 43General tools ............................................................................................................................................. 43Community-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> ................................................................................................................... 44Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong> ............................................................................................................................. 44Additi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources ........................................................................................................................... 44Governance and Social Development Resource Centre 4


Understanding climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> as a developmentissueTerms and definiti<strong>on</strong>sThe Intergovernmental Panel <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (IPCC) defines adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate change as the set of: “initiativesand measures to reduce the vulnerability of natural and human systems against actual or expected climate changeeffects” (IPCC, 2007). For the purposes of this guide, the focus is <strong>on</strong> ‘planned’ adaptati<strong>on</strong> – i.e. adaptati<strong>on</strong> that resultsfrom formal, c<strong>on</strong>scious, and collective decisi<strong>on</strong>-making processes – as opposed to ‘aut<strong>on</strong>omous’ or ‘sp<strong>on</strong>taneous’adaptati<strong>on</strong>.The lexic<strong>on</strong> associated with climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> is large and inc<strong>on</strong>sistently applied. Terms such as ‘adaptivecapacity’, ‘vulnerability’, ‘sensitivity’ and ‘resilience’ are often used loosely and in some cases have different meaningsdepending <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>text (e.g. ecosystems science vs. social science). Even the use of the term ‘climate change’ differsbetween the IPCC, for whom it refers to any change in climate over time (IPCC, 2007), and the United Nati<strong>on</strong>sFramework C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (UNFCCC), for whom it refers to changes that are attributable to humanactivity over and above natural climate variability (UNFCCC, 1992).The following documents present a range of interpretati<strong>on</strong>s of c<strong>on</strong>cepts and terms identified in UN and nati<strong>on</strong>al climatechange reports as well as in the academic literature.Levina, E. and Tirpak, D., 2006, ‘Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: Key Terms’, OECD, Parishttp://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/36/53/36736773.pdfScho<strong>on</strong>, M., 2005, ‘A Short Historical Overview of the C<strong>on</strong>cepts of Resilience, Vulnerability, and Adaptati<strong>on</strong>’, WorkingPaper W05-4, Workshop in Political Theory and Policy Analysis, Indiana Universityhttp://www.indiana.edu/~iupolsci/gradcv/scho<strong>on</strong>/historical_critique.pdfUNFCCC, 1992, ‘Text of the United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Framework C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>’, United Nati<strong>on</strong>s FrameworkC<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, B<strong>on</strong>nhttp://unfccc.int/resource/docs/c<strong>on</strong>vkp/c<strong>on</strong>veng.pdfWhere is a good place to start?A comm<strong>on</strong> point of departure in debates around climate change and development is that those resp<strong>on</strong>sible for causingclimate change have an obligati<strong>on</strong> to rectify the problem (in terms of both leading <strong>on</strong> mitigati<strong>on</strong> and supportingadaptati<strong>on</strong>). A further point often advanced is that, given the atmosphere’s limited capacity to absorb greenhousegases (GHGs), there should be some compensati<strong>on</strong> for the diminishing envir<strong>on</strong>mental space left for developingcountries to fuel their own development.These c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>s are generally reflected in the principles which underpin internati<strong>on</strong>al climate negotiati<strong>on</strong>s, such asthe acknowledgement of ‘comm<strong>on</strong> but differentiated resp<strong>on</strong>sibilities’ and reference to the special needs of developingcountries. However, there remains much disagreement am<strong>on</strong>g developing and developed countries regarding thedegree to which resp<strong>on</strong>sibility should be shared in practice, particularly in light of the rapid growth of GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>sfrom some industrialising countries in the global South.Gardiner, S. , 2010, ‘Ethics and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: An Introducti<strong>on</strong>’, WIREs <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, vol. 1, no. 1http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3938What are the ethics of climate change? This paper offers an overview of the emerging field of climate ethics. It arguesthat ethical analysis can c<strong>on</strong>tribute to five central c<strong>on</strong>cerns of climate policy: the treatment of scientific uncertainty,resp<strong>on</strong>sibility for past emissi<strong>on</strong>s, the setting of mitigati<strong>on</strong> targets, and the places of adaptati<strong>on</strong> and geo-engineering inthe policy portfolio.5 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Understanding climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> as a development issueThe scientific basis for adaptati<strong>on</strong>The Intergovernmental Panel <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>’s (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report states that: “[w]arming of theclimate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observati<strong>on</strong>s of increases in global average air and oceantemperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice and rising global average sea level.” Specifically, it finds that:• many natural systems are being affected by regi<strong>on</strong>al climate changes, particularly temperature increases;• most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20 th century is very likely due tothe observed increase in anthropogenic GHG c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>s;• discernible human influences extend bey<strong>on</strong>d average temperature to other aspects of climate;• anthropogenic warming over the last three decades has likely had a discernible influence at the global scale <strong>on</strong>observed changes in many physical and biological systems;• c<strong>on</strong>tinued GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s at or above current rates would cause further warming and induce many changes inthe global climate system during the 21st century that would very likely be larger than those observed duringthe 20 th century;• altered frequencies and intensities of extreme weather, together with sea level rise, are expected to havemostly adverse effects <strong>on</strong> natural and human systems;• anthropogenic warming and sea level rise would c<strong>on</strong>tinue for centuries due to the time scales associated withclimate processes and feedbacks, even if GHG c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>s were to be stabilised;• anthropogenic warming could lead to some impacts that are abrupt or irreversible, depending up<strong>on</strong> the rateand magnitude of the climate change;• a wide array of adaptati<strong>on</strong> opti<strong>on</strong>s is available, but more extensive adaptati<strong>on</strong> than is currently occurring isrequired to reduce vulnerability to climate change. There are barriers, limits and costs, which are not fullyunderstood;• adaptive capacity is intimately c<strong>on</strong>nected to social and ec<strong>on</strong>omic development but is unevenly distributedacross and within societies.The Report also emphasises five ‘reas<strong>on</strong>s for c<strong>on</strong>cern’ previously identified in the Third Assessment Report (2001) as aframework to c<strong>on</strong>sider key vulnerabilities. These are:• Risks to unique and threatened systems such as polar and high mountain communities and ecosystems andbiodiversity hotspots.• Risks of extreme weather events such as droughts, heat waves and floods.• Distributi<strong>on</strong> of impacts and vulnerabilities. There are sharp differences across regi<strong>on</strong>s and those in the weakestec<strong>on</strong>omic positi<strong>on</strong> are often the most vulnerable to climate change. There is increasing evidence of greatervulnerability of specific groups such as the poor and elderly not <strong>on</strong>ly in developing but also in developedcountries. Moreover, there is increased evidence that low-latitude and less developed areas generally facegreater risk, for example in dry areas and mega-deltas.• Aggregate impacts. The net costs of impacts of increased warming are projected to increase over time.• Risks of large-scale singularities such as sea level rise from thermal expansi<strong>on</strong> and melting ice sheets.In additi<strong>on</strong>, the IPCC released a Special Report in 2012 <strong>on</strong> 'Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters toAdvance <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> (SREX)'. This assessed more recent studies and new global and regi<strong>on</strong>al modellingresults. Its c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s included:• Medium c<strong>on</strong>fidence in an observed increase in the length or number of warm spells or heat waves in manyregi<strong>on</strong>s of the globe• Likely increase in frequency of heavy precipitati<strong>on</strong> events or increase in proporti<strong>on</strong> of total rainfall from heavyfalls over many areas of the globe• Medium c<strong>on</strong>fidence in projected increase in durati<strong>on</strong> and intensity of droughts in some regi<strong>on</strong>s of the world.IPCC, 2007, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> 2007: Synthesis Report’, C<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> of Working Groups I, II and III to the FourthAssessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Intergovernmental Panel <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>,GenevaGovernance and Social Development Resource Centre 6


http://www.ipcc.ch/publicati<strong>on</strong>s_and_data/ar4/syr/en/c<strong>on</strong>tents.htmlIPCC, 2012, 'Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>', A SpecialReport of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Cambridge University Press,Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USAhttp://www.ipcc-wg2.gov/SREX/UNFCCC, 2007, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: Impacts, Vulnerabilities, and Adaptati<strong>on</strong> in Developing Countries’, United Nati<strong>on</strong>sFramework C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, B<strong>on</strong>nhttp://unfccc.int/resource/docs/publicati<strong>on</strong>s/impacts.pdfThis book outlines the impact of climate change in four developing country regi<strong>on</strong>s: Africa, Asia, Latin America andsmall island developing States; the vulnerability of these regi<strong>on</strong>s to future climate change; current adaptati<strong>on</strong> plans,strategies and acti<strong>on</strong>s; and future adaptati<strong>on</strong> opti<strong>on</strong>s and needs.McMullen, C. P. and Jabbour, J. (eds.), 2009, '<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Science Compendium 2009’, United Nati<strong>on</strong>sEnvir<strong>on</strong>ment Programme, Nairobihttp://www.unep.org/compendium2009The <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Science Compendium is a review of some 400 major scientific c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>s to our understandingof Earth Systems and climate that have been released through peer-reviewed literature or from research instituti<strong>on</strong>sover the last three years, since the close of research for c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> by the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. Evidenceof unexpected rates of change in Arctic sea ice extent, ocean acidificati<strong>on</strong>, and species loss emphasizes the urgencyneeded to develop management strategies for addressing climate change.Adaptati<strong>on</strong> and developmentFollowing the release of the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report, it has become increasingly apparent that, even withc<strong>on</strong>certed mitigati<strong>on</strong> efforts, climate change will have far reaching c<strong>on</strong>sequences for poverty reducti<strong>on</strong> efforts and theachievement of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). <strong>Climate</strong> change impacts are expected to fall predominantly<strong>on</strong> the world’s poorest people, who have the least capacity to resp<strong>on</strong>d. Slow-<strong>on</strong>set climatic changes will lead toreducti<strong>on</strong>s in both the quality and quantity of natural resources which the poor depend <strong>on</strong>.Specific projected impacts include disrupti<strong>on</strong> to agricultural producti<strong>on</strong>, reduced food security, increased malnutriti<strong>on</strong>through drought, reduced access to clean water, more favourable c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s for the spread of vector-borne diseases,increased heat stress and more diarrheal diseases. Impacts will also be felt through increases in the frequency andintensity of sudden <strong>on</strong>set disasters such as flooding, leading to the destructi<strong>on</strong> of infrastructure and displacement.More broadly, climate change is expected to have a negative impact <strong>on</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth in many countries withrepercussi<strong>on</strong>s for poverty reducti<strong>on</strong> efforts. A related c<strong>on</strong>cern in this c<strong>on</strong>text is the relati<strong>on</strong>ship between climatechange and human rights. For discussi<strong>on</strong> of rights-based approaches in the c<strong>on</strong>text of climate change, see theenvir<strong>on</strong>ment secti<strong>on</strong> of the <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s human rights topic guide.As a result, adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate change is rapidly rising up the development agenda. Broadly speaking there are twodistinct perspectives <strong>on</strong> how to approach adaptati<strong>on</strong> in developing country c<strong>on</strong>texts: <strong>on</strong>e focuses <strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>ding tospecific predicted climate impacts and managing risk. The other is more c<strong>on</strong>cerned with reducing vulnerability andbuilding resilience and adaptive capacity.Between these two extremes is a c<strong>on</strong>tinuum of interventi<strong>on</strong>s from ‘pure’ adaptati<strong>on</strong> measures <strong>on</strong> the <strong>on</strong>e hand to‘pure’ development activities <strong>on</strong> the other. In practice, most interventi<strong>on</strong>s fall somewhere between these twoextremes. It is increasingly recognised, however, that successful adaptati<strong>on</strong> will require interventi<strong>on</strong>s which address therange of challenges al<strong>on</strong>g the whole spectrum and, as a result, there is an ever greater focus <strong>on</strong> mainstreamingadaptati<strong>on</strong> into development planning (see adaptati<strong>on</strong> guidance and tools: mainstreaming adaptati<strong>on</strong> intodevelopment programming). This has important implicati<strong>on</strong>s for how adaptati<strong>on</strong> is financed and there remains muchdebate about the extent to which official development assistance (ODA) should c<strong>on</strong>tribute towards adaptati<strong>on</strong> efforts(see financing adaptati<strong>on</strong>).7 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


focus instead <strong>on</strong> ‘climate-resilient development’ (see Low carb<strong>on</strong> and climate resilient development). One recent study(Fankhauser and Schmidt-Traub, 2010), for example, has estimated the costs of climate-proofing the MillenniumDevelopment Goals (MDGs) for Africa at around US$100 billi<strong>on</strong> a year for the next decade, compared with $72 billi<strong>on</strong> ayear for the MDGs al<strong>on</strong>e. Others, however, point to the need to maintain clear diving lines to ensure that funding foradaptati<strong>on</strong> is additi<strong>on</strong>al to existing overseas development assistance (ODA) commitments. What is clear from the rangeof estimates is that current mechanisms and sources of financing are insufficient to meet the challenge (see financingadaptati<strong>on</strong>).World Bank, 2010, ‘The Ec<strong>on</strong>omics of Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>. A Synthesis Report’, Final C<strong>on</strong>sultati<strong>on</strong> Draft,The World Bank Group, Washingt<strong>on</strong> DChttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3891How much will it cost to help developing countries adapt to climate change? How can country development plansincorporate adaptati<strong>on</strong> measures? This study estimates the cost between 2010 and 2050 of adapting to a two-degreetemperature increase by 2050 as between $70-$100 billi<strong>on</strong> a year. This is more than 80 per cent of the developmentassistance given in 2008, but is approximately 0.17 per cent of developing countries' GDP. Key less<strong>on</strong>s are to buildflexibility into both policies and hardware and to ensure that outside assistance for instituti<strong>on</strong>al reform builds <strong>on</strong>internally-driven changes.Parry, M., N. et al., 2009, ‘ Assessing the Costs of Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: A review of the UNFCCC and OtherRecent Estimates’, Internati<strong>on</strong>al Institute for Envir<strong>on</strong>ment and Development and the Grantham Institute for <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong>, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3895How realistic are current estimates of adaptati<strong>on</strong> costs for climate change? Will low investment levels in some regi<strong>on</strong>srequire full funding of climate change development? This report analyses the United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Framework C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong><strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (UNFCCC) and argues that its climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> costs are substantially under-estimated. Itrecommends more detailed assessments of residual damage that might occur if adaptati<strong>on</strong> funding is inadequate andcalls for analyses of country- and sector-specific adaptati<strong>on</strong> costs.The UNFCCC estimates reviewed in Parry et al. (2009) are detailed in the following document:UNFCCC, 2007, ‘Investment and Financial Flows to Address <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>’, Background paper, United Nati<strong>on</strong>sFramework C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, B<strong>on</strong>nhttp://unfccc.int/files/cooperati<strong>on</strong>_and_support/financial_mechanism/applicati<strong>on</strong>/pdf/background_paper.pdfFankhauser, S. and Schmidt-Traub, G., 2010, ‘From Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong>-Resilient Development. The Costs of<strong>Climate</strong>-Proofing the Millennium Development Goals in Africa’, Grantham Research Institute and Centre for <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omics and Policy, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> School of Ec<strong>on</strong>omics and Political Science, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3868How much would it cost to ensure that the Millennium Development Goals are achieved in Africa despite climatechange? This paper estimates that climate-resilient development in Africa could require internati<strong>on</strong>al financialassistance of $100 billi<strong>on</strong> a year over the period 2010-2020. This total is about forty percent higher than the originalMDG estimate of $72 billi<strong>on</strong>. Adaptati<strong>on</strong> is, in fact, climate-resilient development, and integrated adaptati<strong>on</strong> anddevelopment frameworks must be applied in the form of c<strong>on</strong>crete development plans at the country level.Agrawala, S. and Fankhauser, S. (eds), 2008, ‘Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Aspects of Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: Costs, Benefits andPolicy Instruments’, Organisati<strong>on</strong> for Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Cooperati<strong>on</strong> and Development, Parishttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3921This report assesses adaptati<strong>on</strong> costs and benefits in key climate-sensitive sectors, as well as across sectors. It movesthe discussi<strong>on</strong> bey<strong>on</strong>d cost estimati<strong>on</strong> to examining market and regulatory mechanisms that can be used to incentiviseadaptati<strong>on</strong> acti<strong>on</strong>s. It argues that for adaptati<strong>on</strong> to be effective, a number of policy measures will be required toprepare the ground. A combinati<strong>on</strong> of markets and public policy can refine risk sharing (through innovative insuranceschemes), improve natural resource management (through the creati<strong>on</strong> of envir<strong>on</strong>mental markets) and help climateproofinfrastructure (through Public-Private Partnerships).Stern, N., 2006, ‘The Stern Review <strong>on</strong> the Ec<strong>on</strong>omics of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>’, HM Treasury, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://bit.ly/fPkeFL9 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Sumner, A., and Mallett, R., 2011, ‘Snakes and Ladders Buffers and Passports: Rethinking Poverty, Vulnerability andWellbeing’, Working Paper 83, Internati<strong>on</strong>al Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth, UNDP, Brasiliahttp://www.ipc-undp.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper83.pdfVulnerability of different social groupsIt is widely asserted that the poor will be hardest hit by the impacts of climate change, especially those whoselivelihoods are most heavily dependent <strong>on</strong> natural resources. The vulnerability of the poor is generally seen as resultingfrom limited access to assets combined with physical exposure to predicted climate-related hazards, and discussed interms of broad groupings (e.g. low-income countries, people living <strong>on</strong> less than $2 a day). An alternative perspectivecalls for a more nuanced multi-dimensi<strong>on</strong>al analysis of poverty at the micro-level which places particular emphasis <strong>on</strong>existing vulnerability of different groups of poor people to natural variati<strong>on</strong>s in the climate and to the coping capacitythey already possess.Tanner, T. and Mitchell, T., 2008, ‘Building the Case for Pro-poor Adaptati<strong>on</strong>’ in Poverty in a Changing <strong>Climate</strong>, IDSBulletin, 39:4, IDS, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3876Why must climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> be pro-poor? What are the links between adaptati<strong>on</strong> and poverty and how canpro-poor adaptati<strong>on</strong> inform climate-resilient poverty reducti<strong>on</strong> at all scales? This article argues that adaptati<strong>on</strong> toclimate change will be inefficient and inequitable if it does not c<strong>on</strong>sider the multidimensi<strong>on</strong>al and differentiated natureof poverty and vulnerability.<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 2007, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Social Exclusi<strong>on</strong>’, Helpdesk Research Report, <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Birminghamhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Helpdesk&id=416Whilst there is a body of research <strong>on</strong> climate change vulnerability, very little research attempts to disaggregate ‘thepoor' and look in detail at specific issues and implicati<strong>on</strong>s for socially excluded groups. From the literature which doesexist, key issues identified for children include their increased vulnerability to health problems and the need to ensureDisaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong> (DRR) strategies are child-focused and include the perspectives of children and young people. Inthe case of older people, their ability to adapt to climate change may be affected by changes to family networks,migrati<strong>on</strong>, a lack of insurance or pensi<strong>on</strong> facilities am<strong>on</strong>g the rural poor and the need to care for orphanedgrandchildren. In terms of gendered impacts of climate change, much of the literature argues that climate change hasdifferential impacts <strong>on</strong> men and women, and that gendered aspects of mitigati<strong>on</strong> and adaptati<strong>on</strong> must not beoverlooked by policymakers. Authors also emphasise the importance of strengthening women’s voice in nati<strong>on</strong>al andinternati<strong>on</strong>al climate change negotiati<strong>on</strong>s.WomenAs the majority of the world’s poor, women are likely to be disproporti<strong>on</strong>ately affected by the impacts of climatechange. Girls and elderly women especially are often the most vulnerable in times of stress. Particular vulnerabilitiesare identified with regards to access to health, dependence <strong>on</strong> agriculture and access to water, formal and informallabour, climate-related disasters, displacement and c<strong>on</strong>flict. Increasingly however, the characterisati<strong>on</strong> of womensolely as victims of climate change is being challenged. There are calls for a more thorough gendered analysis of climatechange impacts so that resp<strong>on</strong>ses can be better tailored to the specific needs of both men and women, and women’sperspectives are included in decisi<strong>on</strong>-making processes at all levels.Terry, G., 2009, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Gender Justice’, Practical Acti<strong>on</strong> Publishinghttp://www.oxfam.org.uk/resources/downloads/wigad_climate/WIGAD_climate_change_gender_justice_book_pap.pdfBRIDGE, 2011, 'Cutting Edge Pack <strong>on</strong> Gender and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>', Institute of Development Studies, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://www.bridge.ids.ac.uk/go/bridge-publicati<strong>on</strong>s/cutting-edge-packs/gender-and-climate-changeBrody, A., Demetriades, J. and Esplen, E., 2008, ‘Gender and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: Mapping the Linkages. A Scoping Study<strong>on</strong> Knowledge and Gaps’, BRIDGE, Institute of Development Studies, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3901What is gender equality in the c<strong>on</strong>text of climate change? How can adaptati<strong>on</strong> and mitigati<strong>on</strong> measures help to reducegender inequality? This paper discusses links between climate change and gender inequality and identifies gaps incurrent research <strong>on</strong> gender and the envir<strong>on</strong>ment. It finds that involving women fully in adaptati<strong>on</strong> and mitigati<strong>on</strong>13 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


The impact of climate change <strong>on</strong> poverty and vulnerabilityprocesses will help to redress gender inequality and ensure that the human impacts of climate change are moreeffectively addressed. Removing obstacles to women's participati<strong>on</strong> requires support for grassroots awareness-raising,c<strong>on</strong>fidence building, advocacy and leadership training programmes.Mitchell, T., Tanner, T. and Lussier, K., 2007, ‘We Know What We Need: South Asian Women Speak Out <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>’, Acti<strong>on</strong>Aid, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3916How are poor women in Bangladesh, India and Nepal managing to protect their lives, homes, assets and livelihoodsfrom weather-related hazards? This study of women in rural communities in the Ganga river basin shows that they havestarted to adapt to climate change and can clearly articulate what they need to secure and sustain their livelihoods.Their priorities include: a safe place to live and store their harvest and livestock during the m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> seas<strong>on</strong>; betteraccess to services such as training; and informati<strong>on</strong> about adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies and livelihood alternatives. They als<strong>on</strong>eed access to resources in order to implement effective strategies and overcome c<strong>on</strong>straints. Adaptati<strong>on</strong> funds mustplay a key role in promoting women's rights.ChildrenChildren are particularly susceptible to disaster-related and health impacts of climate change including an increasedprevalence of malaria, diarrhoea and under-nutriti<strong>on</strong>. However, as with other social groupings, the idea that childrenshould be seen solely as victims of climate change is c<strong>on</strong>tested. Instead children are increasingly portrayed as activeagents of change who have an important stake in the future. A rights perspective requires that greater attenti<strong>on</strong> bepaid to children’s issues in adaptati<strong>on</strong> policies and that they play a role in decisi<strong>on</strong>s that affect them.UNICEF, 2008, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Children: A Human Security Challenge’ Policy Review Paper, United Nati<strong>on</strong>sChildren’s Fund Innocenti Research Centre, Florencehttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3900How can the internati<strong>on</strong>al community better incorporate the needs of children into its climate change and humansecurity policies? This report c<strong>on</strong>tends that while children have a unique vulnerability to the effects of climate change,many of the mechanisms currently being used to address this phenomen<strong>on</strong> fail to take their needs into c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>. Itrecommends that children's issues be made central to the internati<strong>on</strong>al human security agenda and that childrenthemselves be given a larger role to play in influencing and creating policy to address climate change.Save the Children, 2008, ‘In the Face of Disaster: Children and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>’, Internati<strong>on</strong>al Save the ChildrenAlliance, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3925What should the internati<strong>on</strong>al community do to reduce children’s vulnerability to the effects of climate change? Thisreport analyses the impacts of climate change <strong>on</strong> children and calls for more and better measures by the internati<strong>on</strong>alcommunity to mitigate these effects. D<strong>on</strong>ors should increase their aid budgets, mainstream Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong> intheir programming, and ensure a focus <strong>on</strong> traditi<strong>on</strong>ally under-funded areas particularly relevant to children.Older peopleHelpAge, 2009, ‘Witness to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: Learning from Older People’s Experience’, Briefing, HelpAgeInternati<strong>on</strong>al, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3927This paper is based <strong>on</strong> research with older men and women from Bangladesh, Bolivia, Ethiopia, India, Kenya,Kyrgyzstan, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. It looks at older people's experience and awareness of climatechange, and calls for better inclusi<strong>on</strong> of their views in developing adaptive strategies. Older people are particularlyvulnerable to the effects of climate change and are repositories of indigenous knowledge and experience that couldc<strong>on</strong>tribute to local and nati<strong>on</strong>al adaptati<strong>on</strong>. They are, however, excluded from climate change debates.MinoritiesMinority Rights, 2008, ‘The Impact of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>on</strong> Minorities and Indigenous Peoples’ Briefing paper, MinorityRights Group, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3945Governance and Social Development Resource Centre 14


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: financing and governanceAdaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: financing and governanceInternati<strong>on</strong>al policy framework for adaptati<strong>on</strong>The principle internati<strong>on</strong>al policy framework for dealing with climate change is the United Nati<strong>on</strong>s FrameworkC<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (UNFCCC). Signed at the Rio Earth Summit in 1992, the UNFCCC represents an attemptto stabilise greenhouse gas (GHG) c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>s in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerousanthropogenic climate change (an average global temperature rise of no more than 2⁰C). Under the c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>, theKyoto protocol sets binding GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s targets for those industrialised countries which have signed up to it,amounting to an average of five per cent against 1990 levels over the five-year period 2008-2012. Recent attempts toagree <strong>on</strong> a successor to Kyoto bey<strong>on</strong>d 2012, most notably at the 2009 UNFCCC C<strong>on</strong>ference of Parties (CoP) inCopenhagen, have had limited success.Within the c<strong>on</strong>text of the UNFCCC and internati<strong>on</strong>al policy discussi<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> climate change, the issue of adaptati<strong>on</strong> has<strong>on</strong>ly recently become a priority. The 2007 Bali Acti<strong>on</strong> Plan (BAP) was key in raising the political status of adaptati<strong>on</strong> bygiving equal importance to acti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> both mitigati<strong>on</strong> and adaptati<strong>on</strong>. Under the UNFCCC a range of programmes havebeen established to assist developing countries in formulating and implementing adaptati<strong>on</strong> plans, chiefly:• Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Programmes of Acti<strong>on</strong> (NAPAs): NAPAs are multi-stakeholder assessments through whichleast developed countries (LDCs) identify their urgent and immediate adaptati<strong>on</strong> needs. As of July 2009, 42 outof 49 NAPAs had been submitted and 439 projects had been identified, at a total aggregate cost of $1.7 billi<strong>on</strong>(see also nati<strong>on</strong>al-level adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning).http://unfccc.int/nati<strong>on</strong>al_reports/napa/items/2719.php• The Nairobi Work Programme <strong>on</strong> impacts, vulnerability and adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate change (NWP): The NWP is afive-year (2005-2010) programme <strong>on</strong> the scientific, technical and socio-ec<strong>on</strong>omic aspects of vulnerability andadaptati<strong>on</strong>. It aims to assist countries to improve their understanding of impacts, vulnerability and adaptati<strong>on</strong>to make informed decisi<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> practical adaptati<strong>on</strong> acti<strong>on</strong>s and measures to resp<strong>on</strong>d to climate change.http://unfccc.int/adaptati<strong>on</strong>/nairobi_work_programme/items/3633.phpSchipper, E., L., Cigarán, M., P., Hedger, M., 2008, ‘Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: the New Challenge forDevelopment in the Developing World’, UNDP Envir<strong>on</strong>ment & Energy Group, New Yorkhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3877What are the challenges facing countries in adapting to climate change? Adaptati<strong>on</strong> involves a process of sustainableand permanent adjustment to climate change and has clear policy links to ec<strong>on</strong>omic development, poverty reducti<strong>on</strong>,and disaster management strategies. Successful adaptati<strong>on</strong> policies will require l<strong>on</strong>g-term thinking and c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> ofclimate change impacts at internati<strong>on</strong>al, nati<strong>on</strong>al, regi<strong>on</strong>al, local and community levels. Adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning mustc<strong>on</strong>sider vulnerabilities to climate change, appropriate technologies, capacity, and local coping practices as well asgovernment policies and acti<strong>on</strong>s.Financing adaptati<strong>on</strong>Funding for adaptati<strong>on</strong> under the UNFCCC is delivered through the Global Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Facility (GEF) and theAdaptati<strong>on</strong> Fund Board (AFB).The GEF administers three climate funds:• The Strategic Priority <strong>on</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> (SPA) to support pilot and dem<strong>on</strong>strati<strong>on</strong> projects that generate both local(development-focused) and global benefits;• The Least Developed Countries Fund (LDCF) to support the preparati<strong>on</strong> and implementati<strong>on</strong> of NAPAs; and• The Special <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Fund (SCCF) to support l<strong>on</strong>g-term adaptati<strong>on</strong> measures that increase the resilienceof nati<strong>on</strong>al development sectors to the impacts of climate change.The AFB operates the Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Fund under the Kyoto Protocol to finance c<strong>on</strong>crete adaptati<strong>on</strong> projects andprogrammes in developing countries that are Parties to the Kyoto Protocol. Unlike other funds that rely mainly <strong>on</strong>Governance and Social Development Resource Centre 16


d<strong>on</strong>or c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>s, this fund is financed with a 2 per cent share of proceeds from clean development mechanism(CDM) projects.In additi<strong>on</strong>, funding for adaptati<strong>on</strong> is now increasingly being delivered through a proliferati<strong>on</strong> of multilateral andbilateral channels, most notably through the World Bank’s Pilot Programme for <strong>Climate</strong> Resilience (PPCR), theadaptati<strong>on</strong> comp<strong>on</strong>ent of the Banks’ multi-d<strong>on</strong>or <strong>Climate</strong> Investment Funds. In fact these now significantly outweighUNFCCC channels in terms of the levels of funding available (see Figure 1 below).To date, adaptati<strong>on</strong> finance from all these sources has been allocated primarily towards adaptati<strong>on</strong> assessment,planning and capacity-building. There are now calls for the focus to begin switching to the implementati<strong>on</strong> ofadaptati<strong>on</strong> initiatives. (See Figure 1 <strong>on</strong> next page.)Recent developmentsOne of the few areas in which progress was made at the 2009 C<strong>on</strong>ference of Parties (CoP) in Copenhagen was in thearea of climate finance. Although not legally binding, the Copenhagen Accord committed developed countries toprovide $100 billi<strong>on</strong> dollars a year by 2020, including a $30 billi<strong>on</strong> ‘fast-start’ pledge between 2010 and 2012 to addressthe needs of developing countries with balanced allocati<strong>on</strong> between adaptati<strong>on</strong> and mitigati<strong>on</strong>. This funding is to comefrom a wide variety of sources, public and private, bilateral and multilateral, including alternative sources of finance.Crucially however, there remains much uncertainty and disagreement <strong>on</strong> appropriate principles and mechanisms foradministering, channelling and allocating these funds. A further issue is how funding will be generated and the extent towhich it represents ‘new and additi<strong>on</strong>al’ resources over and above existing overseas development assistance (ODA)commitments.Perss<strong>on</strong>, A. et al., 2009, ‘Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Finance under a Copenhagen Agreed Outcome’, Research Report, StockholmEnvir<strong>on</strong>ment Institute, Stockholmhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3941How can an agreement <strong>on</strong> adaptati<strong>on</strong> finance be reached as part of the United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Framework C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong><strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (UNFCCC)? This report examines the issues in relati<strong>on</strong> to the three stages of adaptati<strong>on</strong> finance:generati<strong>on</strong>, governance and delivery. The block in negotiati<strong>on</strong>s can often be attributed to different percepti<strong>on</strong>s of whatis 'equitable' and 'fair' burden-sharing. Recommendati<strong>on</strong>s include the need for agreement <strong>on</strong> measurable allocati<strong>on</strong>criteria to facilitate objective decisi<strong>on</strong>-making.Schalatek, L., Bird, N. and Brown, J., 2010, ‘Where’s the M<strong>on</strong>ey? The Status of <strong>Climate</strong> Finance Post‐Copenhagen’,Heinrich Böll Foundati<strong>on</strong> and ODIhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3949What progress was made regarding climate finance at the 2009 talks in Copenhagen? The 'Copenhagen Accord' givessome clear promises and numbers for both short- and l<strong>on</strong>g-term financial support to help developing countries,especially the most vulnerable, to address climate change. It pledges US$10 billi<strong>on</strong> per year from 2010-2012, thenUS$100 billi<strong>on</strong> per year from 2020. However, as the Accord is a n<strong>on</strong>-binding political agreement, if and how thosecommitments can be fulfilled remains uncertain. The Advisory Group <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Financing will submit its finalrecommendati<strong>on</strong>s before the Cancun meeting in December 2010.Bapna M. and McGray H., 2008, 'Financing Adaptati<strong>on</strong>: Opportunities for Innovati<strong>on</strong> and Experimentati<strong>on</strong>', WorldResources Institute, Washingt<strong>on</strong> DChttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3942How should funding for climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> be generated, channelled and spent? This paper explores theopportunities and challenges involved in financing adaptati<strong>on</strong> efforts in developing countries. Helping developingcountries adapt to climate change will involve enormous resources, above those already assigned for development.Finance mechanisms that can deliver this additi<strong>on</strong>al level of resource need to be designed. Separating the differentprocesses around generating, channelling and spending adapti<strong>on</strong> finance offers a way forward. D<strong>on</strong>or countrypolicymakers need to understand that effective approaches to adaptati<strong>on</strong> finance will require attenti<strong>on</strong> to all threephases of decisi<strong>on</strong>-making, and to the interplay am<strong>on</strong>g them in any political c<strong>on</strong>text.17 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Figure 1: Principle multilateral and bilateral climate adaptati<strong>on</strong> fundsAmounts pledged, deposited and disbursedAdapted from: <strong>Climate</strong> Funds Update (November 2010)Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: financing and governanceFund NamePledgedUS$ milli<strong>on</strong>DepositedUS$ milli<strong>on</strong>DispersedUS$ milli<strong>on</strong>Funds exclusively for adaptati<strong>on</strong>Pilot Program for <strong>Climate</strong> ResilienceThe World Bank 981.84 174.70 9.01Least Developed Countries FundThe Global Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Facility (GEF) 221.45 169.19 141.96Adaptati<strong>on</strong> FundAdaptati<strong>on</strong> Fund Board 197.05 169.99 9.46Special <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> FundThe Global Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Facility (GEF) 147.78 110.48 97.17Funds which include an adaptati<strong>on</strong> comp<strong>on</strong>ent (percentage varies)Hatoyama InitiativeGovernment of Japan 15,000.00 5,320.00 5,319.89GEF Trust Fund: <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> focal area (GEF 5)The Global Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Facility (GEF) 1,359.38 0.00 0.00GEF Trust Fund: <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> focal area (GEF 4)The Global Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Facility (GEF) 1,032.92 1,032.92 1,023.49Amaz<strong>on</strong> Fund (Fundo Amazônia)Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES) 1,000.00 110.00 59.91Internati<strong>on</strong>al <strong>Climate</strong> InitiativeGovernment of Germany 519.60 515.61 258.02Global <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> AllianceThe European Commissi<strong>on</strong> 204.15 201.75 8.10MDG Achievement Fund: Envir<strong>on</strong>ment and <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> thematic window - UNDP 89.50 89.50 61.84Glemarec, Y., Waissbein, O. and Bayraktar, H., 2010, ‘Human Development in a Changing <strong>Climate</strong>: A Framework for<strong>Climate</strong> Finance’, Discussi<strong>on</strong> Paper, Energy and Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Group, UNDP, New Yorkhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3937How can climate finance be raised from a variety of sources at scale? How can this finance be delivered to where it ismost needed with sufficient speed and in way that is nati<strong>on</strong>ally owned? A country-driven, multi-stakeholder climatefinance framework is proposed to meet these objectives, built <strong>on</strong> four country-level mechanisms. It involves: 1)formulati<strong>on</strong> of low-emissi<strong>on</strong>s, climate-resilient development strategies (to bring about bottom-up nati<strong>on</strong>al ownership,incorporate human development goals, and take a l<strong>on</strong>g-term outlook); 2) financial and technical support platforms (tocatalyse the required scale of finance and associated capacity; 3) Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Plan-type instruments (forGovernance and Social Development Resource Centre 18


alanced and fair access to internati<strong>on</strong>al public finance); and 4) coordinated implementati<strong>on</strong> and M<strong>on</strong>itoring, Reportingand Verificati<strong>on</strong> systems (to facilitate l<strong>on</strong>g-term, efficient results).The World Resources Institute (WRI) has carried out a preliminary analysis of countries’ immediate fast-start pledgesannounced thus far. The analysis looks at both the amounts and the mechanisms by which funding would be deliveredand the extent to which funds can be deemed 'new and additi<strong>on</strong>al'.World Resources Institute: Summary of Developed Country ‘Fast-Start’ <strong>Climate</strong> Finance Pledges (regularly updated)http://www.wri.org/publicati<strong>on</strong>/summary-of-developed-country-fast-start-climate-finance-pledgesSimilarly, the following document analyses the current (midway) status of the ‘fast-start’ financing scheme.Brown, J., Stadelmann, M., and Hornlein, L., 2011, ‘Fast-start finance to address climate change: what we know atthe mid-point’, ODI Background Note, Overseas Development Institute, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.odi.org.uk/resources/docs/7272.pdfSources, delivery and accountability in adaptati<strong>on</strong> financeAdaptati<strong>on</strong> finance is distinct from development finance in that it is seen by many developing countries ascompensati<strong>on</strong> for the damage caused by climate change rather than as a form of discreti<strong>on</strong>ary assistance like ODA.Nevertheless, under current arrangements, adaptati<strong>on</strong> finance comes from both voluntary and mandatoryc<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>s through nati<strong>on</strong>al budgets and market-based levies.The plethora of funding mechanisms and channels for adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate change makes for a complex picture. Onthe <strong>on</strong>e hand, the GEF is often regarded as cumbersome and n<strong>on</strong>-transparent and has failed to channel anywhere nearthe volume of funding necessary to address climate issues. On the other hand, the recent proliferati<strong>on</strong> of new bilateraland multilateral funding mechanisms is creating a highly fragmented system which poses significant coordinati<strong>on</strong>,ownership and accountability challenges. The pace at which this new adaptati<strong>on</strong> architecture is developing has causedsome c<strong>on</strong>cern, especially given that there is no overarching framework to govern the delivery of these new funds.In this c<strong>on</strong>text, current debates focus <strong>on</strong>: whether to strengthen the mandate (and effectiveness) of the GEF; whatprinciples should be established to oversee the delivery of climate finance; how to simplify rules and enable more directaccess for developing countries to climate finance; how to ensure that funds are appropriate, sufficient and predictable;and how to ensure that funds are managed transparently at the nati<strong>on</strong>al level and are resp<strong>on</strong>sive to local needs.Increasingly, there are calls for less<strong>on</strong>s to be drawn from internati<strong>on</strong>al experience in improving aid effectiveness(underpinned by principles of harm<strong>on</strong>isati<strong>on</strong>, alignment, country ownership and mutual accountability).From a development perspective a further key c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> is the extent to which different types of finance are ableto target the poorest and most vulnerable. Private finance is seen as particularly ineffective in this regard – as is the GEF– compared to funding channelled through civil society. Targeting of bi-lateral, multi-lateral and state-led funding als<strong>on</strong>eeds to be improved.Porter, G., Bird, N., Kaur, N. and Peskett, L., 2008, ‘New Finance for <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and the Envir<strong>on</strong>ment’, WWF andHeinrich Boll Stiftunghttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3952What are the implicati<strong>on</strong>s of the recent proliferati<strong>on</strong> of funding initiatives aimed at addressing global envir<strong>on</strong>mentalissues? This paper examines eight new bilateral funds and six multilateral funds established to address the challengesrelated to climate change. It recommends early harm<strong>on</strong>isati<strong>on</strong> of the financial architecture and greater involvement ofdeveloping countries in design processes.Mitchell, T., Anders<strong>on</strong>, S. and Huq, S., 2008, ‘Principles for Delivering Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Finance’, Institute of DevelopmentStudies, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3910This briefing proposes a set of principles for delivering adaptati<strong>on</strong> finance and uses these to assess the efficacy ofdifferent country-level adaptati<strong>on</strong> delivery mechanisms. Currently, accessing adaptati<strong>on</strong> funding is difficult, governanceprocesses lack transparency and decisi<strong>on</strong> making favours projects rather than programmatic approaches. Instead,effective delivery of integrated adaptati<strong>on</strong> could be guided by principles of country ownership, prioritising the most19 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: financing and governancevulnerable, mutual accountability and harm<strong>on</strong>isati<strong>on</strong>. Countries should be allowed to set their own adaptati<strong>on</strong>priorities and should be supported by flexible, tailored delivery mechanisms that promote programmatic approaches.CIDSE and Caritas, 2010, ‘Business as Unusual. Direct Access: Giving power Back to the Poor?, Discussi<strong>on</strong> Paper,CIDSE, Brusselshttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3924Finance for climate acti<strong>on</strong> in developing countries is widely agreed to be an essential element of a post-2012 climateagreement, and a key factor in negotiating such finance will be 'Direct Access' (DA). This paper explores the DA c<strong>on</strong>cept,examining its challenges and merits, by discussing existing funds that have adopted this modality. Whilst DA is anefficient and effective means of delivering financial support to developing countries, it cannot of itself guaranteeinclusivity or engagement with the most vulnerable. Civil society participati<strong>on</strong> and empowerment, multi-stakeholderengagement, and a bottom-up approach are crucial elements in developing a comprehensive DA climate financingmodel.Ballesteros, A. and Ramkumar, V., 2009, ‘Accounting for Results: Ensuring Transparency and Accountability inFinancing for <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>’, IBP Budget Brief, Internati<strong>on</strong>al Budget Partnership, Washingt<strong>on</strong> DChttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3969How will climate change funds be collected, distributed, and accounted for at the internati<strong>on</strong>al level? Whatmechanisms are needed to ensure that recipient countries manage these funds in ways that are transparent andresp<strong>on</strong>sive to the needs and input of the public? This Brief argues that gathering resources and managing resourcesneed to be c<strong>on</strong>sidered simultaneously. The next generati<strong>on</strong> of climate finance needs to strengthen the nati<strong>on</strong>alinstituti<strong>on</strong>s that will implement mitigati<strong>on</strong> and adaptati<strong>on</strong> activities and ensure their transparency and accountability tocitizens within countries, as well as to the internati<strong>on</strong>al community.Allocati<strong>on</strong> and additi<strong>on</strong>ality of adaptati<strong>on</strong> financeTo date, there has been no agreement <strong>on</strong> equitable and measurable allocati<strong>on</strong> criteria that can be used for adaptati<strong>on</strong>finance. Debates revolve around the weight which should be given to different criteria such as climate sensitivity,exposure and vulnerability, adaptive capacity, and absorpti<strong>on</strong> and implementati<strong>on</strong> capacity, as well as other n<strong>on</strong>climaticindicators such as populati<strong>on</strong> and poverty levels within a country.In terms of how adaptati<strong>on</strong> finance is actually spent, funding to date has largely been disbursed <strong>on</strong> a project-by-projectbasis. Given the piecemeal nature of this approach and the growing recogniti<strong>on</strong> of the synergies between manydevelopment and adaptati<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s, the emphasis has begun to shift toward integrating adaptati<strong>on</strong> into <strong>on</strong>goingdevelopment planning (see adaptati<strong>on</strong> guidance and tools: mainstreaming adaptati<strong>on</strong> into development programming.)There is some c<strong>on</strong>cern however that this could mean diverting existing ODA pledges towards adaptati<strong>on</strong> activitieswhich could lead to a decrease in flows of aid to certain sectors such as educati<strong>on</strong> and health or to certain regi<strong>on</strong>s suchas Sub-Saharan Africa. In this c<strong>on</strong>text there is much debate around the extent to which the commitment under theCopenhagen Accord to provide $100 a year for adaptati<strong>on</strong> by 2020 represents ‘new and additi<strong>on</strong>al’ funding, especiallygiven that there is no clear baseline against which to measure these pledges. In resp<strong>on</strong>se, a range of definiti<strong>on</strong>s ofadditi<strong>on</strong>ality have been advanced, with a view to reaching a comm<strong>on</strong> definiti<strong>on</strong>. These include finance that: a) is overand above the 0.7 per cent ODA target; b) represents an increase <strong>on</strong> 2009 ODA levels directed at climate changeactivities; c) is set at an agreed percentage in relati<strong>on</strong> to ODA; or d) is altogether separate from ODA. However, each ofthese interpretati<strong>on</strong>s implies trade-offs am<strong>on</strong>g different actors and, as such, the current debate is driven largely bypolitical interest rather than c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>s of the effectiveness of adaptati<strong>on</strong> finance.Barr, R., Fankhauser, S., and Hamilt<strong>on</strong> , K., 2010, ‘The Allocati<strong>on</strong> of Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Funding’, Grantham ResearchInstitute and Centre for <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omics and Policy, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> School of Ec<strong>on</strong>omics and Political Sciencehttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3881How should climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> funding be allocated? This paper argues that allocati<strong>on</strong> decisi<strong>on</strong>s should focus<strong>on</strong> the c<strong>on</strong>cept of vulnerability. While recognising that expert judgment will always play a role in funding decisi<strong>on</strong>s, itrecommends the adopti<strong>on</strong> of an empirical approach to allocati<strong>on</strong> in order to ensure transparency, efficiency, andequity. Indicators to guide the allocati<strong>on</strong> of adaptati<strong>on</strong> funding should relate to physical impact, adaptive capacity andimplementati<strong>on</strong> capacity.Brown J., Bird, N. and Schalatek L., 2010, '<strong>Climate</strong> Finance Additi<strong>on</strong>ality: Emerging Definiti<strong>on</strong>s and their Implicati<strong>on</strong>s',<strong>Climate</strong> Finance Policy Brief No.2, ODI and Heinrich Boll Foundati<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3962Governance and Social Development Resource Centre 20


What are the emerging definiti<strong>on</strong>s of 'climate finance additi<strong>on</strong>ality'? What are the technical and political implicati<strong>on</strong>s ofthese different definiti<strong>on</strong>s? This policy brief explores these questi<strong>on</strong>s and looks at their requirements in terms oftracking, measuring, reporting and verifying finance. Additi<strong>on</strong>ality is an important issue; sufficient finance must bechannelled towards climate change needs while simultaneously avoiding diversi<strong>on</strong> from development needs. The wayadditi<strong>on</strong>ality is defined by d<strong>on</strong>or governments needs focused attenti<strong>on</strong> and debate. Innovative approaches to raisingthe funds required outside development funding are needed.Brown, J. Cantore, N. and Willem te Velde, D., 2010, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> Financing and Development. Friends or Foes?’, ODIReport, ODI, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3902Will finance for climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> in developing countries compromise support for meeting the MillenniumDevelopment Goals? This study analyses country proposals for climate change funding put forward at recent UN-ledclimate change negotiati<strong>on</strong>s. It argues that while the aims of development and adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate change oftenoverlap, additi<strong>on</strong>al funds are needed to meet the specific challenges of global warming. If not, aid may be diverted fromdevelopment needs to adaptati<strong>on</strong>, resulting in the neglect of aid to certain regi<strong>on</strong>s and sectors.Stadelmann M., Roberts J.T. and Michaelowa A., 2010, 'Keeping a Big Promise: Opti<strong>on</strong>s for Baselines to Assess “Newand Additi<strong>on</strong>al” <strong>Climate</strong> Finance', CIS Discussi<strong>on</strong> Paper no. 66, Center for Comparative and Internati<strong>on</strong>al Studies,Zurichhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3944All major climate policy agreements have stated that climate finance for developing countries will be 'new andadditi<strong>on</strong>al'. But new and additi<strong>on</strong>al to what? This article explores opti<strong>on</strong>s for agreeing a baseline, and relatedmethodological challenges. It identifies two viable baselines: 'new funding sources <strong>on</strong>ly' and 'above pre-definedbusiness as usual level of development assistance'.Nati<strong>on</strong>al and sub-nati<strong>on</strong>al governanceWhilst the issue of global governance in relati<strong>on</strong> to climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> has received much attenti<strong>on</strong> over thepast few years, much less is understood about how to effectively c<strong>on</strong>nect emerging global frameworks with regi<strong>on</strong>al,nati<strong>on</strong>al and local level processes. Because different countries have very different pre-existing adaptive capacities andexperiences, approaches to adaptati<strong>on</strong> need to be flexible enough to take this diversity into account. In particular thereis a need for a much clearer understanding of the underlying political and instituti<strong>on</strong>al factors which will determinewhether proposed adaptati<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s are likely to work in a given socio-political c<strong>on</strong>text. This is especially true offragile and c<strong>on</strong>flict-affected states (see adaptati<strong>on</strong> in fragile and c<strong>on</strong>flict-affected states).Commissi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Development, 2009 ‘Governance Gaps’, Chapter 4 in Closing the Gaps, DisasterRisk Reducti<strong>on</strong> and Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> in Developing Countries’, Report of the Commissi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> and Development, Stockholmhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3889<strong>Climate</strong> change has highlighted the urgent need for the reform of governance approaches and instituti<strong>on</strong>s. Disaster riskreducti<strong>on</strong> of climate change impacts requires unparalleled internati<strong>on</strong>al cooperati<strong>on</strong> and new forms of local, nati<strong>on</strong>al,regi<strong>on</strong>al and internati<strong>on</strong>al governance. This chapter suggests how instituti<strong>on</strong>al architecture should be organised to fill'governance gaps' in order to serve local needs and improve climate change cooperati<strong>on</strong>. <strong>Climate</strong> change adaptati<strong>on</strong>will require instituti<strong>on</strong>s to use local resources, a global visi<strong>on</strong>, and cross-cutting agendas. Recommendati<strong>on</strong>s includegreater cooperati<strong>on</strong> with city governments and the establishment of nati<strong>on</strong>al inter-ministerial/inter-agency processesto review adaptati<strong>on</strong> policies and decisi<strong>on</strong>s.<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 2007, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Governance’, Helpdesk Research Report, <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Birminghamhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Helpdesk&id=351Work examining how climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> knowledge is transferred, the links between mitigati<strong>on</strong> and adaptati<strong>on</strong>and <strong>on</strong> how instituti<strong>on</strong>al and organisati<strong>on</strong>al structures c<strong>on</strong>tribute to adaptive capacity is beginning to emerge.However, c<strong>on</strong>siderable gaps still exist; particularly with research exploring good governance and the design ofinstituti<strong>on</strong>al architecture for adaptati<strong>on</strong> at nati<strong>on</strong>al, regi<strong>on</strong>al and local levels and with studies about how vulnerablecommunities can be linked more closely into nati<strong>on</strong>al and internati<strong>on</strong>al climate policy-making.Corfee-Morlot , J, Kamal-Chaoui, L., D<strong>on</strong>ovan, M.G., Cochran, I., Robert, A. and Teasdale, P.J., 2009, ‘Cities, <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> and Multilevel Governance’, OECD Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Working Papers N° 14, OECD, Paris21 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: financing and governancehttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3968What forms of nati<strong>on</strong>al-local policy links are used in implementing mitigati<strong>on</strong> and adaptati<strong>on</strong> policies? What are the keytools for integrated, multilevel governance of mitigati<strong>on</strong> and adaptati<strong>on</strong> activities, and how can these be applied? Thispaper highlights a 'hybrid' framework of multilevel governance in which local-regi<strong>on</strong>al/nati<strong>on</strong>al collaborati<strong>on</strong> promotesmutual learning and enhanced effectiveness. Systematic efforts are needed to align incentives across sectoral andcross-sectoral policy areas, so that regi<strong>on</strong>al and local policy implementati<strong>on</strong> is successful.Nati<strong>on</strong>al-level adaptati<strong>on</strong> planningThe principle mechanism guiding nati<strong>on</strong>al level adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning in developing countries is the Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptati<strong>on</strong>Programme of Acti<strong>on</strong> (NAPA). NAPAs are designed to assist least developed countries (LDCs) to identify priorityactivities that resp<strong>on</strong>d to their urgent and immediate needs based <strong>on</strong> an assessment of existing local coping strategiesrather than future vulnerability and impacts of climate change.NAPAs have generally been regarded as effective in terms of raising awareness of nati<strong>on</strong>al stakeholders aboutadaptati<strong>on</strong> and driving forward country-owned acti<strong>on</strong> plans. Crucially however, they have tended to run independentlyfrom existing nati<strong>on</strong>al development planning processes. This is largely because NAPAs tend to be project-oriented withan emphasis <strong>on</strong> urgent and immediate adaptati<strong>on</strong> activities and do not c<strong>on</strong>sider l<strong>on</strong>g-term development objectives.Furthermore, resp<strong>on</strong>sibility for preparing and implementing NAPAs and nati<strong>on</strong>al development plans tends to lie withdifferent ministries. As a result, there are increasing calls to incorporate adaptati<strong>on</strong> into poverty reducti<strong>on</strong> strategypapers (PRSPs) and to strengthen coordinati<strong>on</strong> and informati<strong>on</strong> exchange between ministries, different levels ofgovernment and civil society.Accordingly, climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning is beginning to move bey<strong>on</strong>d NAPAs to focus <strong>on</strong> l<strong>on</strong>ger-termapproaches. One prominent example is the UNDP’s African Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Programme (www.undp-aap.org), whichsupports 21 African countries to adjust their nati<strong>on</strong>al development processes to incorporate climate change risksthrough integrated adaptati<strong>on</strong> acti<strong>on</strong>s and resilience plans.Osman-Elasha, B. and Downing, T. E., 2007, ‘Less<strong>on</strong>s Learned in Preparing Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Programmes of Acti<strong>on</strong>in Eastern and Southern Africa’, European Capacity Building Initiative, Oxfordhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3931What less<strong>on</strong>s have been learned from the Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Programmes of Acti<strong>on</strong> (NAPAs) in Eastern and SouthernAfrica? This study looks at the internati<strong>on</strong>al effort to identify urgent needs and to begin implementing climateadaptati<strong>on</strong> projects in these regi<strong>on</strong>s. It c<strong>on</strong>cludes that NAPAs have played an important role in creating awareness anda sense of ownership am<strong>on</strong>g the different stakeholder groups, from policymakers to the general public at village level.However, the momentum generated must be sustained and funding is now needed to implement projects.Kramer, A. M., 2007, ‘Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> in Poverty Reducti<strong>on</strong> Strategies’, Occasi<strong>on</strong>al Paper for theHuman Development Report 2007/2008, Human Development Report Office, United Nati<strong>on</strong>s DevelopmentProgramme, New Yorkhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3950How far is climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> integrated into the poverty reducti<strong>on</strong> strategies of developing countries? Thispaper examines the Poverty Reducti<strong>on</strong> Strategy Papers (PRSPs) and Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Programmes of Acti<strong>on</strong> (NAPAs)of 19 countries and finds low incorporati<strong>on</strong> of adaptati<strong>on</strong> in PRSPs. Countries should develop regi<strong>on</strong>al and local climatechange instituti<strong>on</strong>al frameworks to strengthen the coordinati<strong>on</strong>, networking and informati<strong>on</strong> flows between differentlevels of governments and local civil society. The World Bank and United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Framework C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> (UNFCCC) must coordinate efforts to support countries developing PRSPs and NAPAs.Hardee K. and Mutunga, C., 2009, ‘Strengthening the Link Between <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> and Nati<strong>on</strong>alDevelopment Plans: Less<strong>on</strong>s from the Case of Populati<strong>on</strong> in Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Programmes of Acti<strong>on</strong> (NAPAs)’,Mitigati<strong>on</strong> and Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Strategies for Global <strong>Change</strong>, Volume 15, Number 2http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3933How well are Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Programme of Acti<strong>on</strong>s (NAPAs) integrated with nati<strong>on</strong>al development strategies inthe Least Developed Countries (LDCs)? This paper examines 41 NAPAs from the LDCs. It argues that NAPAs compeldeveloping countries to focus <strong>on</strong> immediate priorities at the expense of l<strong>on</strong>ger-term climate change c<strong>on</strong>cerns, such aspopulati<strong>on</strong> growth. The global community needs to adopt l<strong>on</strong>ger-term approaches that stress the link betweenadaptati<strong>on</strong> and development.Governance and Social Development Resource Centre 22


World Resources Institute, 2009, 'The Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptive Capacity Framework: Key Instituti<strong>on</strong>al Functi<strong>on</strong>s for aChanging <strong>Climate</strong>', Pilot Draft, World Resources Institute, Washingt<strong>on</strong>, D.C.http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3883How can countries adapt to climate change? The Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptive Capacity framework (NAC) identifies nati<strong>on</strong>al-levelfuncti<strong>on</strong>s that all countries will need to perform to adapt effectively to climate change: assessment, prioritisati<strong>on</strong>,coordinati<strong>on</strong>, informati<strong>on</strong> management and climate risk reducti<strong>on</strong>. The framework can be used to assess how wellfuncti<strong>on</strong>s are being performed and to identify opportunities and priorities for building adaptive capacity andimplementing key activities.Local actors and instituti<strong>on</strong>sBecause climate change impacts are local and c<strong>on</strong>text specific, the role of local governments is seen as key. They willultimately have resp<strong>on</strong>sibility for implementing adaptati<strong>on</strong> and will need to collaborate with civil society and theprivate sector. Civil society is deemed particularly important for holding local and nati<strong>on</strong>al government to account foracting <strong>on</strong> climate change. There is therefore a pressing need to build instituti<strong>on</strong>al capacity at different levels, inparticular with regards to: sharing scientific knowledge and incorporating marginalised voices; identifying local needs;ensuring both horiz<strong>on</strong>tal and vertical accountability; efficiently transferring resources; coordinating policy acrosssectors; and cooperating across nati<strong>on</strong>al boundaries.Formal and informal instituti<strong>on</strong>s influence adaptati<strong>on</strong> by structuring the way climate impacts are experienced,c<strong>on</strong>necting individual and collective resp<strong>on</strong>ses to these impacts and channelling external resources for adaptati<strong>on</strong>. Assuch, it is widely recognised that adaptati<strong>on</strong> needs to be based <strong>on</strong> an understanding of local c<strong>on</strong>text and in particularthe pressures, obstacles and incentives c<strong>on</strong>fr<strong>on</strong>ted by local actors. Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate change is likely to be but <strong>on</strong>eof a range of competing political and ec<strong>on</strong>omic priorities (e.g. access to markets, food security). Because top downadaptati<strong>on</strong> processes are often based <strong>on</strong> optimistic assumpti<strong>on</strong>s about the capacity for local bureaucracies to take <strong>on</strong>new priorities, there is a str<strong>on</strong>g case for greater alignment with existing efforts of local actors to deal with the threatsand opportunities that they already face. The role of decentralised governance structures and in particular the need tostrengthen the capacity of local actors to prioritize and implement adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>ses is thus receiving increasingattenti<strong>on</strong>.Christoplos, I. et al., 2009, 'Human Dimensi<strong>on</strong>s of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>. The Importance of Local and Instituti<strong>on</strong>al Issues',Commissi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Development, Stockholmhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3936<strong>Climate</strong> change, c<strong>on</strong>flict, and the squeeze <strong>on</strong> natural resources due to populati<strong>on</strong> growth and envir<strong>on</strong>mentaldegradati<strong>on</strong> are intensifying poverty and vulnerability for many people. Local, aut<strong>on</strong>omous adaptati<strong>on</strong> to thesechallenges is often overlooked by nati<strong>on</strong>al government and the internati<strong>on</strong>al development community in their effortsto manage climate change. This paper examines climate-related adaptive capacities – of people, businesses and ecosystems– and suggests a new agenda, supporting individuals and instituti<strong>on</strong>s within their local c<strong>on</strong>text.Agrawal A., Perrin N., Chhatre A., Bens<strong>on</strong> C. and K<strong>on</strong><strong>on</strong>en M., 2009, '<strong>Climate</strong> Policy Processes, Local Instituti<strong>on</strong>s, andAdaptati<strong>on</strong> Acti<strong>on</strong>s: Mechanisms of Translati<strong>on</strong> and Influence', Social Dimensi<strong>on</strong>s of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, World Bank,Washingt<strong>on</strong> DChttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3898How can nati<strong>on</strong>al climate policy processes be translated into local adaptati<strong>on</strong> initiatives? What can be learned from theways in which natural resource managers have sought to make nati<strong>on</strong>al resource policies locally resp<strong>on</strong>sive andeffective? This paper examines nati<strong>on</strong>al-level adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning efforts and decentralisati<strong>on</strong> reforms. It highlights theneed to promote the capacity of local instituti<strong>on</strong>s and to strengthen links between local and nati<strong>on</strong>al adaptati<strong>on</strong>planning. Other recommendati<strong>on</strong>s are to: increase local aut<strong>on</strong>omy in adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning and implementati<strong>on</strong>;improve informati<strong>on</strong> sharing am<strong>on</strong>g decisi<strong>on</strong> makers at all levels; and increase the accountability of local decisi<strong>on</strong>makers to their c<strong>on</strong>stituents.Brockhaus, M. and Kambire, H., 2009, 'Decentralizati<strong>on</strong>: A Window of Opportunity for Successful Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>', Chapter 26 in Adger, N. W. (ed.) Adapting to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: Thresholds, Values, Governance,Cambridge University Press, Cambridgehttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3986This chapter examines the opportunities and barriers for successful adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate change in decentralisati<strong>on</strong>23 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: financing and governanceprocesses. Using a study of two municipalities in Burkina Faso, it stresses the importance of knowledge and instituti<strong>on</strong>alflexibility in overcoming resource dependency. The varying degrees of space generated by the decentralisati<strong>on</strong> processin the two municipalities dem<strong>on</strong>strates the importance of individual understanding and decisi<strong>on</strong>-making in determiningsuccessful adaptati<strong>on</strong>.Chistoplos, I. , 2010, ‘Incentives and C<strong>on</strong>straints to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> and Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong> – a LocalPerspective’, Commissi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Development, Stockholmhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3990How do the capacities of and c<strong>on</strong>straints experienced by local actors affect their engagement in climate changeadaptati<strong>on</strong> and disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> (CCA/DRR)? How can development actors improve their efforts to achieve local'buy-in' to CCA/DRR? This policy brief finds that CCA//DRR implementati<strong>on</strong> requires the creati<strong>on</strong> of an enablingenvir<strong>on</strong>ment for changes in local instituti<strong>on</strong>s, markets, political relati<strong>on</strong>ships and public service. The design of CCA/DRRinterventi<strong>on</strong>s should be linked to local priorities and local efforts to pursue market opportunities, and should avoidoverburdening local actors.Tanner, T.M., Mitchell, T., Polack, E. and Guenther, B., 2009, ‘Urban Governance for Adaptati<strong>on</strong>: Assessing <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> Resilience in Ten Asian Cities’, IDS Working Paper 315, Institute of Development Studies, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3929How can climate-related impacts be managed in urban settings? What are the links between urban governance, climateadaptati<strong>on</strong>, poverty reducti<strong>on</strong> and sustainable development? This paper develops an analytical framework bycombining governance literature with climate resilience assessments c<strong>on</strong>ducted in ten Asian cities. The climate-resilienturban governance assessment framework involves: (1) decentralisati<strong>on</strong> and aut<strong>on</strong>omy, (2) accountability andtransparency, (3) resp<strong>on</strong>siveness and flexibility, (4) participati<strong>on</strong> and inclusi<strong>on</strong> and (5) experience and support. Use ofthis framework can assist in assessing and building urban resilience to climate change in a way that reduces thevulnerability of the citizens most at risk from climate shocks and stresses.Satterthwaite, D., 2008, '<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Urbanizati<strong>on</strong>: Effects and Implicati<strong>on</strong>s for Urban Governance', Paperprepared for the United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Expert Group Meeting <strong>on</strong> Populati<strong>on</strong> Distributi<strong>on</strong>, Urbanizati<strong>on</strong>, Internal Migrati<strong>on</strong>and Development, 21-23 January 2008, New York, UNDESAhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3375How can municipal governments in low- and middle-income nati<strong>on</strong>s prepare for and adapt to the increasing risks posedby climate change? This paper, published by the United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Department of Ec<strong>on</strong>omic and Social Affairs, indicatesthat most adaptati<strong>on</strong> to the likely climate change-related dangers over the next few decades fits well within a localdevelopment agenda. There needs to be a significant increase in development funding to help local governments adaptto climate change challenges.Additi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources• <strong>Climate</strong> Funds Update is an independent website that provides informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> the growing number ofinternati<strong>on</strong>al funding initiatives designed to help developing countries address the challenges of climatechange. www.climatefundsupdate.org• <strong>Climate</strong> Finance Opti<strong>on</strong>s, a joint initiative of UNDP and the World Bank, aims to provide comprehensiveguidance <strong>on</strong> financial opti<strong>on</strong>s available for climate acti<strong>on</strong> in developing countries. It includes informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong>where to access the wide range of funds available from multilateral and bilateral instituti<strong>on</strong>, as well as publicand private sources.www.climatefinanceopti<strong>on</strong>s.org/cfo• UN Secretary-General’s High-level Advisory Group <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Financing (AGF) was established <strong>on</strong> 12February 2010 to develop practical proposals <strong>on</strong> how to scale-up l<strong>on</strong>g-term financing for mitigati<strong>on</strong> andadaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies in developing countries from various public as well as private sources.www.un.org/climatechange/agf• The European Capacity Building Initiative (ECBI) aims to promote a more level playing field betweengovernment delegati<strong>on</strong>s to the internati<strong>on</strong>al climate change negotiati<strong>on</strong>s, and to facilitate mutualunderstanding and trust, particularly with regards to climate finance. www.eurocapacity.orgGovernance and Social Development Resource Centre 24


• The UNDP's African Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Programme, aims to assist 21 African countries in implementing integratedand comprehensive adaptati<strong>on</strong> acti<strong>on</strong>s and resilience plans.www.undp-aap.org• The Commissi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Development (CCCD) was established by the Government of Swedenin 2008 to develop proposals <strong>on</strong> how adaptati<strong>on</strong>, risk reducti<strong>on</strong> and climate-proof development can beeffectively integrated into development and poverty reducti<strong>on</strong> plans in developing countries with a particularfocus <strong>on</strong> the ethical, human, instituti<strong>on</strong>al, and resource dimensi<strong>on</strong>s of adaptati<strong>on</strong>.www.ccdcommissi<strong>on</strong>.org• The <strong>Climate</strong> and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN), funded by the UK government, is designed tosupport developing countries in tackling the challenges posed by climate change.http://cdkn.org• Global Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong> and Human Security (GECHS) is a project of the Internati<strong>on</strong>al HumanDimensi<strong>on</strong>s Programme which situates envir<strong>on</strong>mental changes within the larger socioec<strong>on</strong>omic and politicalc<strong>on</strong>texts that cause them, and which shape the capacity of communities to cope with and resp<strong>on</strong>d to change.www.gechs.org• The World Bank’s Social Dimensi<strong>on</strong>s of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> programme focuses <strong>on</strong> the equity dimensi<strong>on</strong>s of theclimate change agenda within developing countries. It seeks to understand and address the distributi<strong>on</strong>al,poverty and social c<strong>on</strong>sequences of climate variability and change.http://go.worldbank.org/4NRYNHG1G0• UN-HABITAT's <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Cities programme works with local authorities around the world to enabledirect access to global climate funds and to promote local soluti<strong>on</strong>s to resp<strong>on</strong>d to the impacts of climatechange. www.unhabitat.org/categories.asp?catid=550• ICLEI - Local Governments for Sustainability is an internati<strong>on</strong>al associati<strong>on</strong> of local governments and nati<strong>on</strong>aland regi<strong>on</strong>al local government organizati<strong>on</strong>s committed to sustainable development. ICLEI's programme <strong>on</strong>climate change focuses <strong>on</strong> the three pillars of mitigati<strong>on</strong>, adaptati<strong>on</strong> and advocacy.www.iclei.org/index.php?id=800• The Asian Cities <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Resilience Network (ACCCRN) aims to catalyze attenti<strong>on</strong>, funding, and acti<strong>on</strong><strong>on</strong> building climate change resilience for poor and vulnerable people by creating robust models andmethodologies for assessing and addressing risk through active engagement and analysis of various cities.www.rockefellerfoundati<strong>on</strong>.org/what-we-do/current-work/developing-climate-change-resilience/asian-citiesclimate-change-resilience25 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: policies and programmesAdaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: policies and programmesIntroducti<strong>on</strong>For the most part, existing adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures maintain a sectoral and technical focus (e.g water,infrastructure, agriculture etc.) and pay insufficient attenti<strong>on</strong> to indirect risks and impacts <strong>on</strong> vulnerability. Figure 2below illustrates comm<strong>on</strong> types of adaptati<strong>on</strong> activity as identified by research from the World Resources Institute(McGray, Hammil and Bradley, 2007). The following secti<strong>on</strong>s of this topic guide present a selecti<strong>on</strong> of emergingapproaches which take a more nuanced view of vulnerability and target different social groups (see vulnerability ofdifferent social groups).Figure 2: Top 10 strategies employed in a selecti<strong>on</strong> of 135 adaptati<strong>on</strong> case studiesSTRATEGYChanging Natural ResourceManagement PracticesBuilding Instituti<strong>on</strong>sLaunching PlanningProcessesRaising AwarenessPromoting Technology<strong>Change</strong>Establishing M<strong>on</strong>itoring /Early Warning SystemsChanging AgriculturalPracticesEmpowering PeoplePromoting Policy <strong>Change</strong>Improving InfrastructureAdapted from McGray, Hammil and Bradley (2007)DESCRIPTIONEmphasizes new or different natural resourcemanagement practices (e.g., for managing water, land,protected areas, fisheries) as adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies.Creates new or strengthens existing instituti<strong>on</strong>s (e.g.,establishing committees, identifying mechanisms forsharing informati<strong>on</strong> across instituti<strong>on</strong>al boundaries,training staff resp<strong>on</strong>sible for policy development).Sets in moti<strong>on</strong> a specific process for adaptati<strong>on</strong> planning(e.g., developing a disaster preparedness plan, c<strong>on</strong>veningstakeholders around vulnerability assessment findings).Raises stakeholder awareness of climate change, specificclimate impacts, adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies, or theenvir<strong>on</strong>ment in general.Promotes implementati<strong>on</strong> or development of atechnology new to the locati<strong>on</strong> (e.g., irrigati<strong>on</strong>technology, communicati<strong>on</strong>s technology).Emphasizes the importance of creating, implementing,and/or maintaining m<strong>on</strong>itoring and/or early warningsystems.Focuses <strong>on</strong> new or different agricultural practices asadaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies.Emphasizes literacy, gender empowerment, or thecreati<strong>on</strong> of income generati<strong>on</strong> opportunities as a basisfor adaptati<strong>on</strong>.Promotes establishing a new policy or adjusting anexisting policy.Focuses <strong>on</strong> creating or improving built infrastructure(e.g., roads, sea walls, irrigati<strong>on</strong> systems).<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g> 2010, '<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Empowerment and Accountability', Helpdesk Research Report, <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Birminghamhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Helpdesk&id=649This <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g> helpdesk report looks at how climate change policies and programmes (particularly for adaptati<strong>on</strong>) can bestresp<strong>on</strong>d to the needs of the most vulnerable. The general c<strong>on</strong>sensus appears to be that this requires a combinati<strong>on</strong> of:a) greater investment in community-based adaptati<strong>on</strong>, b) more decentralised planning, and d) str<strong>on</strong>ger mechanisms tolink community-level decisi<strong>on</strong>-making with nati<strong>on</strong>al and internati<strong>on</strong>al policy processes. Although strictly speakingbey<strong>on</strong>d the remit of this report, it also includes resources <strong>on</strong> how to make the global funding architecture for climatechange more accountable as well as a small selecti<strong>on</strong> of literature which looks at how social policies can supportadaptati<strong>on</strong>.Governance and Social Development Resource Centre 26


McGray, H., Hammil, A. and Bradley R., 2007, ‘Weathering the Storm: Opti<strong>on</strong>s for Framing Adaptati<strong>on</strong> andDevelopment’ , World Resources Institute, Washingt<strong>on</strong> DChttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3912How can climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> and development become mutually reinforcing? This report reviews over ahundred case studies to explore the link between adaptati<strong>on</strong> and development. It c<strong>on</strong>cludes that the relati<strong>on</strong>shipbetween the two c<strong>on</strong>cepts has never been properly articulated, resulting in missed opportunities for collaborati<strong>on</strong>.D<strong>on</strong>ors need to incorporate adaptive strategies into their development planning, particularly in fostering accountabledecisi<strong>on</strong>-making processes and in reducing the vulnerability of populati<strong>on</strong>s to climate change impacts.J<strong>on</strong>es, L., Jaspars, S., Pavanello, S., Ludi, E., Slater, R., Arnall, A., Grist, N. and Mtisi, S., 2010, 'Resp<strong>on</strong>ding to aChanging <strong>Climate</strong>: Exploring How Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong>, Social Protecti<strong>on</strong> and Livelihoods Approaches PromoteFeatures of Adaptive Capacity’, Working Paper 319, ODI, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3923How can other humanitarian and development approaches help enhance communities’ capacity to adapt to a changingclimate? This paper examines which aspects of disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong>, social protecti<strong>on</strong> and livelihoods approaches canc<strong>on</strong>tribute to adaptive capacity and how these approaches can better resp<strong>on</strong>d to climate change and facilitateadaptati<strong>on</strong>. While recognising that each approach has its distinct niche and strength, it argues that, as a collective, thethree together can help in promoting certain features of adaptive capacity.Global climate change poses unique and disproporti<strong>on</strong>ately large challenges for many small island developing states.The following document outlines key challenges and potential resp<strong>on</strong>ses.Maas, A., and Carius, A., 2011, 'Creating Space for Acti<strong>on</strong>: Opti<strong>on</strong>s for Small Island States to Cope with GlobalEnvir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong>', Migrati<strong>on</strong> and Global Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong> Foresight Project, Government Office forScience, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=4205This paper notes that climate change may create new pressures for small island states (such as severe oceanacidificati<strong>on</strong>) and intensify others (such as sea-level changes) in a comparatively short, yet unpredictable, amount oftime. Internal relocati<strong>on</strong> and migrati<strong>on</strong> is a tested adaptati<strong>on</strong> practice for such states, which already have wellestablishedmigrati<strong>on</strong> links. However, with greater access to financial resources – by increasing the extent to whichisland states profit from fishing or mining c<strong>on</strong>cessi<strong>on</strong>s, for example – and by investing in people and knowledge, statescan reduce the need for future relocati<strong>on</strong>.Social policies for adaptati<strong>on</strong>: Social protecti<strong>on</strong> and risk transferIt is increasingly recognised that a range of social policies are necessary, both to ensure that sectoral adaptati<strong>on</strong>interventi<strong>on</strong>s are made more equitable, and to support poorer households and communities to cope with current andfuture weather extremes and manage climate risks. With regard to the latter, social protecti<strong>on</strong> – including asset andcash transfers, social pensi<strong>on</strong>s and employment guarantee schemes – is seen as holding significant promise given that itshares with adaptati<strong>on</strong> the central objective of strengthening resilience to shocks and stresses. In order for socialprotecti<strong>on</strong> programmes to successfully address climate change impacts, it is recognised that they will need to focus <strong>on</strong>transforming rather than simply restoring livelihoods, take a l<strong>on</strong>ger-term perspective, address underlying issues ofmarginalisati<strong>on</strong> and exclusi<strong>on</strong>, and develop effective ways of targeting those most at risk of climate change impacts.The c<strong>on</strong>cept of adaptive social protecti<strong>on</strong> (see Arnall et al., 2010) is <strong>on</strong>e recent attempt to c<strong>on</strong>struct a framework whichincorporates some of these elements. This additi<strong>on</strong>al layer of complexity, however, presents significant politicalchallenges, especially given the uncertainties associated with predicting climate change impacts. Nevertheless, anemphasis <strong>on</strong> shared equity and justice arguments for both adaptati<strong>on</strong> and social protecti<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s maystrengthen the case for greater synergies between the two.Risk transfer approaches, including index or weather insurance and disaster funds are also receiving increasingattenti<strong>on</strong> in the c<strong>on</strong>text of adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate change. These are advocated <strong>on</strong> the grounds that they can providetimely and predictable payouts following an extreme event, enable greater access to credit, technology and livelihoodsinputs, incentivize risk reducti<strong>on</strong> activities and provide space for l<strong>on</strong>ger-term development planning. However, anumber of questi<strong>on</strong>s remain about the appropriateness, cost-effectiveness, and affordability of such measures andabout how tools will deal with increasingly frequent and intense events <strong>on</strong> the <strong>on</strong>e hand, and l<strong>on</strong>ger term, and morepredictable risks such as sea-level rise and desertificati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> the other. Furthermore there are c<strong>on</strong>cerns about howeffective these initiatives are at targeting the most vulnerable and about the level of community and civil society27 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: policies and programmesparticipati<strong>on</strong> and ownership. Crucially, for any risk transfer interventi<strong>on</strong> to be successful it must be part of a broaderframework which places the emphasis <strong>on</strong> disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> through awareness raising, informati<strong>on</strong> disseminati<strong>on</strong>and community participati<strong>on</strong> (see disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong>).Arnall, A., Oswald, K., Davies, M., Mitchell, T. and Coirolo, C., 2010, ‘Adaptive Social Protecti<strong>on</strong>: Mapping theEvidence and Policy C<strong>on</strong>text in the Agriculture Sector in South Asia’, IDS Working paper 345, Institute ofDevelopment Studies, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3948The c<strong>on</strong>cept of Adaptive Social Protecti<strong>on</strong> (ASP) has been developed in an attempt to combine the three prominentapproaches to vulnerability reducti<strong>on</strong> – social protecti<strong>on</strong> (SP), disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> (DRR) and climate changeadaptati<strong>on</strong> (CCA). This paper provides an initial assessment of the ways in which these elements are being broughttogether in development policy and practice. It does this through a meta-analysis of 124 agricultural programmesimplemented in Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Nepal and Pakistan. The findings show that full integrati<strong>on</strong> of SP, DRRand CCA is relatively limited in south Asia, although there has been significant progress in combining SP and DRR in thelast ten years.<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 2008, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Social Protecti<strong>on</strong>’, Helpdesk Research Report, <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Birminghamhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Helpdesk&id=434This helpdesk report identifies the following as the primary coping strategies and protecti<strong>on</strong> measures of mostrelevance to climate change: Compensati<strong>on</strong> mitigati<strong>on</strong> measures, such as microinsurance and weather-risk cropinsurance. In some cases, safety net approaches (e.g. public works, school feeding programmes) are linked to insurancepayouts; Ex-ante adaptati<strong>on</strong> measures, such as crop diversificati<strong>on</strong> (e.g. technical assistance, starter packs, seed fairs),irrigati<strong>on</strong> systems, flood safe storage facilities, relocati<strong>on</strong>, livelihood diversificati<strong>on</strong> and protecti<strong>on</strong> (e.g. legislatedemployment guarantees); Ex-post adaptati<strong>on</strong> measures, such as cash transfers (e.g. unc<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>al cash payments,social pensi<strong>on</strong>s, child support grants), asset restocking/ sale of assets (e.g. ‘meat aid’ programmes, where the weakestanimals are sold for cash), nutriti<strong>on</strong>al/feeding programmes.Heltberg, R., Jorgensen, S. L., and Siegel, P. B., 2008, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Human Vulnerability, and Social RiskManagement’, The Social Development Department, World Bankhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3802How can interventi<strong>on</strong>s increase society's capacity to manage climate risks, reducing household vulnerability whilemaintaining or improving opportunities for development? This paper presents a social risk management and assetbasedc<strong>on</strong>ceptual framework to help design such interventi<strong>on</strong>s. An integrated, multisectoral approach is needed tomanage both direct and indirect climate risks. This requires greater collaborati<strong>on</strong> am<strong>on</strong>g professi<strong>on</strong>als working <strong>on</strong>disasters, climate change, and social policy, including shared platforms around definiti<strong>on</strong>s, data, m<strong>on</strong>itoring, research,and capacity building. In terms of social protecti<strong>on</strong>, index-based insurance and combinati<strong>on</strong>s of insurance and safetynet approaches hold promise, but the limits to what insurance can achieve need to be kept in mind.Hellmuth, M.E., Osgood, D.E., Hess, U., Moorhead, A. and Bhojwani, H. (eds), 2009, ‘Index Insurance and <strong>Climate</strong>Risk: Prospects for Development and Disaster Management’, <strong>Climate</strong> and Society No. 2. Internati<strong>on</strong>al ResearchInstitute for <strong>Climate</strong> and Society (IRI), Columbia University, New Yorkhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3885Variable and unpredictable climate can limit development and amplify poverty, particularly in the developing world.The potential of index insurance to help manage climate variability is being tested in a growing number of developingcountry settings. This report discusses this new type of insurance, presents case studies and outlines key less<strong>on</strong>s andrecommendati<strong>on</strong>s. It finds that index insurance has provided access to credit and insurance for high-risk populati<strong>on</strong>spreviously c<strong>on</strong>sidered uninsurable, c<strong>on</strong>tributing to ec<strong>on</strong>omic development and poverty reducti<strong>on</strong>. It has also played arole in providing more timely and reliable disaster relief.Suarez, P. and Linnerooth-Bayer, J., 2010, ‘Micro Insurance for Local Adaptati<strong>on</strong>’, Wires <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Vol. 1March/April, pp 271-278http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3939How can micro-insurance programmes reduce developing countries' vulnerability to climate change? This paperexamines a micro-insurance pilot project in Malawi. The project provides a loan guarantee that enables farmers toaccess higher-yield seeds. By raising productivity, it decreases their vulnerability to droughts. Findings also show thatmicro-insurance in Malawi can directly promote adaptati<strong>on</strong> by actually reducing crop losses from drought. This ispossible by incorporating into insurance pricing seas<strong>on</strong>al rainfall forecasts, which are str<strong>on</strong>gly related to El Niño-Southern Oscillati<strong>on</strong> (ENSO).Governance and Social Development Resource Centre 28


Godfrey Wood, R., 2011, ‘Is there a Role for Cash Transfers in <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>?’, IDS Bulletin, vol. 42,no.6, pp.79-85http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=4244This article argues that cash transfers are likely to c<strong>on</strong>tribute to adaptive capacity by: (1) meeting basic needs; (2)helping the poor resp<strong>on</strong>d to climate-related shocks; (3) helping vulnerable households manage risk and c<strong>on</strong>siderinvestment innovati<strong>on</strong>s that increase their adaptive capacity; (4) transferring m<strong>on</strong>ey for investment in l<strong>on</strong>g-termadaptive capacity development; and (5) facilitating mobility and livelihood transiti<strong>on</strong>s. While cash transfers cannotaddress all areas of adaptati<strong>on</strong>, they may be necessary for further adaptati<strong>on</strong> to be equitable and effective. Cashtransfers are supported by a substantial evidence base, do not require much climate-related informati<strong>on</strong>, can be scaledup and are likely to gain local acceptance.Community-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> and livelihood supportCommunity-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> (CBA) is an emerging bottom-up approach to climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> based <strong>on</strong> thepriorities, experiences, knowledge and capacities of local people. It draws <strong>on</strong> participatory approaches developed inboth disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> and community development work. The focus of CBA is <strong>on</strong> empowering communities totake acti<strong>on</strong> themselves based <strong>on</strong> existing vulnerabilities, coping strategies and decisi<strong>on</strong>-making processes. Whilst, inpractice, CBA projects may not appear to differ greatly from mainstream development projects, CBA aims to factor inthe potential impact of climate change <strong>on</strong> livelihoods and vulnerability to disasters by combining local and scientificknowledge.Both the theory and practice of CBA are still relatively new. As the large number of CBA pilot projects is evaluated,less<strong>on</strong>s are emerging about what does and doesn’t work and where improvements need to be made. Criticisms includethe fact that projects to date have often advanced livelihood diversificati<strong>on</strong> strategies without proper c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> ofthe range ofstrategies available or the socio-political c<strong>on</strong>text, and have not given sufficient attenti<strong>on</strong> to disaggregating poverty andvulnerability within communities and hence to tailoring adaptati<strong>on</strong> measures appropriately. In this respect it has beensuggested that CBA can learn a great deal from the wealth of existing knowledge <strong>on</strong> sustainable livelihoods,development and rural poverty.Other challenges relate to the availability and credibility of climate change informati<strong>on</strong> and data at the communitylevel, the quality of participatory processes in CBA, the c<strong>on</strong>cept of ‘community’, and the inherent tensi<strong>on</strong> betweendevolved decisi<strong>on</strong>-making and the need for centralised m<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluati<strong>on</strong> in the c<strong>on</strong>text of global adaptati<strong>on</strong>funding. Furthermore, it is increasingly recognised that CBA interventi<strong>on</strong>s need to be placed within broader efforts tostrengthen instituti<strong>on</strong>s and create an enabling envir<strong>on</strong>ment for local enterprise development and access toinformati<strong>on</strong>, credit, land, health care and educati<strong>on</strong>.Reid, H., Alam, M., Berger, R., Cann<strong>on</strong>, T., Huq, S., and Milligan, A., 2009, ‘Community-based Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong>: An Overview’ Chapter 1 in Community-based Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>’, Participatory Learning andActi<strong>on</strong> (PLA) series, no. 60, Internati<strong>on</strong>al Institute for Envir<strong>on</strong>ment and Development, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3935What are the less<strong>on</strong>s and challenges emerging from community-based approaches (CBA) to climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong>?This paper examines community-led processes that build <strong>on</strong> the priorities, knowledge and capacities of local people.There is still a lot of 'doing to' by internati<strong>on</strong>al instituti<strong>on</strong>s rather than communities taking charge. It is important to findways to allow poor vulnerable people to influence policy and be heard in key policy arenas. For example, programmesshould link communities to relevant decisi<strong>on</strong>-making bodies. They will also need to build the capacity of localorganisati<strong>on</strong>s to enable them to take part effectively in decisi<strong>on</strong>-making processes.Ensor, J. and Berger, R., 2009, ‘Community-based Adaptati<strong>on</strong> in Practice’, Chapter 10 in Understanding <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>. Less<strong>on</strong>s from Community-Based Approaches’, Practical Acti<strong>on</strong> Publishinghttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3899How can local communities best be supported to adapt to climate change? How can an enabling policy c<strong>on</strong>text beestablished in order to scale-up adaptati<strong>on</strong>? This chapter assesses community-based approaches to climate changeadaptati<strong>on</strong> in Asia, Africa and Latin America. It finds that vulnerability to climate change is linked to the ability to accessand c<strong>on</strong>trol resources and to the opportunity and skills to influence decisi<strong>on</strong>s that affect people's livelihoods. Theprincipal threat to creating communities that can adapt successfully to climate change is instituti<strong>on</strong>al and political29 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: policies and programmesmarginalisati<strong>on</strong>; Governance and policy frameworks must be transformed in order to address exclusi<strong>on</strong>.Sabates-Wheeler, R., Mitchell, T. and Ellis, F., 2008, ‘Avoiding Repetiti<strong>on</strong>: Time for CBA to Engage with the LivelihoodsLiterature?’, IDS Bulletin vol. 39, no. 4http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3951What can the community-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> (CBA) approach learn from the well-established livelihoods literature? Howcan repetiti<strong>on</strong> of research and projects be minimised? The overlap of CBA with the livelihoods, development and ruralpoverty literatures provides opportunities for CBA to nuance its overly-simplistic approach to c<strong>on</strong>ceptualising andimplementing sustainable social and ec<strong>on</strong>omic development. Synergies must be found that maximise both theproductivity of livelihoods and the ecological sustainability of the community; CBA and livelihoods researchers andpractiti<strong>on</strong>ers need to work together. Social protecti<strong>on</strong> and enabling envir<strong>on</strong>ments seem promising avenues to explore.For guidance <strong>on</strong> implementing community-based adaptati<strong>on</strong>, see project-level adaptati<strong>on</strong> tools.Disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong>The United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Internati<strong>on</strong>al Strategy for Disaster Reducti<strong>on</strong> (UNISDR) defines disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> (DRR) as:“the c<strong>on</strong>cept and practice of reducing disaster risks through systematic efforts to analyse and manage the causal factorsof disasters, including through reduced exposure to hazards, lessened vulnerability of people and property, wisemanagement of land and the envir<strong>on</strong>ment, and improved preparedness for adverse events” (UNISDR, 2009, ‘UNISDRTerminology <strong>on</strong> Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong>’).At its core, DRR shares with climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> the aim of reducing the impacts of shocks by anticipating risksand addressing vulnerabilities. However, there are also a number of important differences. Most significantly,adaptati<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>siders l<strong>on</strong>g-term changes in average climatic c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s, whereas DRR focuses <strong>on</strong> extremes. Unlikeadaptati<strong>on</strong>, DRR also encompasses geophysical risks (e.g. volcanoes and earthquakes). Furthermore, whereasadaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>ses are based <strong>on</strong> projecti<strong>on</strong>s of future impacts rooted in climate science, DRR builds primarily <strong>on</strong> pastexperience and existing local knowledge. Finally, because the global policy framework for climate change is far str<strong>on</strong>ger,adaptati<strong>on</strong> tends to command higher political interest and hence larger funding streams.Nevertheless, it is increasingly recognised that there are important benefits to be gained from greater collaborati<strong>on</strong>between the two fields. These include the potential for a reducti<strong>on</strong> of climate-related losses through more widespreadimplementati<strong>on</strong> of DRR measures, more efficient use of limited resources, and increased effectiveness andsustainability of both adaptati<strong>on</strong> and DRR approaches. More specifically, the range of DRR methods and tools whichalready exist to predict weather related hazards and to assess risks based <strong>on</strong> the vulnerability of different social groups,social-ecological systems and infrastructure are highly relevant for adaptati<strong>on</strong> to more frequent extreme events. At thesame time, greater awareness of the l<strong>on</strong>ger term impacts of climate change has led to the recogniti<strong>on</strong> that theobjectives of DRR need to go bey<strong>on</strong>d restoring communities affected by disasters to their pre-disaster c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong> and tofocus instead <strong>on</strong> the opportunities that disasters provide to create l<strong>on</strong>g-term resilience.There are, nevertheless, a number of instituti<strong>on</strong>al challenges to greater integrati<strong>on</strong> and collaborati<strong>on</strong> which need to beovercome, including: the large number of different actors involved in both DRR and adaptati<strong>on</strong>, the tensi<strong>on</strong> betweenshort-term funding for DRR and l<strong>on</strong>g-term financial support needed for adaptati<strong>on</strong>, limited capacity to predict extremeevents linked to climate change, and a limited understanding of how disaster resp<strong>on</strong>se measures affect the l<strong>on</strong>g-termadaptive capacity of communities.Birkmann, J., Tetzlaff, G. and Zentel, K-O., 2009, ‘Addressing the Challenge: Recommendati<strong>on</strong>s and Quality Criteriafor Linking Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong> and Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>’, German Committee for Disaster Reducti<strong>on</strong>(DKKV), B<strong>on</strong>nhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3940How can the internati<strong>on</strong>al community accelerate progress <strong>on</strong> climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> while ensuring sustainabledevelopment? This report argues that the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events requires theproactive implementati<strong>on</strong> of new tools to accelerate climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong>. Disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> methods shouldbe linked with adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies to provide affected regi<strong>on</strong>s with the capacity and funding both to recover fromextreme weather events and to create l<strong>on</strong>g-term resilience and sustainable development.Mitchell, T. , van Aalst, A. and Villanueva, P.S., 2010, ‘Assessing Progress <strong>on</strong> Integrating Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong> and<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> in Development Processes’, Strengthening <strong>Climate</strong> Resilience Discussi<strong>on</strong> Paper 2,Governance and Social Development Resource Centre 30


Institute of Development Studies, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3879What progress has been made in the c<strong>on</strong>vergence of disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> (DRR) and climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong>(CCA)? What are the obstacles to further integrati<strong>on</strong>? This assessment identifies pockets and trajectories of integrati<strong>on</strong>that promise improved development outcomes. However, it also finds c<strong>on</strong>tinued separati<strong>on</strong> of DRR, CCA anddevelopment in some geographic areas and significant structural barriers to c<strong>on</strong>vergence in critical instituti<strong>on</strong>s atdifferent scales.Mercer, J., 2010, 'Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong> or <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>: Are We Reinventing the Wheel?', Journal ofInternati<strong>on</strong>al Development, vol. 22, no. 2, pp. 247–264http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3967What are the similarities and differences between Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong> (DRR) and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> (CCA)?What can be learned from experiences of both approaches in Papua New Guinea (PNG)? This paper analyses the twoapproaches and draws <strong>on</strong> experience from PNG in recommending ways to integrate both in development policy. Theresearch dem<strong>on</strong>strates the importance of a holistic resp<strong>on</strong>se to all underlying vulnerability factors, as opposed tofocusing <strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong>e hazard or factor such as climate change. It would appear most effective, financially and otherwise, toembed CCA within existing DRR tools. This is as opposed to developing tools and methodologies for CCA separately andintegrating these with DRR at a later date.Gero, A., Méheux, K., Dominey-Howes, D., 2010, ‘Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong> and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> in thePacific: The Challenge of Integrati<strong>on</strong>’, Australian Tsunami Research Centre & Natural Hazards Research Laboratory,Sydneyhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3960What are the challenges in integrating community-based disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> (DRR) and climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong>(CCA)? This research investigates the current situati<strong>on</strong> and thinking <strong>on</strong> integrating DRR and CCA in community basedprojects in the Pacific. A key finding is the importance of agency and the significance of building and maintaining goodrelati<strong>on</strong>ships between DRR and CCA practiti<strong>on</strong>ers across sectors, including the government, NGOs and d<strong>on</strong>ors. Acomm<strong>on</strong> barrier to integrating DRR and CCA is the multitude of organisati<strong>on</strong>s engaged in related initiatives.Wilkins<strong>on</strong>, E., 2012, 'Transforming Disaster Risk Management: A Political Ec<strong>on</strong>omy Approach', ODI Background NoteSeries, Overseas Development Institute, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=4248This paper examines recent work by disaster researchers <strong>on</strong> the complex role of instituti<strong>on</strong>al arrangements in shapingpolicy decisi<strong>on</strong>s. It identifies incentive structures, informati<strong>on</strong> gaps and intra-governmental relati<strong>on</strong>s as key factorsaffecting the decisi<strong>on</strong>s of nati<strong>on</strong>al and local authorities. It recommends more interdisciplinary research <strong>on</strong> politicalprocesses and policy change to develop a clearer theoretical focus for Disaster Risk Management, so as to help promotethe necessary instituti<strong>on</strong>al transformati<strong>on</strong>.IPCC, 2012, 'Summary for Policymakers' in Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>,Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp.1-19http://www.ipcc-wg2.gov/SREX/images/uploads/SREX-SPMbrochure_FINAL.pdfFor guidance <strong>on</strong> implementing DRR programmes, see project-level adaptati<strong>on</strong> tools.Ecosystem-based adaptati<strong>on</strong>Ecosystem-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> involves the sustainable management, c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> and restorati<strong>on</strong> of ecosystems andthe habitats, natural resources, and services they provide to help people adapt to the adverse impacts of climatechange. Examples of ecosystem-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies include: managing water resources for water storage andflood regulati<strong>on</strong>; restoring coastal habitats as a natural defence against storm-surges, saline intrusi<strong>on</strong> and coastalerosi<strong>on</strong>; managing grasslands to increase resilience to drought and flooding; using indigenous knowledge to maintainthe diversity of agricultural systems, crops and livestock in changing local climatic c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s; and managing shrublandsand forests to limit the frequency and size of unc<strong>on</strong>trolled fires.Ecosystem-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> is often advanced as a cost-effective alternative to physical engineering structures and isseen as closely aligned with the principles and objectives of community-based adaptati<strong>on</strong>. Local participati<strong>on</strong> in31 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: policies and programmesplanning and implementati<strong>on</strong> is key to the success of the approach, as is collaborati<strong>on</strong> between a broad range ofstakeholders including indigenous communities, c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong>ists, natural resource managers, the private sector, anddevelopment and humanitarian specialists.World Bank, 2010, ‘Ecosystem-Based Adaptati<strong>on</strong>: Reducing Vulnerability’, Chapter 3 in C<strong>on</strong>venient Soluti<strong>on</strong>s to anInc<strong>on</strong>venient Truth. Ecosystem-Based Approaches to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, World Bank, Washingt<strong>on</strong> DChttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3880How can ecosystem-based adaptati<strong>on</strong> help societies to cope with climate change challenges? This paper c<strong>on</strong>tends thatecological stresses such as land degradati<strong>on</strong> and decreases in biodiversity exacerbate the vulnerability of certainpopulati<strong>on</strong>s to the impact of climate change. Societies (particularly in developing countries) must invest in preservingand restoring local ecosystems to act as natural barriers against extreme weather events and climate c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s.Ecosystem-based approaches are low-cost, l<strong>on</strong>g-proven, and low-technology soluti<strong>on</strong>s to many anticipated climatechange impacts. They can complement existing adaptati<strong>on</strong> efforts, and better engage local communities in protectingtheir envir<strong>on</strong>ments.Secretariat of the C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> Biological Diversity, 2009, ‘The Linkages between Biodiversity and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>Adaptati<strong>on</strong>’, Chapter 2 in Review of the Literature <strong>on</strong> the Links between Biodiversity and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> – Impacts,Adaptati<strong>on</strong> and Mitigati<strong>on</strong>, CBD Technical Series No. 42, CBD Secretariat, M<strong>on</strong>trealhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3928What is the role of biodiversity in climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong>? How can the impacts of climate change be mitigatedwithout adversely affecting biodiversity? Adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies tend to focus <strong>on</strong> technological, social and ec<strong>on</strong>omicdevelopments. They overlook the links between biodiversity and adaptati<strong>on</strong>. There needs to be greater c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>of synergies between the two in adaptati<strong>on</strong> policy and planning. Most importantly, there needs to be improvedunderstanding of the underpinning role of biodiversity to avoid maladaptati<strong>on</strong> and to develop cost-effective resp<strong>on</strong>sesto climate change.REDD-net, 2010, ‘REDD+ and Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>’, REDD-net, ODI, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://redd-net.org/files/REDD%20and%20adaptati<strong>on</strong>.pdfREDD stands for 'reducing emissi<strong>on</strong>s from deforestati<strong>on</strong> and degradati<strong>on</strong>', and is an important element of globalpolicies to address climate change. 'REDD+' is similar to REDD, but includes other activities, such as the sustainablemanagement of forests and the enhancement of forest carb<strong>on</strong> stocks. This infosheet gives an overview the linksbetween REDD+ and adaptati<strong>on</strong>. It describes how some of the linkages between the two issues are being understood,some of the opportunities and risks, and highlights further informati<strong>on</strong> sources <strong>on</strong> the issue.Attempts to embed the l<strong>on</strong>g-term ec<strong>on</strong>omic benefits of ecosystem services within broader ec<strong>on</strong>omic models anddecisi<strong>on</strong> making have generated interest in ‘Payment for Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Services’ (PES) programmes. These incorporatethe regulating and provisi<strong>on</strong>ing functi<strong>on</strong>s of ecosystems into decisi<strong>on</strong>-making processes.Wertz-Kanounnikoff, S. et al., 2011, 'Ecosystem-based Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: What Scope for Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalServices?', <strong>Climate</strong> and Development, vol. 3, no. 2, pp.143-158http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=4206This article analyses the opportunities and c<strong>on</strong>straints of payments for envir<strong>on</strong>mental services (PES) as an instrumentfor ecosystem-based adaptati<strong>on</strong>. It finds that PES is not suitable for all envir<strong>on</strong>mental services and country c<strong>on</strong>texts,but can be a promising adaptati<strong>on</strong> policy instrument where certain prec<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s are met and synergies prevail.Low carb<strong>on</strong> and climate resilient developmentLow-carb<strong>on</strong> development (LCD), sometimes referred to as low carb<strong>on</strong> growth, broadly refers to efforts to decouplegreenhouse gas (GHG) emissi<strong>on</strong>s from ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth. It encompasses a range of acti<strong>on</strong>s which aim to reduceemissi<strong>on</strong>s through changes in both producti<strong>on</strong> and c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> patterns. To date the focus of LCD has been <strong>on</strong> highand middle income countries. However, it is increasingly recognised that without acti<strong>on</strong> from the developing world,efforts to limit global temperature change to less than 2⁰C will be ineffective. From a development perspective, a keyc<strong>on</strong>cern is to understand the distributi<strong>on</strong>al effects of LCD strategies and how they will impact <strong>on</strong> the poor.There is also some c<strong>on</strong>cern over the limited attenti<strong>on</strong> that has been paid to the linkages between LCD and adaptati<strong>on</strong>.In this c<strong>on</strong>text, attenti<strong>on</strong> is now shifting towards climate resilient growth, broadly defined as patterns of developmentthat help build an ec<strong>on</strong>omy’s resilience in a future changing climate. There is still a limited understanding of whatclimate resilient development might involve in practice however, although key elements are likely to include shifts awayGovernance and Social Development Resource Centre 32


from climate sensitive sectors such as agriculture and better l<strong>on</strong>g-term planning and policy to reduce vulnerability.Furthermore, it is unclear to what extent low carb<strong>on</strong> growth and climate resilient growth require similar policies orwhether they will involve c<strong>on</strong>flicts and trade-offs.Pye, S., Watkiss, P., Savage, M. and Blyth, W., 2010, ‘The Ec<strong>on</strong>omics of Low Carb<strong>on</strong>, <strong>Climate</strong> Resilient Patterns ofGrowth in Developing Countries: A Review of the Evidence,’ Report to DFID, Stockholm Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Institute,Stockholmhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3894To what extent can developing countries move towards low carb<strong>on</strong> growth without compromising ec<strong>on</strong>omicdevelopment? This study reviews the literature <strong>on</strong> the ec<strong>on</strong>omics of climate change. It finds that all countries need toact decisively in order to reduce emissi<strong>on</strong>s, and that preventing ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth targets from increasing emissi<strong>on</strong>s willrequire significant additi<strong>on</strong>al investment. However, these extra costs may not be prohibitive, and low carb<strong>on</strong> patternsof growth may offer opportunities for developing countries. These include improving efficiency and lowering energycosts, developing low carb<strong>on</strong> industries, improving technology, raising carb<strong>on</strong> finance through internati<strong>on</strong>almechanisms and safeguarding natural resources.Urban, F., 2010, ‘The MDGs and Bey<strong>on</strong>d: Can Low Carb<strong>on</strong> Development be Pro-poor?’, IDS Bulletin 41:1http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3875Can low carb<strong>on</strong> development be pro-poor? This article explores several policy resp<strong>on</strong>ses to the Low Carb<strong>on</strong>Development (LCD) debate and analyses how pro-poor they are. It argues that poverty reducti<strong>on</strong> must be linked to LCDas part of a post-2015 Millennium Development Goal agenda. There is no explicit pro-poor c<strong>on</strong>cern or c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> ofequity in the current LCD debate.Ellis, K. et al., 2010, ‘Growth in a Carb<strong>on</strong> C<strong>on</strong>strained Global Ec<strong>on</strong>omy,’ ODI, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3970How will the ec<strong>on</strong>omies of developing countries be affected by efforts to deal with climate change? This reportexamines the impact of internati<strong>on</strong>al mitigati<strong>on</strong> policies <strong>on</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic opportunities in developing countries. Greaterunderstanding of the impacts of different mitigati<strong>on</strong> policies <strong>on</strong> developing countries is needed to inform the decisi<strong>on</strong>makingof developed country policymakers'. More importantly, such understanding can help developing countries tostart taking advantage of new opportunities and to protect themselves from new risks arising from mitigati<strong>on</strong>. D<strong>on</strong>orsneed to increase support for developing countries' low carb<strong>on</strong> growth efforts, and compensate countries where theylose out from internati<strong>on</strong>al mitigati<strong>on</strong> efforts.UNDP, 2009, ‘Charting a New Low-Carb<strong>on</strong> Route to Development’, A Primer <strong>on</strong> Integrated <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Planningfor Regi<strong>on</strong>al Governments, United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Development Programme, New Yorkhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3920How can sub-nati<strong>on</strong>al governments incorporate climate change into their planning? This Primer argues for systematicacti<strong>on</strong> across all levels of l<strong>on</strong>g-term development planning and cross-sectoral implementati<strong>on</strong> (regi<strong>on</strong>al, nati<strong>on</strong>al, subnati<strong>on</strong>aland local). It introduces approaches to help sub-nati<strong>on</strong>al authorities design an Integrated Territorial <strong>Climate</strong>Plan (ITCP), from setting objectives and participatory arrangements for the preparati<strong>on</strong> of the Plan, to financing priorityactivities. Meeting the challenge of climate change will require the full engagement of regi<strong>on</strong>al and local governments,and the formulati<strong>on</strong> of innovative policy development and planning instruments. Comprehensive partnerships andstr<strong>on</strong>g coordinati<strong>on</strong> mechanisms will be needed.Additi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources• The Adaptive Social Protecti<strong>on</strong> (ASP) programme at the Institute of Development Studies is developing anapproach that combines key elements of social protecti<strong>on</strong>, disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> and climate changeadaptati<strong>on</strong> to increase livelihoods resilience.www.eldis.org/go/topics/resource-guides/climate-change/key-issues/adaptive-social-protecti<strong>on</strong>• The Munich <strong>Climate</strong> Insurance Initiative (MCII) brings together insurers, climate change and adaptati<strong>on</strong>experts, NGOs, and policy researchers to share insurance-related expertise applied to climate change issues.www.climate-insurance.org33 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se measures: policies and programmes• The Community Based Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Exchange (CBA-X) provides a site for the exchange of up-to-dateinformati<strong>on</strong> about community-based adaptati<strong>on</strong>, including case-studies, tools, and policy resources.http://community.eldis.org/cbax• The United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Internati<strong>on</strong>al Strategy for Disaster Reducti<strong>on</strong> (UNISDR) is the secretariat of the ISDRsystem, a strategic framework, adopted by UN Member States in 2000 to guide and coordinate the efforts toachieve substantive reducti<strong>on</strong> in disaster losses and build resilient nati<strong>on</strong>s and communities. UNISDR serves asthe focal point for the implementati<strong>on</strong> of the Hyogo Framework for Acti<strong>on</strong> (HFA) – a ten year plan of acti<strong>on</strong>adopted in 2005 by 168 governments to protect lives and livelihoods against disasters.www.unisdr.org• ProVenti<strong>on</strong> is a c<strong>on</strong>sortium of internati<strong>on</strong>al organisati<strong>on</strong>s, governments, the private sector, civil societyorganisati<strong>on</strong>s and academic instituti<strong>on</strong>s working <strong>on</strong> disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong>.www.proventi<strong>on</strong>c<strong>on</strong>sortium.org• The Internati<strong>on</strong>al Uni<strong>on</strong> for C<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> of Nature’s (IUCN) programme <strong>on</strong> Ecosystem-based Adaptati<strong>on</strong>(EbA) works to promote the inclusi<strong>on</strong> of EbA in relevant nati<strong>on</strong>al plans and policies related to adaptati<strong>on</strong> andin the Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Framework being discussed under the UNFCCC.www.iucn.org/what/tpas/climate/key_topics/ebaGovernance and Social Development Resource Centre 34


<strong>Climate</strong> change, c<strong>on</strong>flict, migrati<strong>on</strong> and fragility<strong>Climate</strong> change, security and c<strong>on</strong>flictThe potential impacts of climate change <strong>on</strong> security and c<strong>on</strong>flict have received a great deal of media attenti<strong>on</strong> and aregenerally described in terms of the following causal processes or scenarios:• <strong>Climate</strong> change leads to resource scarcity (in particular, water and productive land) and undermines rurallivelihoods. The resulting increase in competiti<strong>on</strong> over resources leads to violent c<strong>on</strong>flict.• Greater scarcity of resources and an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme events leads resourcedependent people to migrate, destabilising neighbouring areas and increasing the risk of c<strong>on</strong>flict (see climatechange and migrati<strong>on</strong>).• Indirectly, climate change hinders the ability of governments to provide infrastructure, basic services and socialsafety nets, weakening the social c<strong>on</strong>tract which leads to greater insecurity and unrest, especially in weakgovernance envir<strong>on</strong>ments (see adaptati<strong>on</strong> in fragile and c<strong>on</strong>flict-affected states).In reality, these linkages are poorly understood and rarely backed up with empirical evidence. The number ofdependent variables makes any simple causal relati<strong>on</strong>ship untenable: Firstly, accurate climate projecti<strong>on</strong>s are difficultto make, especially at the local level; Sec<strong>on</strong>dly, adaptive capacities vary greatly between and am<strong>on</strong>g communities;Thirdly, the processes that produce insecurity and lead to violent c<strong>on</strong>flict are themselves complex and highly c<strong>on</strong>textspecific (see the <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g> topic guide <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>flict). Thus while climate change may play a role in c<strong>on</strong>flict, it is highlyunlikely to be the sole or even the primary cause. Indeed in some cases envir<strong>on</strong>mental stresses may have the oppositeeffect of fostering collaborati<strong>on</strong>, as evidenced by examples of trans-boundary cooperati<strong>on</strong> around access to water.Thus, the narrative around climate change security and c<strong>on</strong>flict is highly c<strong>on</strong>tested and there has been much criticism ofthe so-called securitizati<strong>on</strong> of the climate change debate. Most significantly, where vulnerability to climate change indeveloping countries is portrayed as a risk to the nati<strong>on</strong>al security of northern states, military soluti<strong>on</strong>s are oftenimplied where priority is given to defence and immigrati<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol, at the expense of adaptati<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>ses and existingdevelopment interventi<strong>on</strong>s.Barnett, J. and Adger, W. N., 2007, '<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Human Security and Violent C<strong>on</strong>flict', Political Geography, vol.26, no. 6, pp. 639-655http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3409Does climate change increase the risk of violent c<strong>on</strong>flict? This paper from Political Geography integrates three bodies ofresearch <strong>on</strong> the vulnerability of local places and social groups to climate change, livelihoods and violent c<strong>on</strong>flict, and therole of the state in development and peacemaking. <strong>Climate</strong> change reduces access to natural resources and underminesstate capacity to help people sustain livelihoods. These impacts may in certain circumstances increase the risk of violentc<strong>on</strong>flict, but further investigati<strong>on</strong> is needed.<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 2007, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and C<strong>on</strong>flict’, Helpdesk Research Report, <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Birminghamhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Helpdesk&id=348There is little academic research <strong>on</strong> the links between climate change and c<strong>on</strong>flict. Of the few studies that are available,the findings are mixed. Most authors argue that whilst climate change may well result in increased c<strong>on</strong>flict, this path isnot certain. The most comm<strong>on</strong>ly discussed scenarios are that climate change causes resource scarcity, which promptsviolent c<strong>on</strong>flict, or that resource scarcity results in migrati<strong>on</strong> which leads to c<strong>on</strong>flict in the receiving area. Of the papersthat do find a clear link between climate and c<strong>on</strong>flict, climate change appears to be <strong>on</strong>e factor c<strong>on</strong>tributing to c<strong>on</strong>flict,not necessarily a leading or important factor.Brown, O., Hammill, A. and McLeman, R., 2007, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> as the ‘New’ Security Threat: Implicati<strong>on</strong>s for Africa’,Internati<strong>on</strong>al Affairs vol. 83, no. 6http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3972What are the implicati<strong>on</strong>s for Africa of the 'securitisati<strong>on</strong>' of climate change? This article examines the internati<strong>on</strong>alrhetoric linking climate change and security, focusing <strong>on</strong> its predicti<strong>on</strong>s regarding the stability of African states. It arguesthat the extent to which climate change triggers war will depend largely <strong>on</strong> governance and governments. Using35 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


<strong>Climate</strong> change, c<strong>on</strong>flict, migrati<strong>on</strong> and fragilityprojecti<strong>on</strong>s of climate change in isolati<strong>on</strong> from other factors is therefore an inadequate means of predicting futurec<strong>on</strong>flict. Meanwhile, the securitisati<strong>on</strong> of the climate change debate (displacing focus <strong>on</strong> developmental orenvir<strong>on</strong>mental c<strong>on</strong>sequences) presents both risks and opportunities. Viewing climate change principally as a securityproblem is likely to be less effective than incorporating adaptati<strong>on</strong> into existing development processes.Shubert, R. et al., 2008, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> as a Security Risk’, German Advisory Council <strong>on</strong> Global <strong>Change</strong> (WBGU),Earthscan, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>/Sterlinghttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3897To what extent is climate change a threat to internati<strong>on</strong>al security? This report examines the evidence and analysis todate. It suggests that without resolute acti<strong>on</strong>, climate change will overstretch many societies' adaptive capacities. Thiscould result in destabilisati<strong>on</strong> and violence, jeopardising nati<strong>on</strong>al and internati<strong>on</strong>al security. In order to avoid thesedevelopments, an ambitious global climate policy must be put into operati<strong>on</strong> over the next 10-15 years.Buhaug, H., 2010, '<strong>Climate</strong> Not to Blame for African Civil Wars', Proceedings of the Nati<strong>on</strong>al Academy of Sciences ofthe United States of America (PNAS), Augusthttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3946Will global warming increase the severity and number of civil wars in Africa? This paper analyses the links andcorrelati<strong>on</strong> between climate change, climate shocks and intrastate violence in Africa. It finds that, while envir<strong>on</strong>mentalc<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s may not be irrelevant to c<strong>on</strong>flict risk, scientific claims about a robust correlati<strong>on</strong> between climate changeand the risk of civil war in Sub-Saharan Africa do not hold up. The primary causes of civil wars are political, notenvir<strong>on</strong>mental. Envir<strong>on</strong>mental c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s may change with future warming, but general correlates of c<strong>on</strong>flicts and warsare likely to prevail.Mwiturubani, D. A. and van Wyk, J-A., 2010, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Natural Resources C<strong>on</strong>flicts in Africa, M<strong>on</strong>ograph170, Institute for Security Studies, Pretoriahttp://www.issafrica.org/uploads/M<strong>on</strong>o170.pdfThis m<strong>on</strong>ograph encompasses papers from different disciplines and draws case studies from across Africa. It covers arange of issues relating to vulnerabilities, adaptati<strong>on</strong> and mitigati<strong>on</strong> of climate change and c<strong>on</strong>flict management.Recent analysis undertaken as part of a UK government Foresight study into climate change and future migrati<strong>on</strong> lendweight to the argument that the relati<strong>on</strong>ship between envir<strong>on</strong>mental change and c<strong>on</strong>flict is not strictly causal. Theresearchers c<strong>on</strong>clude that, while qualitative evidence generally affirms the noti<strong>on</strong> that envir<strong>on</strong>mental change can –under some circumstances – increase the risk of c<strong>on</strong>flict, quantitative analysis suggests it does not do so systematically.Bernauer, T., Koubil, V., and Bohmelt, T., 2011, ‘Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong>s and Violent C<strong>on</strong>flict’, Foresight Project:Migrati<strong>on</strong> and Global Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong>, The Government Office for Science, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.bis.gov.uk/assets/bispartners/foresight/docs/migrati<strong>on</strong>/science-reviews/11-1131-sr12-envir<strong>on</strong>mentalchanges-and-violent-c<strong>on</strong>flict.pdf<strong>Climate</strong> change and migrati<strong>on</strong>Estimates of future climate change induced migrati<strong>on</strong> range from 25 to 200 milli<strong>on</strong> by 2050. However, these figures arewidely c<strong>on</strong>tested, given that migrati<strong>on</strong> is known to be a complex process with multiple drivers of which envir<strong>on</strong>mentalfactors, including climate change, are but <strong>on</strong>e. A range of other social, political and envir<strong>on</strong>mental factors play anequally, if not more, important role in shaping patterns of migrati<strong>on</strong>, including social exclusi<strong>on</strong>, formal and informalinstituti<strong>on</strong>s, populati<strong>on</strong> growth, inter-community tensi<strong>on</strong>s, natural resource management, poverty and power.Nevertheless, there is a growing body of work which attempts to better understand the role of climate change inmigrati<strong>on</strong> decisi<strong>on</strong>-making processes. According to this research, the character of climate change related migrati<strong>on</strong> isexpected to differ c<strong>on</strong>siderably from regi<strong>on</strong> to regi<strong>on</strong> (e.g. low lying island states vs arid regi<strong>on</strong>s). Those aspects ofclimate variability most likely to affect migrati<strong>on</strong> are the <strong>on</strong>es which impact <strong>on</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>mentally based livelihoods, inparticular the availability and reliability of water resources. Most displacement as a result of climate change is expectedto take place within nati<strong>on</strong>al borders rather than in the form of interregi<strong>on</strong>al (south-north) migrati<strong>on</strong>, and is expectedto be rural-urban. Initially the bulk of populati<strong>on</strong> movement is expected be disaster driven. L<strong>on</strong>ger term changes inc<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s may result in l<strong>on</strong>ger term displacements, for example, in situati<strong>on</strong>s where either the envir<strong>on</strong>ment is nol<strong>on</strong>ger able to promote return or where other vulnerabilities (extreme poverty, social trends etc) make returnimpossible.Governance and Social Development Resource Centre 36


Focusing <strong>on</strong> sustainable ecosystems, adaptati<strong>on</strong> and disaster-risk reducti<strong>on</strong> in developing countries is often seen as keyto minimising the ‘push‘ factor of climate change. However, it is important to recognise that migrati<strong>on</strong> itself can be animportant adaptive strategy to reduce vulnerability to both envir<strong>on</strong>mental and n<strong>on</strong>-envir<strong>on</strong>mental risks. Crucially,those most vulnerable to both climate change and forced migrati<strong>on</strong> have the least resources to undertake l<strong>on</strong>g-distancemigrati<strong>on</strong>, so are often left behind. Relocati<strong>on</strong> or resettlement as a resp<strong>on</strong>se to climate related natural disasters may benecessary in some excepti<strong>on</strong>al cases but it is essential to c<strong>on</strong>sider the risks involved such as loss of livelihoods, debt,social exclusi<strong>on</strong> and potential resentment and c<strong>on</strong>flict in the receiving area.The Government Office for Science, 2011, 'Foresight: Migrati<strong>on</strong> and Global Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong> - Future Challengesand Opportunities', Final Project Report, The Government Office for Science, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=4204How might human populati<strong>on</strong> movements across the world be affected by global envir<strong>on</strong>mental changes up to 2060?This report examines both global and within-country migrati<strong>on</strong> trends. It finds that: milli<strong>on</strong>s will be 'trapped' invulnerable areas and unable to move; people are as likely to move towards areas of envir<strong>on</strong>mental risk as to moveaway; however, migrati<strong>on</strong> can transform people's ability to cope with envir<strong>on</strong>mental change.Laczko F, Aghazarm C. (eds.), 2009, ‘Migrati<strong>on</strong>, Envir<strong>on</strong>ment and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: Assessing the Evidence',Internati<strong>on</strong>al Organizati<strong>on</strong> for Migrati<strong>on</strong> (IOM), Genevahttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3874How is envir<strong>on</strong>mental change affecting migrati<strong>on</strong> and how can policymakers address this emerging challenge? The bookassesses the existing body of evidence relating to the likely impact of envir<strong>on</strong>mental and climate change <strong>on</strong> migrati<strong>on</strong>.It recommends that the focus of research and funding shift toward developing countries where migrati<strong>on</strong>, both internaland internati<strong>on</strong>al, is most likely to occur. It also advocates for better data collecti<strong>on</strong> through collaborati<strong>on</strong> of expertsfrom the migrati<strong>on</strong>, envir<strong>on</strong>ment, development and humanitarian fields.Black, R. et al., 2008, ‘Demographics and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: Future Trends and their Policy Implicati<strong>on</strong>s for Migrati<strong>on</strong>’,Development Research Centre <strong>on</strong> Migrati<strong>on</strong>, Globalisati<strong>on</strong> and Poverty, University of Sussex, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3934This paper explores the potential impact of future demographic and climate change <strong>on</strong> migrati<strong>on</strong> patterns in developingcountries. It argues that policymakers should not seek to prevent migrati<strong>on</strong> resulting from climate change: somemigrati<strong>on</strong> impacts from existing emissi<strong>on</strong>s are likely to be unavoidable, and migrati<strong>on</strong> itself can have both positive andnegative effects. Rather, policies are needed to support: a) pro-poor adaptati<strong>on</strong>; and b) people who will migrate at leastpartly as a result of climate change.Warner, K., Ehrhart, C., de Sherbinin, A., Adamo, S. and Chai-Onn, T., 2009, ‘In Search of Shelter. Mapping the Effectsof <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>on</strong> Human Migrati<strong>on</strong> and Displacement’, Care Internati<strong>on</strong>al, Chatelaine, Switzerlandhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3905To what extent is climate change causing – and is likely to cause – the displacement and migrati<strong>on</strong> of people around theworld? How should policymakers resp<strong>on</strong>d? This report draws <strong>on</strong> empirical evidence from a first-time, multi-c<strong>on</strong>tinentsurvey of envir<strong>on</strong>mental change and migrati<strong>on</strong>. It argues that climate-related migrati<strong>on</strong> and displacement can besuccessfully addressed <strong>on</strong>ly if they are seen as global processes rather than local crises. The principle of comm<strong>on</strong> butdifferentiated resp<strong>on</strong>sibilities must underlie policy negotiati<strong>on</strong>s and subsequent outcomes.Tacoli, C., 2009, ‘Crisis or Adaptati<strong>on</strong>? Migrati<strong>on</strong> and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> in a C<strong>on</strong>text of High Mobility’, prepared forExpert Group Meeting: Populati<strong>on</strong> Dynamics and <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, UNFPA and IIED, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>, 24-25 Junehttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3932This paper argues that migrati<strong>on</strong> can be an adaptive strategy. There is growing evidence to suggest that mobility,together with income diversificati<strong>on</strong>, is important in reducing vulnerability to both envir<strong>on</strong>mental and n<strong>on</strong>envir<strong>on</strong>mentalrisks. Short-term urban migrati<strong>on</strong> is already often used a means of broadening income in times ofagricultural shortage. Supporting migrati<strong>on</strong> to small, intermediate urban centres is likely to become increasinglyimportant in adapting to climate change. Local and nati<strong>on</strong>al instituti<strong>on</strong>s urgently need to foster a positive perspective ofmigrati<strong>on</strong>. Rather than seeking to influence the volume, directi<strong>on</strong> and types of populati<strong>on</strong> movement, migrati<strong>on</strong>policies might more usefully aim to accommodate changes in migrati<strong>on</strong> patterns.<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 2009, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Migrati<strong>on</strong>’, Helpdesk Research Report, <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Birminghamhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Helpdesk&id=523Methodologically, it is very difficult if not impossible to unpack the different envir<strong>on</strong>mental drivers and triggers ofmigrati<strong>on</strong>. Empirical research does not support the claim that climate change will trigger waves of South-North37 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


<strong>Climate</strong> change, c<strong>on</strong>flict, migrati<strong>on</strong> and fragilityinterregi<strong>on</strong>al migrati<strong>on</strong>. The extent to which new migratory trends are likely to emerge as a result of climate change isalso unclear. Some argue that, as a ‘threat-multiplier’, climate change is more likely to exacerbate existing problems.Others argue that new trends are likely to emerge (e.g. Alaska, Pacific islands) but there is currently <strong>on</strong>ly limited casestudy evidence for this.Adaptati<strong>on</strong> in fragile and c<strong>on</strong>flict-affected statesFragile states, where the state is unable or willing to perform functi<strong>on</strong>s necessary to meet citizens’ basic needs andexpectati<strong>on</strong>s, pose particular challenges for efforts to adapt to climate change. In such c<strong>on</strong>texts, vulnerability is oftencompounded by extreme poverty, poor infrastructure, limited access to markets, weak instituti<strong>on</strong>s, political instabilityand the threat of violence. State fragility means that there is little or no social safety net to support the most vulnerableto cope with climate impacts. Given that fragile states already struggle to maintain c<strong>on</strong>trol and legitimacy in currentc<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s, the social and ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts of climate change are likely to generate demands which they will be unableto meet and may be overwhelmed by. Fragile states also present challenges for channelling and disbursing adaptati<strong>on</strong>finance given their already limited absorptive capacity and the potential for elite capture and corrupti<strong>on</strong>. Learning fromthe experience of the development community with regards to aid effectiveness in fragile states is seen as an essentialstarting point (see aid effectiveness in fragile c<strong>on</strong>texts in the <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g> Fragile States topic guide).Given these added complexities, there are increasing calls for a better understanding of the links between c<strong>on</strong>flictpreventi<strong>on</strong>, peacebuilding and adaptati<strong>on</strong> in fragile states. This would involve steps to ensure adaptati<strong>on</strong> processes andpolicies are c<strong>on</strong>flict-sensitive and ‘do no harm’ (through e.g broad-based participati<strong>on</strong>, taking account of issues ofpower distributi<strong>on</strong> and existing social tensi<strong>on</strong>s). At the same time, it could also mean climate-proofing peacebuildinginitiatives (by e.g c<strong>on</strong>ducting climate change impact assessments of post-c<strong>on</strong>flict rec<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> and reintegrati<strong>on</strong>programmes). A further c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> is to better plan for and peacefully cope with climate-related migrati<strong>on</strong> (seeclimate change and migrati<strong>on</strong>). These approaches are relatively new however, and there remains little guidance <strong>on</strong>integrating c<strong>on</strong>flict-sensitive approaches into adaptati<strong>on</strong> programmes and no reference to c<strong>on</strong>flict-preventi<strong>on</strong> orpeacebuilding in adaptati<strong>on</strong> frameworks or policy.Others call for a more nuanced approach based <strong>on</strong> empirical c<strong>on</strong>text-specific political analysis. Given that adaptati<strong>on</strong>itself is highly a political process which involves struggles and power relati<strong>on</strong>s, this perspective cauti<strong>on</strong>s against thesimplistic assumpti<strong>on</strong> that adaptati<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s can necessarily c<strong>on</strong>tribute to peacebuilding objectives throughcooperati<strong>on</strong> around shared goals and interests.<str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 2008, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and State Fragility’, Helpdesk Research Report, <str<strong>on</strong>g>GSDRC</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Birminghamwww.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Helpdesk&id=458There is very little literature available that explicitly discusses the interplay between climate change and state fragility.The general assumpti<strong>on</strong> is that the social and ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts of climate change are likely to generate demandswhich they will be unable to meet and may be overwhelmed by. One of the key factors up<strong>on</strong> which the vulnerability ofpeople to climate change depends is the extent to which they can adapt to changes to the climate sensitive resourcesand services that they rely up<strong>on</strong>. This ability to adapt is based <strong>on</strong> a broad range of social factors, including poverty,support from the state, access to ec<strong>on</strong>omic opportunities, the effectiveness of decisi<strong>on</strong> making processes, and theextent of social cohesi<strong>on</strong> within and surrounding vulnerable groups. These factors are all linked to the state’s capacityto provide services and maintain instituti<strong>on</strong>s, which is often lacking in fragile states.Smith, D., and Vivenkananda, J., 2009, '<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, C<strong>on</strong>flict and Fragility: Understanding the Linkages, ShapingEffective Resp<strong>on</strong>ses', Internati<strong>on</strong>al Alert, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3776What effect will climate change have <strong>on</strong> violent c<strong>on</strong>flict? This report argues that climate change is most likely toprovoke c<strong>on</strong>flict in poor, badly governed countries with a recent history of violent c<strong>on</strong>flict. Adaptati<strong>on</strong> policies mustresp<strong>on</strong>d to the links between climate change, state fragility and c<strong>on</strong>flict, and must begin by focusing <strong>on</strong> as local a levelas possible. Further, a large-scale systematic study is needed of the likely costs of adaptati<strong>on</strong>. This should address thesocial and political dimensi<strong>on</strong>s as well as ec<strong>on</strong>omic sectors.UNEP, 2009, 'From C<strong>on</strong>flict to Peacebuilding: The Role of Natural Resources and the Envir<strong>on</strong>ment', United Nati<strong>on</strong>sEnvir<strong>on</strong>ment Programme, Nairobihttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3462C<strong>on</strong>flicts associated with natural resources are twice as likely to relapse into violent c<strong>on</strong>flict. Yet, less than a quarter ofGovernance and Social Development Resource Centre 38


peace negotiati<strong>on</strong>s for c<strong>on</strong>flicts linked to natural resources have addressed resource management mechanisms. Thisstudy from the United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Programme argues that the recogniti<strong>on</strong> of the c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> ofenvir<strong>on</strong>mental issues to violent c<strong>on</strong>flict underscores their potential as pathways for cooperati<strong>on</strong> and the c<strong>on</strong>solidati<strong>on</strong>of peace. Integrating envir<strong>on</strong>ment and natural resources into peacebuilding strategies is now a security imperative.Wijeyaratne, S., 2009, ‘Fragile Envir<strong>on</strong>ment, Fragile State: What Role for C<strong>on</strong>flict-Sensitivity and Peace-Building?’ ADiscussi<strong>on</strong> Paper, Prepared For The CCIC Policy Roundtable: Reclaiming The Comm<strong>on</strong>s: Promoting A North-SouthAgenda For Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Justice, January 14, Canadian Council For Internati<strong>on</strong>al Co-Operati<strong>on</strong>, Ontariohttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3915What are the links between envir<strong>on</strong>mental injustice and violent c<strong>on</strong>flict? How could climate change affect c<strong>on</strong>flictpr<strong>on</strong>efragile states? This paper notes that unfair levels of access to natural resources (such as land and water) canc<strong>on</strong>tribute to poverty, marginalisati<strong>on</strong>, and violent c<strong>on</strong>flict. Linking adaptati<strong>on</strong> and c<strong>on</strong>flict-sensitive and peacebuildingagendas in c<strong>on</strong>flict-pr<strong>on</strong>e fragile states can help to ensure that the rights of those most adversely affected by climatechange are protected. The integrati<strong>on</strong> of c<strong>on</strong>flict-sensitive and peacebuilding approaches into climate changeadaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies is required.Lind, J., Ibrahim, M. and Harris, K., 2010, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and C<strong>on</strong>flict: Moving Bey<strong>on</strong>d the Impasse’, IDS In FocusPolicy Briefing 15, Institute of Development Studies, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3918What is the c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> between climate change and c<strong>on</strong>flict? This study suggests that the desire to identify a clearcausal path between climate change and c<strong>on</strong>flict overlooks the complexity of both phenomena; it is important to take amore nuanced view of climate change and to understand better the causes of c<strong>on</strong>flict. The multifaceted nature ofclimate change reduces the effectiveness of using predictive modelling to frame policy. Instead, empirical analysis isneeded of particular c<strong>on</strong>texts of c<strong>on</strong>flict and collaborati<strong>on</strong> in a changing climate.Additi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources• AidData and the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and African Political Stability Program (CCPAS) have released an <strong>on</strong>line toolthat maps data <strong>on</strong> climate change vulnerability, c<strong>on</strong>flict, and aid in Africa. The portal allows users to select andlayer any combinati<strong>on</strong> of CCAPS data <strong>on</strong>to <strong>on</strong>e map, facilitating analysis.http://ccaps.aiddata.org/• The Internati<strong>on</strong>al Institute for Sustainable Development's (IISD) research programme <strong>on</strong> Envir<strong>on</strong>ment, C<strong>on</strong>flictand Peacebuilding addresses the links between envir<strong>on</strong>mental change, natural resources and security.www.iisd.org/ecp• The Institute for Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Security (IES) is an internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-profit n<strong>on</strong>-governmental organisati<strong>on</strong>which works to increase political attenti<strong>on</strong> to envir<strong>on</strong>mental security as a means to help safeguard essentialc<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s for peace and sustainable development.www.envirosecurity.org• The Woodrow Wils<strong>on</strong> Center's Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong> and Security Program (ECSP) explores the c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong>sbetween envir<strong>on</strong>mental, health, and populati<strong>on</strong> dynamics and their links to c<strong>on</strong>flict, human insecurity, andforeign policy. The Program also maintains the New Security Beat blog.www.wils<strong>on</strong>center.org/ecsp• The <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Envir<strong>on</strong>ment and Migrati<strong>on</strong> Alliance (CCEMA) is a multi-stakeholder global partnershipwhich brings together actors representing a range of perspectives including envir<strong>on</strong>ment, migrati<strong>on</strong>,development and humanitarian assistance.www.ccema-portal.org39 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


M<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluating adaptati<strong>on</strong>M<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluating adaptati<strong>on</strong>How to measure successful adaptati<strong>on</strong>?Measuring the effectiveness of adaptati<strong>on</strong> projects, programmes, policies and nati<strong>on</strong>al systems is inherently complex.To begin with, there remains a great deal of c<strong>on</strong>ceptual uncertainty about what to measure (adaptive capacity,resilience, vulnerability reducti<strong>on</strong> etc.). Adaptati<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s tend to cut across many sectors, are implemented atdifferent scales (from internati<strong>on</strong>al to household level), over different timescales, and take a broad range of approaches(from hard structural adaptati<strong>on</strong> measures, e.g. infrastructure and technological projects, to soft policy measures e.g.informati<strong>on</strong> exchange and behavioural change). Thus, a range of different approaches are needed depending <strong>on</strong> whereinterventi<strong>on</strong>s sit <strong>on</strong> the development – adaptati<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tinuum (see adaptati<strong>on</strong> and development).Adaptati<strong>on</strong> indicators may be process-based (to measure progress in implementati<strong>on</strong>) or outcome-based (to measurethe effectiveness of the interventi<strong>on</strong>). Developing indicators at the project or programme level is relativelystraightforward, as many projects are undertaken within sectors where established m<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluati<strong>on</strong> systemswith proven indicators already exist. However, m<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluati<strong>on</strong> of policies and nati<strong>on</strong>al systems is morecomplex as it requires str<strong>on</strong>g coordinati<strong>on</strong> across sectors and levels and is more susceptible to external factors. Thereare additi<strong>on</strong>al challenges with regards to attributing cause and effect in adaptati<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s and accounting forunintended c<strong>on</strong>sequences. Practical difficulties in undertaking assessments stem from a general lack of financial,human and technical resources and capacities, a lack of baseline data and historical trends, uncertainty of projectedclimate change impacts, and insufficient sharing of informati<strong>on</strong> across stakeholder groups, levels and sectors. As aresult, m<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluati<strong>on</strong> (M&E) of adaptati<strong>on</strong> is <strong>on</strong>e of the weakest areas of adaptati<strong>on</strong> practice. Of thoseevaluati<strong>on</strong>s carried out to date, most have been undertaken as part of <strong>on</strong>going implementati<strong>on</strong>, whilst <strong>on</strong>ly a few havefocussed <strong>on</strong> evaluating interventi<strong>on</strong>s after completi<strong>on</strong>.Given this panorama, there are increasing calls for an integrated M&E framework for adaptati<strong>on</strong> which is more closelyaligned with development planning through, for example, the incorporati<strong>on</strong> of adaptati<strong>on</strong> M&E into existing nati<strong>on</strong>alpoverty reducti<strong>on</strong> frameworks such as Poverty Reducti<strong>on</strong> Strategy Papers (PRSPs) and sectoral plans (see nati<strong>on</strong>al-leveladaptati<strong>on</strong> planning). This would enable adaptati<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s to make use of existing m<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluati<strong>on</strong>systems rather than create an additi<strong>on</strong>al layer of reporting. There are also calls to incorporate M&E approaches fromthe field of disaster risk reducti<strong>on</strong> (DRR) given that many of the existing DRR indicators and data are relevant foradaptati<strong>on</strong>.Spearman, M. and McGray, H., 2011, 'Making Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Count: C<strong>on</strong>cepts and Opti<strong>on</strong>s for M<strong>on</strong>itoring andEvaluati<strong>on</strong> of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>', Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internati<strong>on</strong>ale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH,Eschborn, Germanyhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=4203This publicati<strong>on</strong> offers guidance for designing M&E systems for climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong>. It argues that M&E systemsneed to enable results-based management, promote flexibility, and support iterative learning. Achieving these goalsrequires development practiti<strong>on</strong>ers to carefully articulate their adaptati<strong>on</strong> objectives, clarify the basis for their projectdesign, and make their assumpti<strong>on</strong>s transparent. With this foundati<strong>on</strong>, project managers can select indicators and buildinformati<strong>on</strong> systems that are able to track adaptati<strong>on</strong> success.Hedger, M., Horrocks, L., Mitchell, T., Leavy, J. and Greeley, M., 2008 ‘Evaluati<strong>on</strong> of Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>from a Development Perspective’, Desk Review, Institute of Development Studies, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3961This paper reviews the current state of the evaluati<strong>on</strong> of climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s (CCAI). It finds thatwhile development agencies are scaling up the funding and delivery of adaptati<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s, few systematicassessments of CCAI have been undertaken. The authors propose a pyramid of indicators which might provide aframework to measure the accumulati<strong>on</strong> and culminati<strong>on</strong> of effort at multiple levels. This allows for a variety ofm<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluati<strong>on</strong> tools to cope with the complexities of CCAI and to improve the overall quality ofassessments. Five key factors for successful adaptati<strong>on</strong> – effectiveness, flexibility, equity, efficiency and sustainability –will need to be reflected in indicators.UNFCCC Secretariat, 2010, ‘Synthesis report <strong>on</strong> efforts undertaken to m<strong>on</strong>itor and evaluate the implementati<strong>on</strong> ofadaptati<strong>on</strong> projects, policies and programmes and the costs and effectiveness of completed projects, policies andGovernance and Social Development Resource Centre 40


programmes, and views <strong>on</strong> less<strong>on</strong>s learned, good practices, gaps and needs’, UNFCCC, B<strong>on</strong>nhttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3947How effective is the m<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluati<strong>on</strong> (M&E) of adaptati<strong>on</strong> implementati<strong>on</strong> by the EU and its member states?This report examines the range of M&E efforts being undertaken and finds that some areas, such as the m<strong>on</strong>itoring ofpolicies, are more advanced than others. Furthermore, the majority of adaptati<strong>on</strong> projects are still under developmentor implementati<strong>on</strong>. This is an evolving area and further focus is needed <strong>on</strong> issues such as defining appropriate climatechange indicators and metrics.Frankel-Reed, J., Brooks, N., Kurukulasuriya, P. and Lim, B., 2009, ‘A Framework for Evaluating Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong>’, Chapter 18 in R. Van Den Berg and O N. Feinstein (eds.) Evaluating <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Development,Transacti<strong>on</strong> Publishers, New Brunswick, New Jersey, pp. 285-298http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3917How can climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> be tracked in a structured way? Standard development and envir<strong>on</strong>ment indicatorsare unable to reflect the nature of adaptati<strong>on</strong>, which is about capacity, behaviour and risk-reducing measures for theadvancement of development outcomes. This chapter presents seven c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>s for establishing adaptati<strong>on</strong>m<strong>on</strong>itoring and evaluati<strong>on</strong> (M&E) approaches, and outlines an M&E framework for adaptati<strong>on</strong> – the outcome ofapplying these c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>s in the UNDP c<strong>on</strong>text.Prowse, M. and Snilstveit, B., 2010, 'Impact Evaluati<strong>on</strong> and Interventi<strong>on</strong>s to Address <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: A ScopingStudy', The Internati<strong>on</strong>al Initiative for Impact Evaluati<strong>on</strong> (3ie), New Dehlihttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3926The selecti<strong>on</strong> and design of climate change mitigati<strong>on</strong> and adaptati<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s should be based <strong>on</strong> evidence ofwhat works (and what does not), under what circumstances and at what cost. Currently, evidence <strong>on</strong> the impact of suchinterventi<strong>on</strong>s appears limited, and there is a str<strong>on</strong>g case for the wider applicati<strong>on</strong> of rigorous impact evaluati<strong>on</strong>. Newstudies should evaluate positive and negative impacts of climate change interventi<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> both envir<strong>on</strong>mental andwelfare outcomes. Programme planners and evaluators should work together to accommodate rigorous impactevaluati<strong>on</strong> from the start. While appropriate outcome indicators will differ between interventi<strong>on</strong>s, future evidencesyntheses will be improved by work to develop a c<strong>on</strong>sensus <strong>on</strong> a set of comm<strong>on</strong> outcome indicators.The following report is an empirical study of M&E frameworks used by a number of development co-operati<strong>on</strong> agenciesfor adaptati<strong>on</strong> projects. Based <strong>on</strong> analysis of 106 project documents, it identifies the features of M&E for adaptati<strong>on</strong>and c<strong>on</strong>siders the less<strong>on</strong>s learned <strong>on</strong> the choice and use of indicators.Lamhauge, N., Lanzi, E. and Agrawala, S., 2011, ‘M<strong>on</strong>itoring and Evaluati<strong>on</strong> for Adaptati<strong>on</strong>: Less<strong>on</strong>s fromDevelopment Co-operati<strong>on</strong> Agencies’, OECD Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Working Papers No. 38, OECD Publishing.http://bit.ly/GKKHVaAdditi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources• The AdaptME Toolkit (from UKCIP, Oxford) helps users to think through factors that can make an evaluati<strong>on</strong> ofadaptati<strong>on</strong> activities challenging, and to design a robust evaluati<strong>on</strong>.www.ukcip.org.uk/adaptme-toolkit/• The <strong>Climate</strong>-Eval Community of Practice is dedicated to building the networking and professi<strong>on</strong>al capacity ofindividuals working <strong>on</strong> the evaluati<strong>on</strong> of climate change and internati<strong>on</strong>al development projects andprogrammes.http://climate-eval.org/• The Global Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Facility's (GEF) Evaluati<strong>on</strong> Office is resp<strong>on</strong>sible for ensuring the independentevaluati<strong>on</strong> functi<strong>on</strong> within the GEF. It works to establish systems to disseminate less<strong>on</strong>s learned and bestpractices emanating from M&E activities and provides independent evaluative evidence to the GEF knowledgebase.www.thegef.org/gef/eo_office41 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> guidance and toolsAdaptati<strong>on</strong> guidance and toolsMainstreaming adaptati<strong>on</strong> into development programmingRecogniti<strong>on</strong> of the links between climate change and development has prompted a range of efforts to integrate climatechange adaptati<strong>on</strong> into development planning and decisi<strong>on</strong>-making processes (see adaptati<strong>on</strong> and development). Thissecti<strong>on</strong> of the topic guide presents some of the approaches and tools to support climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong>mainstreaming which have been developed over the past decade.Olhoff, A. and Schaer, C., 2010, ‘Screening Tools and <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g>lines to Support the Mainstreaming of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>Adaptati<strong>on</strong> into Development Assistance – A Stocktaking Report’, United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Development Programme, NewYork http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3958What is climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> mainstreaming and how it can be made operati<strong>on</strong>al at nati<strong>on</strong>al and sub-nati<strong>on</strong>allevels? This report looks at the ways in which mainstreaming of climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> has been defined and it givesan overview of available resources and screening tools to support comp<strong>on</strong>ents of mainstreaming. It argues thatalthough available definiti<strong>on</strong>s point to the need for mainstreaming, they give limited practical guidance as to how tointegrate climate c<strong>on</strong>cerns into the different levels of planning and decisi<strong>on</strong>-making.OECD, 2009, ‘Policy Guidance <strong>on</strong> Integrating <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> into Development Co-operati<strong>on</strong>’, OECD,Paris http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3890How can climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> be mainstreamed in development cooperati<strong>on</strong> agencies and in partner countries'development plans? What are the priorities for governments and d<strong>on</strong>ors? This report recommends moving the coordinati<strong>on</strong>of adaptati<strong>on</strong> implementati<strong>on</strong> into powerful central bodies, and integrating c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> of l<strong>on</strong>g-termclimate risks in nati<strong>on</strong>al planning processes as well as in budgets. It also highlights the need to boost the capacity toassess climate change implicati<strong>on</strong>s, and to examine the resilience of existing policies and frameworks.World Resources Institute, 2009, 'The Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptive Capacity Framework: Key Instituti<strong>on</strong>al Functi<strong>on</strong>s for aChanging <strong>Climate</strong>', Pilot Draft, World Resources Institute, Washingt<strong>on</strong> DChttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3883How can countries adapt to climate change? The Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptive Capacity (NAC) framework identifies nati<strong>on</strong>al-levelfuncti<strong>on</strong>s that all countries will need to perform to adapt effectively to climate change: assessment, prioritisati<strong>on</strong>,coordinati<strong>on</strong>, informati<strong>on</strong> management and climate risk reducti<strong>on</strong>. The framework can be used to assess how wellfuncti<strong>on</strong>s are being performed and to identify opportunities and priorities for building adaptive capacity andimplementing key activities.Lim, B. (ed.), 2005, ‘Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Policy Frameworks for <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: Developing Strategies, Policies andMeasures’, United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Development Programme, New York and Cambridge University Press, Cambridgehttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3911How can climate change c<strong>on</strong>cerns be incorporated into development planning processes? This <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g>book introducesthe Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Policy Framework to help project teams work through the c<strong>on</strong>ceptual, technical and operati<strong>on</strong>alchallenges that arise throughout the adaptati<strong>on</strong> process. The development of an adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategy needs to balancereducing climate change impacts with the c<strong>on</strong>straints of nati<strong>on</strong>al policymaking processes. Whatever adaptati<strong>on</strong> opti<strong>on</strong>sand measures emerge, packaging these decisi<strong>on</strong>s into an effective strategy will require increased policy coherenceacross ec<strong>on</strong>omic sectors, societal levels and timeframes.Huq, S. and Ayers, J., 2008, ‘Taking Steps: Mainstreaming Nati<strong>on</strong>al Adaptati<strong>on</strong>’, IIED Briefing, Internati<strong>on</strong>al Institutefor Envir<strong>on</strong>ment and Development, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3919How can adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate impacts be seamlessly integrated into development policy and planning? This briefpresents a four-step approach to nati<strong>on</strong>al capacity building <strong>on</strong> climate change that mainstreams adaptati<strong>on</strong> intodevelopment at nati<strong>on</strong>al and local levels. These steps are: 1) awareness raising; 2) targeting informati<strong>on</strong> tostakeholders; 3) adaptati<strong>on</strong>/mitigati<strong>on</strong> pilot activities; and 4) the instituti<strong>on</strong>alisati<strong>on</strong> of a fully integrated climatechange-development approach. A 'learning by doing' approach, it focuses first <strong>on</strong> nati<strong>on</strong>al capacity to ensure thatdevelopment in all sectors and at all levels is climate-proofed.Governance and Social Development Resource Centre 42


World Bank, 2008, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> and Mitigati<strong>on</strong> in Development Programs. A Practical <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g>’, WorldBank, Washingt<strong>on</strong> DChttp://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=3930What are the main channels through which development programmes could affect a country's capacity to adapt toclimate change? This report identifies transmissi<strong>on</strong> channels through which development programmes could reducegreenhouse gas emissi<strong>on</strong>s and the impacts of impending climate change <strong>on</strong> individuals. It proposes ec<strong>on</strong>omic andsectoral reforms that would solidify the link between development and climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong>. Each country shouldc<strong>on</strong>duct an assessment to measure its instituti<strong>on</strong>al capacity to address climate issues. These assessments should alsoexamine the extent to which climate issues are integrated into the government’s policymaking framework.Brooks, N., et al. , 2011, ‘Tracking Adaptati<strong>on</strong> and Measuring Development’, IIED Working Paper No. 1, Internati<strong>on</strong>alInstitute for Envir<strong>on</strong>ment and Development, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>http://www.gsdrc.org/go/display&type=Document&id=4247This paper presents a framework for climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong> programming, including potential indicators, orindicator categories/types, for tracking and evaluating the success of adaptati<strong>on</strong> support and interventi<strong>on</strong>s. Theframework assesses: a) how well climate risks to development are managed by instituti<strong>on</strong>s ('upstream' indicators); andb) how successful adaptati<strong>on</strong> interventi<strong>on</strong>s are in reducing vulnerability and keeping development '<strong>on</strong> track' in the faceof changing climate risks ('downstream' indicators). Its proposed indicators are not intended to substitute for c<strong>on</strong>textsensitivecountry-level indicators. Rather, they are designed to 'sweep' existing frameworks and approaches in order topresent an aggregated picture of overall progress towards adaptati<strong>on</strong> goals.Project level adaptati<strong>on</strong> toolsGeneral tools• UNDP, 2010, ‘Designing <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Initiatives’, United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Development Programme,New Yorkwww.undp.org/climatestrategies/docs/lecrds/toolkit.pdf• USAID, 2007, ‘Adapting to <strong>Climate</strong> Variability and <strong>Change</strong>: A Guidance Manual for Development Planning’,USAID Global <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Program, Washingt<strong>on</strong> DCwww.usaid.gov/our_work/envir<strong>on</strong>ment/climate/docs/reports/cc_vamanual.pdf• CARE Internati<strong>on</strong>al, 2010, ‘Toolkit for Integrating <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong> into Development Projects’,Digital Toolkit – Versi<strong>on</strong> 1.0 – July, CARE Internati<strong>on</strong>al, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>www.careclimatechange.org/files/toolkit/CARE_Integrati<strong>on</strong>_Toolkit.pdf• Bizikova, L., Bellali, J., Habtezi<strong>on</strong>, Z., Diakhite, M. and Pintér, L., 2009, 'IEA Training Manual Volume Two:Vulnerability and Impact Assessments for Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>', UNEP, IISD and UNITARhttp://hqweb.unep.org/ieacp/iea/training/manual<strong>Climate</strong> screening• Institute of Development Studies – ORCHID: Opportunities and Risks from <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Disasterswww.ids.ac.uk/climatechange/orchid• Tearfund – CEDRA: <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> and Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Degradati<strong>on</strong> Risk and Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Assessmenthttp://tilz.tearfund.org/webdocs/Tilz/<str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g>s/Envir<strong>on</strong>mental%20Sustainability/CEDRA%20D5.pdf43 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Topic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, 2012


Adaptati<strong>on</strong> guidance and toolsCommunity-based adaptati<strong>on</strong>• Practical Acti<strong>on</strong>, WWF, IUCN Nepal, CECI Nepal and NAVIN, 2010, ‘Review of Community Based VulnerabilityAssessment Methods and Tools’, review for the Ministry of Envir<strong>on</strong>ment, Government of Nepalwww.climatenepal.org.np/main/?p=research&sp=<strong>on</strong>linelibrary&opt=detail&id=282• IISD/Intercooperati<strong>on</strong>/SEI/IUCN – Community-based Risk Screening Tool – Adaptati<strong>on</strong> and Livelihoods(CRISTAL)www.cristaltool.org• CARE Internati<strong>on</strong>al – <strong>Climate</strong> Vulnerability and Capacity Analysis Handbookwww.careclimatechange.org/cvca/CARE_CVCAHandbook.pdf• FAO E-learning tool – Planning for Community-based Adaptati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>www.webgeo.de/fao-webgeo-2-intro/• Bread for All and Heks – CliDR: Participatory Tool <strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> and Disaster Riskswww.adaptati<strong>on</strong>learning.net/sites/default/files/CliDR%20Eng_Vers5_0.pdfDisaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong>• ProVenti<strong>on</strong> C<strong>on</strong>sortium – Tools for Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reducti<strong>on</strong>www.proventi<strong>on</strong>c<strong>on</strong>sortium.org/?pageid=32&projectid=1• Red Cross/Red Crescent – <strong>Climate</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guide</str<strong>on</strong>g>www.climatecentre.org/downloads/File/reports/RCRC_climateguide.pdf• Asian Disaster Preparedness Center – Child-oriented Participatory Risk Assessment and Planning Toolkitwww.gdn<strong>on</strong>line.org/resources/ADPC_CDP_COPRAP_toolkit.pdf• Harris, K., et al., 2012, ‘Changing <strong>Climate</strong>, Changing Disasters: Pathways Towards Integrati<strong>on</strong>’, Strengthening<strong>Climate</strong> Resilience, Bright<strong>on</strong>http://community.eldis.org/.59d5ba58/SCR-changning-climate-changing-disasters-2012.pdfAdditi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong>line resources• The Adaptati<strong>on</strong> Learning Mechanism (ALM) is a collaborative knowledge-sharing platform which providesaccess to a range of tools and resources to support adaptati<strong>on</strong> practice and the integrati<strong>on</strong> of climate changerisks and adaptati<strong>on</strong> into development policy, planning and operati<strong>on</strong>s.www.adaptati<strong>on</strong>learning.net• The UNFCCC Compendium <strong>on</strong> methods and tools to evaluate impacts of, and vulnerability and adaptati<strong>on</strong>to, climate change is designed to assist Parties and other potential users in selecting the most appropriatemethodology for assessments of impacts and vulnerability, and preparing for adaptati<strong>on</strong> to climate change.The Compendium was developed in 1999 and updated in 2003, 2005, 2008 and more recently in 2009.http://unfccc.int/adaptati<strong>on</strong>/nairobi_workprogramme/knowledge_resources_and_publicati<strong>on</strong>s/items/5457.php?anf=&&sort=&dirc=&seite=1&nwp=org&sector_pdf=&theme_pdf=&type_pdf• weADAPT is an <strong>on</strong>line collaborative space which provides guidance by pooling expertise from a wide range oforganisati<strong>on</strong>s that c<strong>on</strong>tribute to adaptati<strong>on</strong> science and practice.www.weadapt.orgGovernance and Social Development Resource Centre 44

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