The impact of demographic change on local and regional government

The impact of demographic change on local and regional government The impact of demographic change on local and regional government

11.07.2015 Views

[ 4Summaryand Conclusion ]All European countries are facing challenges engendered byong>demographicong> ong>changeong>. ong>Theong>se developments have far-reaching,complex consequences for local and regional government.ong>Theong> ong>impactong> ong>ofong> ong>demographicong> ong>changeong>s differs from city to cityand from region to region. But they influence nearly everysphere ong>ofong> life and affect almost every policy field. Demographicong>changeong> is a topic addressed at the European level, inparticular by institutions like the EU Commission and Eurostat(Statistical Office ong>ofong> the European Communities). In March2005, the Commission ong>ofong> the European Communitiespublished a Green paper “Confronting ong>demographicong> ong>changeong>:a new solidarity between the generations”. In this paper thephenomena ong>ofong> ong>demographicong> ong>changeong> (low birth rate, decline ong>ofong>population, ageing/longevity, migration) are discussed withregard to inter-generational solidarity 55) . Eurostat data (56) showthat all European countries are affected by ong>demographicong>ong>changeong>, to a varying extent and in differing time horizons.Demographic ong>changeong> and the discussion on how to deal withit is not only a complex issue but also a politically andemotionally highly charged subject. Although scientists havebeen providing ong>demographicong> data for many years, it has onlyrecently surfaced in public political debate – probably owingto the initially negative connotations ong>ofong> shrinkage and ageing.ong>Theong> political debate on ageing focuses more on its costs for thesocial insurance system rather than on its social and eveneconomic potentials. This is the case in all the countries understudy.Shrinkage, in contrast, seems to be a topic particularly relevantin eastern Germany. Of course, the shrinking ong>ofong> cities is not atotally new phenomenon and in the countries under study isoccurring in a number ong>ofong> regions. But in East Germany, anatural decline ong>ofong> population (collapse ong>ofong> the fertility rate afterGerman unification) is compounded by a sustained andextensive outmigration to West Germany. Some cities have lostmore than 20 to 25% ong>ofong> inhabitants since 1990.On the local and regional government levels, most ong>ofong> theprojects documented are in field ong>ofong> social services, especiallyinfrastructure. Local authorities are attempting to adapt thesocial (and technical) infrastructure to changing demand interms ong>ofong> the quality and extent ong>ofong> services. Many projectshave already been implemented. In other areas, too, localauthorities have started developing strategies for handlingong>demographicong> ong>changeong>, covering a broad range ong>ofong> initiatives.But very few local authorities are proceeding systematicallyby adopting an integrative strategic approach taking accountong>ofong> all the different and interlocking elements ong>ofong> ong>demographicong>ong>changeong>. Much remains for local and regional authorities todo, and it will become increasingly urgent to develop localand regional strategies adapted to the specific local situation.(55) Commission ong>ofong> the European Communities, Green paper “confronting ong>demographicong> ong>changeong>: a new solidarity between the generations”, COM (2005) 94 final, Brussels, 16.3.2005.(56) Eurostat, news release Nr. 48/2005 and Nr. 136/2005.

5Further[Inquiryand Research Questions]ong>Theong> report gives a first impression on the ong>impactong> ong>ofong>ong>demographicong> ong>changeong>s on local and regional government.It primarily describes good practices, published in the Internetor the literature. ong>Theong>se presentations ong>ofong> good practicesgenerally omit problematic aspects ong>ofong> the projects and theirimplementation, as well as constraints and obstacles. Furtherand more detailed research, e.g., evaluation, ong>impactong>assessment, and questionnaire based surveys, is necessarybefore conclusions can be drawn about the ong>impactong>,effectiveness, efficiency, sustainability, etc., ong>ofong> projects. Futureinquiry in the field ong>ofong> ong>demographicong> ong>changeong> and ong>impactong>s onlocal and regional government in Europe should focus on:• identifying conferrable approaches on the different tiers,especially the regional and local levels; they may be isolatedprojects in municipalities as well as more integrated, interdisciplinaryand transsectoral approaches. A good practicedata base – that thematizes problems and constraints, aswell – could be helpful for administrative and political actorson all levels.• the roles by different actors, e.g., EU, nation-states, regions,local authorities:• How can the EU and nation-states promote awarenessong>ofong> ong>demographicong> ong>changeong> at all policy-making levels?• How can they promote exong>changeong>s ong>ofong> experiencebetween national governments, regional and localauthorities?• How can ong>demographicong> ong>changeong> (with negativelyconnotated shrinkage and ageing) be placed on thepolitical agenda in municipalities and regions?• How can the political dilemma ong>ofong> balancing long-termdevelopments like ong>demographicong> ong>changeong> against shorttermpolitical interests be resolved?• Identifying specified cultural characteristics in accepting andmanaging ong>demographicong> ong>changeong>.Moreover, many projects had to do with ong>demographicong> ong>changeong>but were rarely designed and initiated in explicit responseto perceived ong>demographicong> ong>changeong>s. ong>Theong>y are concerned onlyindirectly with this issue. In principle, the existence ong>ofong> a projectdoes not necessarily mean that the responsible actors areaware ong>ofong> demography as a meta-dimension. It could beinteresting to investigate how extensively the subject isalready being discussed and addressed. It is necessary tong>ofong>oster greater awareness ong>ofong> the importance ong>ofong> “ong>demographicong>ong>changeong>” and an understanding ong>ofong> it as a cross-sectional issue.Demographic ong>changeong> is a topic at the General Assembly ong>ofong> theCEMR in Innsbruck, Austria in May 2006. ong>Theong> Assembly couldbe a starting point for a “European network ong>ofong> municipalitiesexperiencing ong>demographicong> ong>changeong>”. This network shouldbring together experts (in particular practitioners fromlocal authorities as well as from ministries, associations andscientific institutions) from different countries to initiatean exong>changeong> ong>ofong> experience and lead the discussion out ong>ofong>academic to the more general level where action has to betaken in response to the ong>demographicong> ong>changeong>s all countrieshave to cope with. ong>Theong> time for procrastination is past.1819

5Further[Inquiry<strong>and</strong> Research Questi<strong>on</strong>s]<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> report gives a first impressi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> the <str<strong>on</strong>g>impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <strong>on</strong> <strong>local</strong> <strong>and</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>government</strong>.It primarily describes good practices, published in the Internetor the literature. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>se presentati<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> good practicesgenerally omit problematic aspects <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the projects <strong>and</strong> theirimplementati<strong>on</strong>, as well as c<strong>on</strong>straints <strong>and</strong> obstacles. Further<strong>and</strong> more detailed research, e.g., evaluati<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>assessment, <strong>and</strong> questi<strong>on</strong>naire based surveys, is necessarybefore c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s can be drawn about the <str<strong>on</strong>g>impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>,effectiveness, efficiency, sustainability, etc., <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> projects. Futureinquiry in the field <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <strong>on</strong><strong>local</strong> <strong>and</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>government</strong> in Europe should focus <strong>on</strong>:• identifying c<strong>on</strong>ferrable approaches <strong>on</strong> the different tiers,especially the regi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>and</strong> <strong>local</strong> levels; they may be isolatedprojects in municipalities as well as more integrated, interdisciplinary<strong>and</strong> transsectoral approaches. A good practicedata base – that thematizes problems <strong>and</strong> c<strong>on</strong>straints, aswell – could be helpful for administrative <strong>and</strong> political actors<strong>on</strong> all levels.• the roles by different actors, e.g., EU, nati<strong>on</strong>-states, regi<strong>on</strong>s,<strong>local</strong> authorities:• How can the EU <strong>and</strong> nati<strong>on</strong>-states promote awareness<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> at all policy-making levels?• How can they promote ex<str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> experiencebetween nati<strong>on</strong>al <strong>government</strong>s, regi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>and</strong> <strong>local</strong>authorities?• How can <str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> (with negativelyc<strong>on</strong>notated shrinkage <strong>and</strong> ageing) be placed <strong>on</strong> thepolitical agenda in municipalities <strong>and</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>s?• How can the political dilemma <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> balancing l<strong>on</strong>g-termdevelopments like <str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> against shorttermpolitical interests be resolved?• Identifying specified cultural characteristics in accepting <strong>and</strong>managing <str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>.Moreover, many projects had to do with <str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>but were rarely designed <strong>and</strong> initiated in explicit resp<strong>on</strong>seto perceived <str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>s. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>y are c<strong>on</strong>cerned <strong>on</strong>lyindirectly with this issue. In principle, the existence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a projectdoes not necessarily mean that the resp<strong>on</strong>sible actors areaware <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> demography as a meta-dimensi<strong>on</strong>. It could beinteresting to investigate how extensively the subject isalready being discussed <strong>and</strong> addressed. It is necessary t<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>oster greater awareness <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the importance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> “<str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>” <strong>and</strong> an underst<strong>and</strong>ing <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> it as a cross-secti<strong>on</strong>al issue.Demographic <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> is a topic at the General Assembly <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> theCEMR in Innsbruck, Austria in May 2006. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assembly couldbe a starting point for a “European network <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> municipalitiesexperiencing <str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>”. This network shouldbring together experts (in particular practiti<strong>on</strong>ers from<strong>local</strong> authorities as well as from ministries, associati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>and</strong>scientific instituti<strong>on</strong>s) from different countries to initiatean ex<str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> experience <strong>and</strong> lead the discussi<strong>on</strong> out <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>academic to the more general level where acti<strong>on</strong> has to betaken in resp<strong>on</strong>se to the <str<strong>on</strong>g>demographic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>s all countrieshave to cope with. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> time for procrastinati<strong>on</strong> is past.1819

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!