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Georgia Gaming Market Assessment - Pennsylvania Treasury

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These were then input into a financial analysis which calculated the net present value (NPV) of<br />

the project, the internal rate of return (IRR) and the payback period. These IRRs are the beforetax,<br />

before-debt-service rates that investors and bankers will look for the project to achieve<br />

before financing will be considered. As such this provides a useful practical real world criterion<br />

to determine the minimum feasible size of a market that could realistically be developed in<br />

today’s competitive environment<br />

Valuation and Indicators<br />

Large Medium<br />

Medium/<br />

Small Small Outlier<br />

Total Revenues $299.6 $220.4 $150.7 $113.8 $73.8<br />

EBITDA $66.0 $48.5 $29.4 $21.6 $13.3<br />

Adjusted Net Present Value ($M) $105.4 $69.2 $4.3 ($23.1) ($51.8)<br />

Internal Rate of Return 17.9% 17.4% 12.5% 9.1% 3.7%<br />

Payback Period (in years)<br />

Source: The Innovation Group<br />

5.3 5.5 7.0 8.5 10 +<br />

The Innovation Group Project #054-11 August 2011 Page 87

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