The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP

5.2.1 Observed Changes 26
5.2.1.1 Temperature 26
5.2.1.2 Rainfall 26
5.2.2 Future Climate Change Scenario 27
5.3 Changes in Sea Level and Salinity Intrusion 29
5.4 Extreme Climatic Events 31
5.4.1 Changes in Flood Frequency 32
5.4.2 Changes in Cyclone and Storm Surges 34
5.4.3 Changes in Drought 35
6. Bangladesh: Impacts <strong>of</strong> and Vulnerabilities to Climate Change 39
6.1 Context <strong>of</strong> Vulnerability 41
6.2 Impacts on Crop Agriculture 42
6.2.1 Existing Impacts – Perception 42
6.2.2 Future Impacts – Perception 46
6.2.3 Future Impacts – Model Result 47
6.3 Fisheries 48
6.3.1 Existing Impacts – Perception 48
6.3.2 Future Impacts 48
6.4 Livestock 49
6.5 Forestry 49
6.6 Water Supply and Sanitation 50
6.7 Industry and Infrastructure 51
6.8 Health 52
6.8.1 Impacts <strong>of</strong> Climate Change on Health- Perception 53
6.8.2 Impacts <strong>of</strong> Climate Change on Health- observed <strong>change</strong>s 53
6.9 Education 55
7. Climate Change, Poverty and Economic Growth 59
7.1 Distribution <strong>of</strong> Poverty 61
7.2 Intensity and Severity <strong>of</strong> Poverty 63
7.3 Climate Change Impacts on Poverty and Economic Growth 64
7.3.1 Agriculture 64
7.3.2 Fisheries 65
7.3.3 Livestock 66
7.3.4 Forestry 66
7.3.5 Water and Sanitation 67
7.3.6 Health 68
7.3.7 Education 68
7.4 Analysis <strong>of</strong> Impacts <strong>of</strong> Climate Change on Poverty and Economic Growth 68
7.4.1 Impacts <strong>of</strong> Hazards on Sectors 69
7.4.2 Impacts <strong>of</strong> Hazards on GDP 70
7.4.3 Impacts <strong>of</strong> Flood on Different Types <strong>of</strong> Livelihoods 72
7.4.3.1 % <strong>of</strong> HH Exposed to Flood in Khulna Division 72
7.4.3.2 % <strong>of</strong> HH Exposed to Flood in Chittagong Division 72
7.4.3.3 % <strong>of</strong> HH Exposed to Flood in Rajshahi Division 72
7.4.3.4 % <strong>of</strong> HH Exposed to Flood in Dhaka Division 72
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