The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP
The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP
The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP
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7.4.1 Impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Hazards <strong>on</strong> Sectors<br />
Table 7.9 shows loss <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Boro crop producti<strong>on</strong> by cycl<strong>on</strong>e, Storm Surge and Hail storm over the last 10 years. In<br />
2000 and 2004, wind based shocks affected Boro producti<strong>on</strong> in coastal districts and north-east regi<strong>on</strong> and<br />
caused 6.35% and 10.65% loss <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> producti<strong>on</strong> respectively. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>refore, the increasing trend <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> these hazards will<br />
eventually affect the Boro rice producti<strong>on</strong> more intensively in future.<br />
Table 7.9: Damage to Boro rice Producti<strong>on</strong> due to Cycl<strong>on</strong>e, Storm Surge and Hail storm (in M. T<strong>on</strong>)<br />
Regi<strong>on</strong><br />
1994 1995<br />
Sylhet<br />
514610 555980<br />
Chittag<strong>on</strong>g 269000 300320<br />
Noakhali 186040 232540<br />
Faridpur 200400 219870<br />
Barisal<br />
65860 77410<br />
Jessore 364600 424040<br />
Khulna 114660 120510<br />
Patuakhali<br />
Total<br />
19530 21500<br />
Producti<strong>on</strong> 1734700 1952170<br />
Loss<br />
0<br />
0<br />
Producti<strong>on</strong><br />
+ loss<br />
% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Loss<br />
1734700 1952170<br />
Source: Agricultural Statistics, 2005<br />
Usually Aus and Aman rice are affected by flood <strong>on</strong> a regular basis. In the year 1998 and 2004, two catastrophic<br />
floods occurred and damaged the Aus and Aman producti<strong>on</strong> significantly. Available data shows that Aus<br />
producti<strong>on</strong> was decreased by 14.53% and 9.12% in 1998 and 2004, respectively. While, Aman producti<strong>on</strong><br />
decreased by 10.70% and 8.86% in 1998 and 2004, respectively. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>se two main crops are affected and damages<br />
are caused at different extents by flood almost every year. However, historical data <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> flood shows that intensity<br />
and frequency <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> severe flood is in increasing trend which reflects higher damage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> these two main crops. Table<br />
7.10 to 7.12 shows loss <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> producti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Boro, Aus and Aman due to flood.<br />
Table 7.10: Loss <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Boro Rice due to Flood (in M T<strong>on</strong>)<br />
Year Producti<strong>on</strong><br />
Boro<br />
Loss Loss + Producti<strong>on</strong> % <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Loss<br />
1994 6538170 139080 6677250 2.08<br />
1995 7221020<br />
1996 7459920<br />
1997 8137330<br />
1998 10551900 23558<br />
1999 0<br />
2000 11920940<br />
2001 11765500<br />
2002 12221850<br />
2003 12837230<br />
2004 13837060<br />
1996<br />
568630<br />
251090<br />
243810<br />
242950<br />
88110<br />
447600<br />
134680<br />
25860<br />
2002730<br />
25012<br />
2027742<br />
1.23<br />
Source: Year Book <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Agricultural Statistics, 2005<br />
1997<br />
597500<br />
289490<br />
262710<br />
251600<br />
95830<br />
593260<br />
138150<br />
28510<br />
2257050<br />
2257050<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Probable Impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Climate Change <strong>on</strong> Poverty and Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Growth and<br />
the Opti<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Coping with adverse Effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Climate Change in Bangladesh<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
Year<br />
1998<br />
701090<br />
376170<br />
321060<br />
342800<br />
194350<br />
732810<br />
214930<br />
13660<br />
2896870<br />
2896870<br />
2000<br />
762830<br />
666350<br />
543080<br />
331350<br />
608300<br />
517220<br />
664430<br />
591110<br />
4684670<br />
317460<br />
5002130<br />
6.35<br />
2001<br />
745360<br />
676750<br />
513710<br />
323150<br />
581460<br />
616810<br />
691480<br />
524420<br />
4673140<br />
18440<br />
4691580<br />
0.39<br />
2002<br />
800970<br />
681580<br />
552520<br />
284220<br />
623030<br />
649750<br />
775420<br />
476420<br />
4843910<br />
247760<br />
5091670<br />
4.87<br />
2003<br />
848410<br />
697760<br />
551230<br />
343150<br />
596650<br />
787060<br />
720670<br />
536,560<br />
5081490<br />
15610<br />
5097100<br />
0.31<br />
10575458 0.22<br />
2004<br />
675563<br />
665129<br />
359728<br />
221808<br />
440382<br />
618543<br />
651199<br />
539576<br />
4171928<br />
497220<br />
4669148<br />
10.65<br />
69