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721.8 kB - Poledna | Boss | Kurer

721.8 kB - Poledna | Boss | Kurer

721.8 kB - Poledna | Boss | Kurer

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FEATURED ARTICLESISSUE 30 | JUNE 6, 2013Topical News Briefing: ItalyBetween A Rock And A Hard Placeby the Global Tax Weekly Editorial TeamAlthough the tax-raising steps taken last year by"technocrat" Mario Monti's government has succeededin reducing the fiscal deficit from 5 percentto below 3 percent, it has been at the cost of plungingthe country into a downward spiral of anemicconsumption, which in turn affects forward levelsof tax collection.Or does it? The figures say that consumption fellby 7 percent in 2012, and that may be true, but itmay also be the case that people's reaction to highertaxes is to cheat more effectively on their incomedeclarations. Italy has one of the largest "black"economies in Europe, and one of the lowest levelsof respect for government. The authorities havetried to limit the use of cash by putting ceilings oncash withdrawals and requiring banks to providea mass of data about account movements, but theeffect of those measures may just be to turn peopleaway from using banks at all.The news that the European Commission is endingits "excessive deficit procedure" against Italywas welcomed by the Government, but it actuallymeans nothing in real terms this year; next year itwill mean the unblocking of somewhere betweenEUR5bn and 10bn in EU support funds, but muchof that money has prescribed uses, and it won't allcount against the deficit.Meanwhile, the Government is in a hole. The coalitionhas two halves, essentially, left wing and rightwing, and the condition set by Silvio Berlusconi forhis right-wing party's participation was the abandonmentof IMU, a property tax imposed by MarioMonti and which reaped about EUR8bn last year.The first installment, of two, was due in June andhas been postponed pending a grand settlement ofthe nation's fiscal affairs which is supposed to takeplace before September; in the meantime there willbe a 1 percent VAT increase in July unless the Government,by magic, can find a way of avoiding it.In fact the coalition is at war with itself, and thefear must be that Berlusconi is simply waiting forthe moment to bring it down, hoping for a betteroutcome for his party is renewed elections. Anotherchange of government at this moment in historywould be a disaster. Poor Italy.34

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