The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP

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Table 6.14 Dengue outbreak history in Bangladesh Period Description 1964 First documented out break <strong>of</strong> dengue in Bangladesh 1977 – 78 Few cases <strong>of</strong> DF were found in a Clandestine Survey by IEDCR 1982 – 83 Out <strong>of</strong> 2456 blood samples taken, 278 found DEN- 1 1984 – 86 21 samples collected, 3 found positive by HI Test. Up to 1986 Major cities were free to DHF. 1997 Cross sectional serological survey at CMCH tested 255-paired sera in which 35 were positive cases 1999 Few death cases were reported in DHF 2000 Currently an epidemic has been reported in this country 2001 Epidemic has been reported in this country. 2002 Epidemic has been reported in this country. Source: NAPA study note In Bangladesh, out break <strong>of</strong> dengue was first documented in 1964 but epidemic was reported in 2000. Dengue remained almost unknown to the country due to lack <strong>of</strong> knowledge, technology, research, skilled pr<strong>of</strong>essionals etc. <strong>The</strong> table 6.15 shows that death from dengue has decreased over the period. This is mainly due to increase in knowledge, awareness, research and measures taken by different public and private sectors. Table 6.15: Dengue Incidences in Bangladesh Source: www.geocities.com Year Dengue Case Death CFR% 2000 5,550/10,000 93/100 1.7%/1.0% 2001 2,430/25,000 44/100 1.8%/0.4% 2002 6,132/60,000 58/100 0.9%/0.2% 2003 886 10 1.1 2004 2000 7 0.4 2005 500 + up to Oct - - Total 17,498/95,000 212/300 1.2%/0.3% 6.9 Education Flood has multi dimensional <strong>impacts</strong> on education. Impacts <strong>of</strong> slow onset or <strong>climate</strong> variability on education are not remarkable but the rapid onsets like flood and cyclone have severe <strong>impacts</strong> on education. It damages school buildings and houses, displaces children and detaches them from schools, loss <strong>of</strong> study materials, use <strong>of</strong> schools as shelters in the non-flooded areas hamper continuation <strong>of</strong> education, and increases the rate <strong>of</strong> dropout. In a sense, education is totally disrupted during flood in the affected areas. Cyclone is another devastating shock for education. It damages education infrastructure, increases poverty, increases drop out rate etc. Drought has also negative <strong>impacts</strong> on education. Children <strong>of</strong> the drought affected areas are engaged in income generating activities and suffer from malnutrition. Scarcity <strong>of</strong> drinking and other water resources also lead to low attendance <strong>of</strong> the children in their schools. Key expert interviews show that flood and cyclone will have very severe <strong>impacts</strong> on education by damaging school buildings and study materials, displacing children from one place to another and so on. <strong>The</strong>se <strong>impacts</strong> will affect the poor very severely because the rich could migrate and settle in the cities but the poor do not have that capacity. Salinity will affect education in a different way, i.e. opportunity <strong>of</strong> shrimp farming and fry collection will encourage the poor children to be engaged in these activities to carry on with their livelihood. <strong>The</strong> Probable Impacts <strong>of</strong> Climate Change on Poverty and Economic Growth and the Options <strong>of</strong> Coping with adverse Effect <strong>of</strong> Climate Change in Bangladesh 55
Key issues Probable Impacts Level <strong>of</strong> <strong>impacts</strong> Identified <strong>impacts</strong> Poverty Economic growth Flood School building will damage Book and other materials lost Very Severe Very Severe Very Severe Drought - - - - Cyclone Destruction <strong>of</strong> infrastructure School damage Material lose Very Severe Very Severe Very Severe Coastal inundation Salinity 56 Table 6.16 Impacts <strong>of</strong> different disasters on Education Infrastructure and subsequent <strong>impacts</strong> People who are educated, richthey will migrate to better citiesor country, but the poor,uneducated and unskilled people will suffer severely Opportunity <strong>of</strong> shrimp farmingand fry collection has increased, but the overall situation will be severe Very Severe Very Severe Moderate Very Severe Very Low Very Low <strong>The</strong> Probable Impacts <strong>of</strong> Climate Change on Poverty and Economic Growth and the Options <strong>of</strong> Coping with adverse Effect <strong>of</strong> Climate Change in Bangladesh
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Policy Study on The</strong
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Foreword The Gener
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5.2.1 Observed Changes 26 5.2.1.1 T
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List of Tables Tab
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x ADB Asian Development Bank AEZ Ag
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Executive Summary The</stro
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Flood, drought, cyclone, sea level
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Responding to The
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each ministry); focusing, to start
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12.1 Climate Climate in a narrow se
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20. MoEF (2005). National Adaptatio
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Sl No. Name and Designation Sector
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Sl No. Name and Designation Sector
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Exposed Systems Health Fogginess Di
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The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP

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