The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP

This has moderate <strong>impacts</strong> on poverty and economic growth. <strong>The</strong> other shocks like flood and drought have
moderate <strong>impacts</strong> on forestry which has low <strong>impacts</strong> on poverty and economic growth. Besides this, erratic
rainfall and temperature variation have low <strong>impacts</strong> on forestry and lower <strong>impacts</strong> on poverty.
Sea level rise will affect forest coverage in the coastal areas very severely in future as stated by the key experts.
<strong>The</strong> reason behind this is submergence <strong>of</strong> brackish forest species and disappearance <strong>of</strong> inland trees and plants
due to increase soil salinity by sea level rise. Flood, cyclone and salinity intrusion will have severe impact on forest
resources. Poverty will be affected severely because the livelihood group depending on forest resources will lose
their income source. Economic growth <strong>of</strong> forest sector will also be hampered severely due to increasing
frequency and intensity <strong>of</strong> <strong>climate</strong> induced shocks.
Table 7.7: Present and future <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>of</strong> different climatic events on forestry, poverty and economic growth
Key issues
<strong>The</strong> Probable Impacts <strong>of</strong> Climate Change on Poverty and Economic Growth and
the Options <strong>of</strong> Coping with adverse Effect <strong>of</strong> Climate Change in Bangladesh
Level <strong>of</strong> <strong>impacts</strong>
Identified <strong>impacts</strong> Poverty Economic growth
Present
Future
(2100)
Present
Future
(2100)
Present
Future
(2100)
Flood and river bank erosion Moderate Severe Low Severe Low Severe
Drought Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
Cyclone and Storm surge Severe Severe Severe Very
Severe
Sea level rise Moderate Very
Severe
Severe Very
Severe
Low Severe Low Severe
Salinity Intrusion Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate
Erratic Rainfall Low Very
Low
Temperature Variation Low Moderate
Heat wave Very
Low
Cold Wave - Very
Low
Fogginess - Very
Low
Low Very
Low
Very
Low
Severe
Low Low Low Low
- Very
Low
- Very
Low
Low Very
Low
Low
- Very Low
- Very Low
Incidence <strong>of</strong> Pest and diseases - - - - - -
Source: Key experts’ workshop
7.3.5 Water and Sanitation
Water is such an element that any effect on water affects development <strong>of</strong> any sector. Both slow and rapid onsets
related to <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> have direct impact on water. <strong>The</strong> consultation workshops and interviews state that sea
level rise affects water very severely, whereas flood and river bank erosion, cyclone and storm surges and heat
wave affect severely. <strong>The</strong> results <strong>of</strong> these effects affect poverty and economic growth moderately because crop
damage, disease outbreaks, loss <strong>of</strong> livelihood options, damage <strong>of</strong> infrastructure increases poverty affecting
economic growth <strong>of</strong> different sectors.
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