Challenges of Forecasting in the West - NOAA

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Challenges of Forecasting in the West - NOAA

Challenges of Forecasting in the West - NOAA

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Basic <strong>Forecast<strong>in</strong>g</strong> ApproachesI. Objective techniques:a. Numerical models – perfect prog approachb. Statistical approachesII.Subjective (human-based) techniques:a. Decision treesb. Empirical rulesc. Synoptic climatologies

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Simple Geostrophic Flow10341030102610221018L RL R = hNf

Basic <strong>Forecast<strong>in</strong>g</strong> ApproachesI. Objective techniques:a. Numerical models – perfect prog approachb. Statistical approachesII.Subjective (human-based) techniques:a. Decision treesb. Empirical rulesc. Synoptic climatologies

Page 1 and 2: Challenges of Forecastingin the Wes
Page 4 and 5: Overview of human-based forecasting
Page 7 and 8: Historically in the West these have
Page 10 and 11: Categorize mesoscale circulationsin
Page 14: Objective techniques:a. Numerical m
Page 24: Empirical techniques:• Typically
Page 34: Forecasting in the West is:• Focu