2010 Report - Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

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Section 3 – Regional ReliabilityRegional Reliability Assessments ......................................................................................... 61North American Electric Reliability Corporation ............................................................... 61Reliability Assessment ............................................................................................... 61ReliabilityFirst Corporation ................................................................................................. 65Compliance Standards .............................................................................................. 65Reliability Assessment ............................................................................................... 65Pennsylvania ......................................................................................................................... 70Section 4 - ConclusionsConclusions ........................................................................................................................... 73Appendix A – Data TablesActual and Forecast Data Tables ......................................................................................... 75Appendix B – Plant Additions and UpgradesStatus of Pennsylvania’s Plant Additions and Upgrades .................................................... 83Appendix C – Existing Generating FacilitiesPennsylvania’s Existing Electric Generating Facilities ...................................................... 90ivPennsylvania Public Utility Commission
Section 1 - IntroductionPurposeElectric Power Outlook for Pennsylvania 2009-2014 summarizes and discusses the current andfuture electric power supply and demand situation for the 11 investor-owned jurisdictional electricdistribution companies (EDCs) operating within the Commonwealth and the entities responsiblefor maintaining the reliability of the bulk electric supply system within the region whichencompasses the state.The Bureau of Conservation, Economics and Energy Planning prepared this report, pursuant toTitle 66, Pennsylvania Consolidated Statutes, Section 524(b). This report is submitted annually tothe General Assembly, the Governor, the Office of Consumer Advocate and each affected publicutility, and also is made available to the general public on the Commission’s website. 9The information contained in this report includes highlights of the past year, EDCs' projections ofenergy demand and peak load, and a discussion of historical trends in electric utility forecasting.Since the eight largest EDCs operating in Pennsylvania represent 99.8 percent of jurisdictionalelectricity sales, information regarding the three smaller EDCs has been limited in this report. Thereport also provides a regional perspective with statistical information on the projected resourcesand aggregate peak loads for the region, which impacts Pennsylvania.Under section 2809(e) of the Public Utility Code, the Commission has the authority to forbearfrom applying any requirements of the Code, including section 524 and existing regulationspromulgated thereto, which it found no longer to be necessary due to competition among electricgeneration suppliers. Thus, the Commission adopted revised regulations reflecting a reduction inreporting requirements and a reduction in the reporting horizon for energy demand, connected peakload and number of customers from 20 to 5 years. Information regarding capital investments,energy costs, new generating facilities and expansions of existing facilities are no longer required.With the divestiture of generating facilities by the EDCs, the Commission relies on reports andanalyses of regional entities, including the ReliabilityFirst Corporation and the PJMInterconnection, to obtain a more complete assessment of the current and future status of theelectric power supply within the region.Informational sources include data submitted by EDCs, which is filed annually pursuant to theCommission's regulations. 10 Sources also include data submitted by regional reliability councilsto the North American Electric Reliability Corporation, which is subsequently forwarded to thefederal Energy Information Administration.Any comments or conclusions contained in this report do not necessarily reflect the views oropinions of the Commission or individual Commissioners. Although this report has been issued bythe Commission, it is not to be considered or construed as approval or acceptance by theCommission of any of the plans, assumptions or calculations made by the EDCs or regionalreliability entities and reflected in the information submitted.9 See http://www.puc.state.pa.us/general/publications_reports/pdf/EPO_2010.pdf.10 52 Pa. Code §§ 57.141—57.154.Electric Power Outlook for Pennsylvania 2009-2014 1
Page 2 and 3: ELECTRIC POWER OUTLOOKFOR PENNSYLVA
Page 4 and 5: adequate reserve margin. Net capaci
Page 8 and 9: Regional Reliability OrganizationsI
Page 10 and 11: Figure 1 NERC regionsNote: The high
Page 12 and 13: Figure 3 PJM RTO service territoryO
Page 14 and 15: Figure 5 Mid-Atlantic Area National
Page 16 and 17: Trans-Allegheny Interstate LineThe
Page 18 and 19: September 2009. A Recommended Decis
Page 20 and 21: suppliers or purchased power from t
Page 22 and 23: AECs are earned when a qualified fa
Page 24 and 25: Smart Meters and Time-of-Use RatesS
Page 26 and 27: Section 2 - Historic and Forecast D
Page 28 and 29: Figure 10 Pennsylvania aggregate no
Page 30 and 31: Most utilities have employed a comb
Page 32 and 33: Figure 13 Pennsylvania residential
Page 34 and 35: Figure 15 Pennsylvania industrial u
Page 36 and 37: Figure 17 Average deviation in peak
Page 38 and 39: Summary of EDC DataThe following se
Page 40 and 41: Figure 27 Duquesne Light Company pe
Page 42 and 43: 2000. Average annual use per reside
Page 44 and 45: Figure 32 Metropolitan Edison Compa
Page 46 and 47: Figure 33 Pennsylvania Electric Com
Page 48 and 49: percent and an industrial growth ra
Page 50 and 51: Figure 38 Pennsylvania Power Compan
Page 52 and 53: Figure 39 PPL Electric Utilities Co
Page 54 and 55: PECO's 2009 summer peak load, occur
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Figure 44 PECO Energy Company avera
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commercial (24.3 percent). Average
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Figure 48 West Penn Power Company a
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Figure 50 UGI Utilities Inc. peak l
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sales, followed by residential with
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Figure 53 Wellsboro Electric Compan
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system and to make recommendations
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• Innovative resource planning an
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Figure 54 RFC 2009-2018 reserve mar
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The MISO reserve margin for existin
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PennsylvaniaThe Pennsylvania electr
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GWh more than they generated. Figur
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Susquehanna Steam Electric Station,
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Table A01 Duquesne Light CompanyTab
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Table A09 Pennsylvania Electric Com
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Table A17 PPL Electric Utilities Co
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Table A25 West Penn Power CompanyTa
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Status of Pennsylvania's Plant Addi
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Appendix C - Existing Generating Fa
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Pennsylvania's Existing Electric Ge
Page 100:
Nuclear Power Plants in Pennsylvani
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2010 Report - Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

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