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Chemicals and Cleaning Products Production - PMMI

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MarketSegmentsEurope Industrial <strong>Production</strong>Annual Trend: 99.5 Phase: D Year-over-Year: -1.3%Europe Industrial <strong>Production</strong>12-Month Moving AverageYear-over-Year Growth Rate12/12 Rate-of-Change11011010105510510500100100-5-5-10-109595-15-1590'06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '1690-20'06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16-20IndustryOutlook2012: -2.3%2013: 0.8%2014: 0.8%2015: 0.8%Annual Europe Industrial <strong>Production</strong> is at a 17-monthlow, declining at the fastest rate in over two years. The3/12 rate-of-change is falling, providing an indicationthat the 12/12 rate-of-change will decline further in thenear term. Annual <strong>Production</strong> will mildly improve inlate 2013 through mid-2014, before recession returns inlate 2014. <strong>Production</strong> begins to rise again in the secondhalf of 2015.Europe Retail Sales are growing slowly, increasing 1.6%during the past year (annual basis). An uncertainEuropean economy will moderate growth in consumermarkets during the rest of the year. Germany, France,<strong>and</strong> UK Retail Sales are improving <strong>and</strong> will help retailersmitigate losses in other countries. Spain, Italy, <strong>and</strong>Portugal Retail Sales are diminishing, <strong>and</strong> ongoingausterity measures will yield less favorable marketconditions into 2013.ITR Economics 11 1st Quarter - 2013

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