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36 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Tourism</strong> – Responding to Global Challenges<br />

3) This study found that virtually all sources <strong>of</strong> renewable energy are relevant for tourism, including<br />

wind, photovoltaic, solar thermal, geothermal, biomass <strong>and</strong> energy regeneration from waste.<br />

Several studies have explored the extent to which renewable energy sources can be used for<br />

tourism, in particular in isl<strong>and</strong> destinations where energy supply based on fossil fuels is expensive<br />

<strong>and</strong> at risk <strong>of</strong> supply interruptions. These studies come to the conclusion that the use <strong>of</strong> renewable<br />

energy sources is generally economical <strong>and</strong> technically feasible. 100, 101 For example, in a vast<br />

number <strong>of</strong> destinations in the tropics, investments in solar energy can pay <strong>of</strong>f in as little as two<br />

years. Bi<strong>of</strong>uels are another option to contribute to more sustainable transport systems, even though<br />

it should be noted that several problems remain unsolved, particularly relating to the sustainability<br />

<strong>and</strong> efficiency <strong>of</strong> bi<strong>of</strong>uel production <strong>and</strong> increasing competition over l<strong>and</strong>, especially arable<br />

l<strong>and</strong> area. Also the maximum share <strong>of</strong> bi<strong>of</strong>uels for use in (all) transport is estimated at less than<br />

10%. 102<br />

4) CO 2 can also be stored in biomass (e.g., through afforestation <strong>and</strong> avoided deforestation), in<br />

aquifers or oceans, <strong>and</strong> in geological sinks (e.g., depleted gas fields). Within the tourism industry,<br />

this is currently practiced through carbon compensation or carbon <strong>of</strong>fsetting, which means that an<br />

amount <strong>of</strong> greenhouse gas emissions equal to that caused by a certain activity (i.e., a flight), will<br />

be reduced elsewhere (i.e., through the planting <strong>of</strong> additional trees). There is still a lot <strong>of</strong> confusion<br />

among tourists about what carbon <strong>of</strong>fsetting is 103 <strong>and</strong> there is also evidence that particularly hypermobile<br />

travellers, who account for the major share <strong>of</strong> the distances travelled <strong>and</strong> emissions caused,<br />

are not ready to support voluntary carbon <strong>of</strong>fsets. 104, 105 There is also a risk that carbon <strong>of</strong>fsetting,<br />

which has been initiated as a voluntary form <strong>of</strong> carbon reductions, is now becoming the means<br />

used by the industry to ‘reduce’ emissions. This effectively means that producer responsibility is<br />

turned into customer responsibility, which may be problematic if no action to reduce fuel use is<br />

taken. As such, carbon <strong>of</strong>fsetting can be seen as a controversial solution to climate protection,<br />

because it potentially diverts from the real causes <strong>of</strong> the problems <strong>and</strong> therefore bypasses the<br />

structural <strong>and</strong> technological changes that need to be made to achieve long-term greenhouse gas<br />

reductions in the tourism sector. Nevertheless, carbon <strong>of</strong>fsetting does have a role to play in future<br />

mitigation efforts in tourism.<br />

In the framework <strong>of</strong> this report, the expert team developed several scenarios considering different<br />

mitigation options, in order to estimate how emission pathways in the global tourism sector might<br />

develop in the future. In case <strong>of</strong> the ‘business-as-usual’ scenario (which takes into account the UNWTO’s<br />

<strong>Tourism</strong> 2020 Vision forecast <strong>of</strong> an average 4% annual growth <strong>of</strong> international tourist arrivals up to<br />

2020) it was estimated that CO 2 emissions in the global tourism sector may experience a growth <strong>of</strong><br />

161% by 2035 (see Figure 6.4).<br />

Figure 6.4 Comparison <strong>of</strong> current emissions caused by tourist trips (overnight) <strong>and</strong> projections <strong>of</strong><br />

emissions for the year 2035 under the assumptions <strong>of</strong> a ‘business-as-usual’ scenario<br />

Mton CO 2<br />

3,500<br />

3.000<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

UNWTO, 9 July 2008<br />

0<br />

4<br />

23<br />

3<br />

26<br />

43<br />

Year 2005 Year 2035<br />

6<br />

24<br />

1<br />

15<br />

53<br />

Activities<br />

Accommodation<br />

Other transport<br />

Car transport<br />

Air transport

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