The impact of demographic change on local and regional government

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1 Introduction >2 Demographic Changes in Europe > 3 Demographic Change in Four Policy fields > 4 Summary and Conclusion> 5 Further Inquiry and Research Questions > 6 <strong>The</strong> Council <strong>of</strong> European Municipalities and Regions in a nutshellDemographic situation in briefSpain<strong>The</strong> current population <strong>of</strong> Spain is about 40.3 million.<strong>The</strong> median age is some 39.5. Life expectancy is 79.5, 76.2 formen and 83.1 for women, and thus in the same range as theother countries under study. <strong>The</strong> total fertility rate <strong>of</strong> 1.28children born per woman is one <strong>of</strong> the lowest in the EU (31) .<strong>The</strong> Spanish population will decrease by 9.4 million over thecoming 50 years, according to a report by the United Nations'population division. This represents a 24% net loss in currentpopulation. In 2050, Spain will be the country with the highestpercentage <strong>of</strong> old people in the world. Currently, the over65 age group makes up 17% <strong>of</strong> the Spanish population.If current trends continue, this will rise to 37% by 2050, whichrepresents a total increase <strong>of</strong> 117% for this age group bythat year (32) .Spain has also evolved from being an emigration state intoan immigration state, most strongly since the beginning <strong>of</strong>the 1990s. Accession to the EU in 1986 and a consequenteconomic growth have made Spain more attractive forre-migrants and also for immigrants from Africa,Asia and LatinAmerica. <strong>The</strong> present proportion <strong>of</strong> foreigners in the countryis about 3.2%. At the end <strong>of</strong> 2002 immigrants from Africancountries were the biggest group (27.7%), three quarters <strong>of</strong>them originating from Morocco. <strong>The</strong>y were followed by peoplefrom Latin America. Main regions for immigrants to settle areMadrid, Catalonia and Andalusia, engendering problems <strong>of</strong>integration, housing, employment, etc (33) .Interregional migration between 1960 to 1973 was veryintense due to the strong economic growth with substantialregional imbalances that prevailed at the time. People left ruraland poor areas like Andalusia and Extremadura for wealthierand more industrial zones like Madrid, Catalonia or the BasqueCountry. However, since the early 1980s and well into the1990s, net interregional flows declined substantially despitethe persistence <strong>of</strong> regional differentials and sustained highunemployment (34) .Compared to Finland and Germany, <strong>demographic</strong> <strong>change</strong> inSpain has been influenced by rapid industrialisation andmodernisation during the transition from the Franco era to EUmembership.Demography-related national policiesRecent developments in family policy (35) in Spain show that thecountry has entered a new era <strong>of</strong> explicit family policy.This was already the case under the former conservativegovernment with its family programme (Plan Integral deProtección de la Familia) adopted in 2001 but also with themain opposition party (Socialist Party), now in power, whichpresented its own programme for the family. After animportant reform <strong>of</strong> the fiscal system in 1998, a new incometax reform was adopted in 2002 and implemented in 2003.<strong>The</strong> reform has introduced many <strong>change</strong>s relating to families,especially children. <strong>The</strong> reform includes a financialcompensation to mothers during the three years followingbirth which is not limited by the level <strong>of</strong> income, together withan increase in tax relief for childcare beginning with thesecond child instead <strong>of</strong> the third as before. <strong>The</strong> autonomousregions have also concentrated their new fiscal competenceon economic support for the family.In migration policy, the Spanish government enacted a newregulation in December 2004 on the legalisation <strong>of</strong> illegalimmigrants in Spain. According to this regulation, migrantsliving illegally in Spain may receive a residence and a workpermit if they have lived in Spain for at least one year and ifthey have a work contract for at least six months. Migrantswho do not apply for legalisation within this period will haveto apply according to the ordinary procedure to obtain legalpapers for humanitarian reasons (36) .(31) <strong>The</strong> World Factbook, Spain (http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/sp.html#People).(32) British Medical Journal, Spain faces massive decline in population (http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=1117826).(33) Bundeszentrale politische Bildung, Länderpr<strong>of</strong>il Spanien (http://www.migration-info.de/migration_und_bevoelkerung/artikel/031005.htm).(34) Bover, Olympia; Velilla, Pilar, Migrations in Spain: Historical Background and current trends, December 2001 (http://rt001hfd.eresmas.net/Paper-graf.pdf).(35) Cordon, Juan, General Monitoring Report 2004 Spain, Families in Spain: Policies, challenges and opportunities (http://www.europa.eu.int/comm/employment_social/eoss/downloads/gm_04_Spain.pdf).(36) european-migration-law.net, Illegal Immigration – Spain legalises illegal migrants (http://www.european-migration-law.net/modules.php?name=News&file=article&sid=158).
[3]Demographic Changein Four Policy fields:Social Services, Spatial Planning, Employment /Social Inclusion and Local Community Activities3.1 SOCIAL SERVICESRelationship between social services and demographySocial services are affected by <strong>demographic</strong> <strong>change</strong>s in manyways. Most obvious and comprehensible is the <strong>impact</strong><strong>of</strong> <strong>demographic</strong> <strong>change</strong> on social security systems, mainlythe pension system but also the nursing care and healthinsurance systems. Fewer people are now working andfinancing social insurance systems, while a growing number <strong>of</strong>people are dependent on the system and its benefits. So it isdecisive for the viability <strong>of</strong> a pension system how manypensioners have to be maintained by each economically activeperson (37) .Not only the quality <strong>of</strong> social services but also the extent andaccessibility <strong>of</strong> services are affected by an ageing andshrinking population. Social services include child care, care forthe elderly and disabled, as well as health care institutions andeducational services such as schools, which may haveimportant functions as day care institutions.<strong>The</strong> ageing <strong>of</strong> the population poses obvious challenges for thecare <strong>of</strong> the elderly. <strong>The</strong> number <strong>of</strong> people needing nursing orhealth care is rising. <strong>The</strong> capacity <strong>of</strong> care institutions thereforeneeds to be increased. As far as quality is concerned, thegrowing percentage <strong>of</strong> very old people (over 80) requiresprogrammes and adjusted services on a very specific level forthis target group. <strong>The</strong>se services will presumably increase inthe years to come.(37) International Labour Organization (ILO), An inclusive society for an ageing population: <strong>The</strong> employment and social protection challenge, Paper contributed by the ILO to the Second World Assembly onAgeing, Madrid, 8-12 April 2002 (http://www.ilo.org/public/english/employment/skills/older/publ/index.htm).89
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