24.11.2012 Views

The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP

The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP

The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

5.4.1 Changes in Flood Frequency<br />

Flood is a regular natural disaster occurring in Bangladesh and thus entailing huge damage to the ec<strong>on</strong>omy.<br />

Four main types <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> natural floods occur in Bangladesh:<br />

Table 5.7 Different types <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> flood occurring in Bangladesh<br />

Type <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Flood<br />

Flash Flood<br />

Rainwater flood/<br />

M<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> Flood<br />

River Flood<br />

Coastal Flood<br />

32<br />

Causes <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> occurrence<br />

Run-<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f durin gexcepti<strong>on</strong>aly heavy<br />

rainfall occurring in neighboring<br />

upland areas<br />

Heavy rainfall occurring over flood<br />

planeand terrace areas within<br />

Bangladesh.<br />

Snow melt in high Himalayans,<br />

Heavy m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> rainfalls over the<br />

Himalayans, the Asam Hills,<br />

theTripura Hills and the Uppar<br />

Brahmaputra and Ganges flood<br />

plains<br />

In case <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> important cycl<strong>on</strong>es the<br />

entire coastal beltis flooded.<br />

Coastal areas are also subjected to<br />

tidal flooding<br />

Source: Ahmed, 2006<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> projected increase in rainfall during<br />

m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> would be reflected in the flow<br />

regimes <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the rivers <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bangladesh. Increased<br />

flooding and drainage c<strong>on</strong>gesti<strong>on</strong>, therefore,<br />

are the expected c<strong>on</strong>sequences from a warmer<br />

and wetter c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> increased run<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f<br />

would also aggravate the existing drainage<br />

problem and create new <strong>on</strong>es. Bangladeshi<br />

rivers, especially the major <strong>on</strong>es, have lost<br />

gradient during the past several decades.<br />

C<strong>on</strong>sequently their c<strong>on</strong>veyance capacity has<br />

diminished significantly. Furthermore, snow<br />

melting in the Himalayan regi<strong>on</strong> al<strong>on</strong>g with<br />

simultaneous rise in sea level will eventually<br />

result in prol<strong>on</strong>ged and devastating flood.<br />

From historical point <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> view, it has been<br />

observed that the frequency, intensity and<br />

magnitude <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> flood have increased as well.<br />

Since 1954, 48 small, medium and big floods<br />

have struck Bangladesh. Am<strong>on</strong>g those, 7 events<br />

were severe where more than 30% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land area<br />

was inundated. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> following table shows<br />

flooded area from 1954 to 2007.<br />

Time/durati<strong>on</strong> Tentative affected area<br />

Pre m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> m<strong>on</strong>ths <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> April and<br />

May<br />

April-May, June-August<br />

April-May andJune-September<br />

Tidal flood occurs from Juneto<br />

September<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> foot <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Northern and<br />

eastern hills <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bangladesh<br />

In thesouth-western part <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

country<br />

Catchment areas<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> three<br />

majorrivers.<br />

South western coastal areas.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Probable Impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Climate Change <strong>on</strong> Poverty and Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Growth and<br />

the Opti<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Coping with adverse Effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Climate Change in Bangladesh

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!