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170 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Tourism</strong> – Responding to Global Challenges<br />

from tourism. Long-haul travel by air between the five UNWTO world tourism regions represents only<br />

2.2% <strong>of</strong> all tourist trips, international tourist trips (overnight) by coach <strong>and</strong> rail, which accounts for an<br />

estimated 16% <strong>of</strong> international tourist trips, st<strong>and</strong>s for only 1% <strong>of</strong> CO 2 emissions by all international<br />

tourist trips (transport only). These results show that mitigation initiatives in the tourism sector will<br />

possibly focus on the impact <strong>of</strong> some particular forms <strong>of</strong> tourism (i.e., particularly those connected with<br />

air travel) if substantial reductions in CO 2 emissions are to be achieved. As section 11.1.6 shows that<br />

inter-regional (long-haul) trips from high income to developing countries comprise 4.9% <strong>of</strong> all tourism<br />

air trips <strong>and</strong> 15.6% <strong>of</strong> all air transport emissions (excluding same-day tourism). Long haul-trips between<br />

developing regions comprises only 0.6% <strong>of</strong> trips <strong>and</strong> 1.8% <strong>of</strong> transport emissions (excluding same-day<br />

tourism).<br />

<strong>Change</strong>s in global tourist flows, however, have to be considered in the context <strong>of</strong> equity <strong>and</strong> development<br />

<strong>of</strong> more remote or disadvantaged destinations. In recognition <strong>of</strong> tourism’s role in development <strong>and</strong> in<br />

application <strong>of</strong> the recommendations <strong>of</strong> the 2002 Johannesburg Summit on Sustainable Development,<br />

the UNWTO, for example, launched an initiative called ST–EP (Sustainable <strong>Tourism</strong> for the Elimination<br />

<strong>of</strong> Poverty) in 2003. The two goals <strong>of</strong> climate change mitigation <strong>and</strong> poverty alleviation have to be<br />

addressed in a balanced way, ensuring that development objectives are not jeopardised. Long-haul<br />

flights cause high emissions, but only a minor share <strong>of</strong> the toal air travel is directed to poor regions.<br />

Considering that tourism contributes significantly to the economy <strong>of</strong> developing countries, especially<br />

LDCs <strong>and</strong> SIDS, the implementation <strong>of</strong> mitigation measures in these countries should be supported by<br />

international development funds <strong>and</strong> programmes.<br />

12.5 <strong>Tourism</strong> Mitigation Scenarios<br />

This Chapter has identified many examples <strong>of</strong> how to reduce the contribution from tourism to climate<br />

change, including reducing energy consumption, increasing energy efficiency, increasing the use <strong>of</strong><br />

renewable or carbon-neutral energy sources, <strong>and</strong> sequestering CO 2 emissions. The global tourism CO 2<br />

emissions <strong>and</strong> radiative forcing model, developed by the experts (see Chapter 11), is used here to<br />

explore how the range <strong>of</strong> mitigation strategies could be used to estimate reductions <strong>of</strong> the future CO 2<br />

emissions <strong>and</strong> RF from the tourism sector (see figure 12.6).<br />

Figure 12.6 Overview <strong>of</strong> scenario development<br />

UNWTO, 9 July 2008<br />

Emission level 2005<br />

2035-projection <strong>of</strong> emission level<br />

‘Business-as-Usual’-scenario<br />

2035-projection <strong>of</strong> mitigation-scenarios<br />

‘Technological-Efficiency’-scenarios ‘Modal-shift/Length-<strong>of</strong>-Stay’-scenario<br />

‘Combined’-scenario

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