The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP
The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP
The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP
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5.4.1 Changes in Flood Frequency<br />
Flood is a regular natural disaster occurring in Bangladesh and thus entailing huge damage to the ec<strong>on</strong>omy.<br />
Four main types <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> natural floods occur in Bangladesh:<br />
Table 5.7 Different types <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> flood occurring in Bangladesh<br />
Type <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Flood<br />
Flash Flood<br />
Rainwater flood/<br />
M<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> Flood<br />
River Flood<br />
Coastal Flood<br />
32<br />
Causes <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> occurrence<br />
Run-<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f durin gexcepti<strong>on</strong>aly heavy<br />
rainfall occurring in neighboring<br />
upland areas<br />
Heavy rainfall occurring over flood<br />
planeand terrace areas within<br />
Bangladesh.<br />
Snow melt in high Himalayans,<br />
Heavy m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> rainfalls over the<br />
Himalayans, the Asam Hills,<br />
theTripura Hills and the Uppar<br />
Brahmaputra and Ganges flood<br />
plains<br />
In case <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> important cycl<strong>on</strong>es the<br />
entire coastal beltis flooded.<br />
Coastal areas are also subjected to<br />
tidal flooding<br />
Source: Ahmed, 2006<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> projected increase in rainfall during<br />
m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> would be reflected in the flow<br />
regimes <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the rivers <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bangladesh. Increased<br />
flooding and drainage c<strong>on</strong>gesti<strong>on</strong>, therefore,<br />
are the expected c<strong>on</strong>sequences from a warmer<br />
and wetter c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> increased run<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f<br />
would also aggravate the existing drainage<br />
problem and create new <strong>on</strong>es. Bangladeshi<br />
rivers, especially the major <strong>on</strong>es, have lost<br />
gradient during the past several decades.<br />
C<strong>on</strong>sequently their c<strong>on</strong>veyance capacity has<br />
diminished significantly. Furthermore, snow<br />
melting in the Himalayan regi<strong>on</strong> al<strong>on</strong>g with<br />
simultaneous rise in sea level will eventually<br />
result in prol<strong>on</strong>ged and devastating flood.<br />
From historical point <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> view, it has been<br />
observed that the frequency, intensity and<br />
magnitude <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> flood have increased as well.<br />
Since 1954, 48 small, medium and big floods<br />
have struck Bangladesh. Am<strong>on</strong>g those, 7 events<br />
were severe where more than 30% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land area<br />
was inundated. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> following table shows<br />
flooded area from 1954 to 2007.<br />
Time/durati<strong>on</strong> Tentative affected area<br />
Pre m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> m<strong>on</strong>ths <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> April and<br />
May<br />
April-May, June-August<br />
April-May andJune-September<br />
Tidal flood occurs from Juneto<br />
September<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> foot <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Northern and<br />
eastern hills <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bangladesh<br />
In thesouth-western part <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />
country<br />
Catchment areas<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> three<br />
majorrivers.<br />
South western coastal areas.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Probable Impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Climate Change <strong>on</strong> Poverty and Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Growth and<br />
the Opti<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Coping with adverse Effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Climate Change in Bangladesh