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The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP

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Table 5.9 Return period <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> flood according to affected area<br />

Flooded Area<br />

Return period (Years)<br />

2 5 10 20 25 50 100<br />

Area affected % 20 30 37 43 52 60 70<br />

Last 30 years 5 3 2 2<br />

Last 10 years 3 2 1 1<br />

5.4.2 Changes in Cycl<strong>on</strong>e and Storm Surges<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bay <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bengal is a known breeding ground <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>e and hit the coastal area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bangladesh during<br />

pre-m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> (April and May) and post-m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> (October and November) seas<strong>on</strong>s. One <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the reas<strong>on</strong>s why it<br />

hits Bangladesh coast <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten is the c<strong>on</strong>ical shape <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Bay <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bengal. Over the last 50 years, 15 severe cycl<strong>on</strong>es<br />

with wind speed ranging from 140 to 225 km/hr have hit the coastal area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bangladesh <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> which 7 hit in prem<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong><br />

and rest in the post-m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> seas<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>es are the most talked about climatic events in the subc<strong>on</strong>tinent especially in Bangladesh and<br />

India. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> coastal area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bangladesh is more vulnerable to cycl<strong>on</strong>es in the Bay <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bengal Regi<strong>on</strong>s. In this study,<br />

frequency <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cycl<strong>on</strong>ic disturbance formed over the Bay <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bengal has been compiled for the period 1901 to 2007.<br />

Table 5.10 Historical record <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Cycl<strong>on</strong>e formed in Bay <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bengal<br />

Cycl<strong>on</strong>e<br />

Year Maximum Wind<br />

Speed (Kph)<br />

Nov. 1901 62-88<br />

Nov. 1904 62-88<br />

Oct. 1905 62-88<br />

34<br />

Surge Height (m) Causalities<br />

Oct. 1909 89-117 172<br />

Dec. 1909 89-117<br />

Apr. 1911 89-117<br />

Sep. 1919 (Bengal Cycl<strong>on</strong>e) 120 3500<br />

Apr. 1922 89-117<br />

May. 1923 89-117 6<br />

May. 1926 89-117 2700<br />

May. 1941 89-117 3.03 -3.64 5000<br />

Oct. 1947 89-117 500<br />

Oct. 1960 (8 -10) 129 6 9450<br />

Oct. 1960 (30 -31) 193 6.6 5149<br />

May. 1961 (5 -9) 161 5 11,468<br />

May. 1961 (27 -30) 161 6.5<br />

Oct. 1962 93<br />

May. 1963 193 6 22000<br />

Oct. 1963 81<br />

May. 1965 161 3.7 19279<br />

Dec. 1965 184 3.6 3000<br />

Oct. 1966 139 6.67 850<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Probable Impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Climate Change <strong>on</strong> Poverty and Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Growth and<br />

the Opti<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Coping with adverse Effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Climate Change in Bangladesh

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