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The probable impacts of climate change on poverty - UNDP

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12.1 Climate<br />

Climate in a narrow sense is usually defined as the "average weather," or more rigorously, as the statistical<br />

descripti<strong>on</strong> in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the mean and variability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> relevant quantities over a period <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> time ranging from m<strong>on</strong>ths<br />

to thousands <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> years. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> classical period is 3 decades, as defined by the World Meteorological Organizati<strong>on</strong><br />

(WMO). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>se quantities are most <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten surface variables such as temperature, precipitati<strong>on</strong>, and wind. Climate in<br />

a wider sense is the state, including a statistical descripti<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> system.<br />

12.2 Climate Change<br />

Climate <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> refers to any <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> in <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> over time, whether due to natural variability or as a result <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

human activity. This usage differs from that in the United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Framework C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> Climate Change<br />

(UNFCCC), which defines "<str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>" as: "a <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> which is attributed directly or indirectly to<br />

human activity that alters the compositi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the global atmosphere and which is in additi<strong>on</strong> to natural <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

variability observed over comparable time periods." See also <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> variability.<br />

12.3 Climate System<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> system is the highly complex system c<strong>on</strong>sisting <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> five major comp<strong>on</strong>ents: the atmosphere, the<br />

hydrosphere, the cryosphere, the land surface, and the biosphere, and the interacti<strong>on</strong>s between them. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> system evolves in time under the influence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> its own internal dynamics and because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> external forcings<br />

such as volcanic erupti<strong>on</strong>s, solar variati<strong>on</strong>s and human-induced forcings such as the changing compositi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

atmosphere and land use.<br />

12.4 Climate Variability<br />

Climate variability refers to variati<strong>on</strong>s in the mean state and other statistics (such as standard deviati<strong>on</strong>s, the<br />

occurrence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> extremes, etc.) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> all temporal and spatial scales bey<strong>on</strong>d that <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> individual weather<br />

events. Variability may be due to natural internal processes within the <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> system (internal variability), or to<br />

variati<strong>on</strong>s in natural or anthropogenic external forcing (external variability). See also <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>.<br />

12.5 Extreme Weather Event<br />

An event that is rare within its statistical reference distributi<strong>on</strong> at a particular place. Definiti<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> "rare" vary, but<br />

an extreme weather event would normally be as rare as or rarer than the 10th or 90th percentile. By definiti<strong>on</strong>,<br />

the characteristics <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> what is called "extreme weather" may vary from place to place. An "extreme <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> event"<br />

is an average <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> weather events over a certain period <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> time, an average which is itself extreme (e.g.,<br />

rainfall over a seas<strong>on</strong>).<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Probable Impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Climate Change <strong>on</strong> Poverty and Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Growth and<br />

the Opti<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Coping with adverse Effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Climate Change in Bangladesh<br />

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