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Climate Change and Tourism - UNEP - Division of Technology ...

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UNWTO, 9 July 2008<br />

Impacts <strong>and</strong> Adaptation at <strong>Tourism</strong> Destinations<br />

Socio-cultural heritage is an ever more popular attraction for tourists, <strong>and</strong> cultural activities, as well<br />

as indigenous <strong>and</strong> folk traditions are among the most fragile aspects <strong>of</strong> a society. Many have already<br />

disappeared through processes <strong>of</strong> globalisation, mechanisation, urbanisation, emigration <strong>and</strong> other<br />

factors. The cultural consequences <strong>of</strong> physical climate change impacts on l<strong>and</strong>scapes <strong>and</strong> buildings<br />

may reinforce current trends towards the ab<strong>and</strong>onment <strong>and</strong> break-up <strong>of</strong> communities leading to the<br />

loss <strong>of</strong> rituals <strong>and</strong> cultural memory. 399 Such attractions as local arts <strong>and</strong> crafts, dances <strong>and</strong> traditional<br />

agricultural l<strong>and</strong>-uses are important draws for tourists in destinations such as Australia, Africa <strong>and</strong> Asia.<br />

400 Traditional skills such as boat-building, fishing <strong>and</strong> navigation, as well as the way in which boats are<br />

used are based on local conditions <strong>of</strong> tide, current, wind <strong>and</strong> wave. If any <strong>of</strong> these aspects are altered<br />

the suitability <strong>of</strong> a boat for its purpose may be adversely affected, so that the boat design may no longer<br />

be <strong>of</strong> use, or the navigation skills used may have to change. 401 Similarly, if marine resources such as<br />

coral reefs, fish stocks <strong>and</strong> mangrove forests are altered or diminished by climate change this will affect<br />

the attractiveness <strong>and</strong> food supplies in a destination, <strong>and</strong> the livelihoods <strong>of</strong> local people. Coral reefs<br />

cover 0.2% <strong>of</strong> the ocean floor but contain 25% <strong>of</strong> marine species globally. They provide livelihoods<br />

to 100 million people globally <strong>and</strong> provide the basis for industries (tourism, fishing) worth an annual<br />

net benefit <strong>of</strong> US$ 30 billion. 402 Similarly, one hectare <strong>of</strong> mangroves is estimated to deliver products<br />

<strong>and</strong> services worth up to US$ 900,000 (timber <strong>and</strong> wood chippings, fish spawning, <strong>and</strong> habitat for<br />

economically important species). 403<br />

In 2005, the UNESCO World Heritage Centre (WHC) initiated an assessment <strong>of</strong> the impacts <strong>of</strong> climate<br />

change on World Heritage; the report, containing twenty-six case studies <strong>of</strong> natural <strong>and</strong> cultural heritage,<br />

was published in 2007. 404 These case studies illustrate impacts that have already been observed <strong>and</strong><br />

some <strong>of</strong> those that can be expected in the future. <strong>Change</strong>s in World Heritage sites due to climate change<br />

will affect a range <strong>of</strong> tourism segments including nature-based tourism, ecotourism, cultural tourism,<br />

dive tourism, safari tourism <strong>and</strong> study tourism. The study found, for example, that buried archaeological<br />

evidences could be rapidly lost if the stratigraphic integrity (organization <strong>of</strong> levels <strong>and</strong> types) <strong>of</strong> soils<br />

changed due to changes in precipitation levels, permafrost melting <strong>and</strong> floods. The report states that:<br />

the melting <strong>of</strong> glaciers worldwide will alter the appearance <strong>of</strong> some mountainous regions dramatically<br />

affecting their aesthetic beauty; it found problems for the conservation <strong>of</strong> biodiversity hotspots listed as<br />

natural World Heritage sites; <strong>and</strong> that the conservation <strong>of</strong> properties listed as cultural heritage built in<br />

coastal lowl<strong>and</strong>s is threatened by increased sea level rise <strong>and</strong> coastal erosion. The report also confirmed<br />

the threat <strong>of</strong> widespread bleaching <strong>and</strong> potential death <strong>of</strong> coral reefs due to sea temperature changes<br />

<strong>and</strong> increased levels <strong>of</strong> carbon dioxide dissolved in the oceans. In addition, changes in wetting <strong>and</strong><br />

drying cycles will induce crystallization <strong>and</strong> dissolution <strong>of</strong> salts <strong>and</strong> affect other popular tourist sites<br />

such as wall paintings, frescos <strong>and</strong> rock art.<br />

The UNESCO report provides indications <strong>of</strong> the extent <strong>of</strong> changes <strong>and</strong> likely timescales. Regarding<br />

the impacts to Venice, according to moderate change scenarios, Venice is likely to be flooded daily by<br />

2100, with a net loss in altitude <strong>of</strong> 54 cms. In Australia, projections indicate that by 2100, warming on<br />

the Great Barrier Reef will be between 2–5° C. This will result in large-scale bleaching <strong>and</strong> widespread<br />

coral death. The frequency <strong>of</strong> bleaching events is increasing at a rate <strong>of</strong> about 1.6% more each decade<br />

<strong>and</strong> bleaching thresholds will be reached on an annual basis well before 2100. 405<br />

Box 7 Selected World Heritage sites <strong>and</strong> potential impacts 406<br />

Kilimanjaro National Park, Tanzania<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

At 5,895 m, Mount Kilimanjaro is the highest mountain in Africa, a volcanic massif with a<br />

snowy peak st<strong>and</strong>ing in isolation over the savannah – World Heritage List in 1987.<br />

Approximately 30,000 tourists visit Kilimanjaro each year bringing valuable revenue to the<br />

parks authority <strong>and</strong> local communities.<br />

If current trends are not changed (losing more than half a metre in thickness each year) this<br />

will lead to the complete disappearance <strong>of</strong> the Kilimanjaro ice fields in less than 15 years.<br />

407<br />

Consequences for tourism include reduced l<strong>and</strong>scape aesthetics <strong>and</strong> decreased visitation.<br />

79

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