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Energy Strategy 2050 – from coal, oil and gas

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<strong>Energy</strong> is a prerequisite for a modern society with economic<br />

growth <strong>and</strong> welfare. We take power <strong>and</strong> heating<br />

for granted, just as we take access to clean drinking<br />

water <strong>and</strong> clean air for granted. This has held true for<br />

most of the 20th century, <strong>and</strong> it should to apply for the<br />

21st century.<br />

However, for economic, strategic <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

reasons, we will have to take a completely fresh look<br />

at the way in which we consume <strong>and</strong> produce energy.<br />

Over the last hundred years, western societies have had<br />

access to plentiful <strong>and</strong> relatively cheap fossil energy. The<br />

next 100 years will bring considerable change, with an<br />

increasing number of people dem<strong>and</strong>ing a share of the<br />

energy, while available fossil fuels become ever scarcer<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>oil</strong> resources are concentrated in the h<strong>and</strong>s of just<br />

a few countries. There is also the fact that global climate<br />

problems will require us to burn far less <strong>coal</strong>, <strong>oil</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>gas</strong>.<br />

The 21st century will have to be the century in which<br />

we find new solutions to satisfy the dem<strong>and</strong> for energy<br />

services, i.e. lighting, heating, transport, production etc.<br />

With these challenges also come new opportunities for<br />

Denmark, since the majority of countries will be faced<br />

with the same challenges, meaning that there will be a<br />

1973<br />

95% of<br />

Danish energy<br />

consumption<br />

covered by<br />

imported <strong>oil</strong><br />

Oil <strong>and</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>from</strong><br />

the North Sea<br />

Figure 1.1 Phases in the transition of the Danish energy<br />

system<br />

The next 100 years will bring considerable<br />

change, with an increasing number of people<br />

dem<strong>and</strong>ing a share of the energy<br />

1985<br />

Electricity <strong>and</strong><br />

heating <strong>from</strong> <strong>coal</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> natural <strong>gas</strong><br />

Increased<br />

energy efficiency<br />

considerable growth in the dem<strong>and</strong> for green technologies;<br />

an area in which Danish enterprises excel.<br />

A good foundation<br />

Over a number of years, Denmark has enjoyed high<br />

security of supply with world-class energy efficiency, <strong>and</strong><br />

an increasing share of renewable energy. This is due to<br />

a radical conversion of the Danish energy system since<br />

the first <strong>oil</strong> crisis in 1973. Firstly, considerable energy<br />

efficiency improvements have taken place at companies<br />

<strong>and</strong> in households, <strong>and</strong> energy production has likewise<br />

been made more efficient, for example through the<br />

expansion of district heating <strong>and</strong> combined heat <strong>and</strong><br />

power production (CHP). Secondly, the fuel mix has<br />

changed <strong>from</strong> 95% dependence on imported <strong>oil</strong> to a differentiated<br />

energy supply based on <strong>coal</strong>, <strong>oil</strong>, natural <strong>gas</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> renewables.<br />

Independence of fossil fuels is to preserve this favourable<br />

situation in a future where Denmark <strong>and</strong> the rest of<br />

the world will experience increasing dem<strong>and</strong> for energy<br />

services, while the production of fossil fuels, especially<br />

<strong>oil</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>gas</strong>, will be concentrated in ever fewer countries<br />

<strong>and</strong> regions.<br />

2011<br />

High energy<br />

efficiency<br />

Large share of<br />

renewable energy<br />

Net exporter<br />

of energy<br />

<strong>2050</strong><br />

Denmark is<br />

independent<br />

of fossil fuels<br />

<strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2050</strong> <strong>–</strong> <strong>from</strong> <strong>coal</strong>, <strong>oil</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>gas</strong> to green energy.<br />

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