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Profitability of Islamic Banks in the GCC Region

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<strong>Pr<strong>of</strong>itability</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> <strong>Region</strong>Houcem Smaoui**K<strong>in</strong>g Fahd University <strong>of</strong> Petroleum and M<strong>in</strong>erals, College <strong>of</strong> Industrial Management,P.O. Box 1557, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia 31261Ines Ben SalahUniversity <strong>of</strong> Dammam, College <strong>of</strong> Applied Studies,P.O. Box 1212, Al-Khobar, Saudi Arabia 31952AbstractThis study exam<strong>in</strong>es how bank-specific characteristics and <strong>the</strong> overallmacroeconomic environment affect <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong><strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong>. Utiliz<strong>in</strong>g a large panel data <strong>of</strong> 44 <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> over <strong>the</strong>period 1995-2009, <strong>the</strong> results <strong>in</strong>dicate that higher capital, better assetquality, and larger size lead to higher pr<strong>of</strong>itability, while higher costto-<strong>in</strong>comeratio leads to lower pr<strong>of</strong>itability. Consistent with previousf<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs on conventional banks, we f<strong>in</strong>d that favorable macroeconomicconditions have a positive impact on <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>.JEL Classification: G21, C23__________________________** Correspond<strong>in</strong>g author: Department <strong>of</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ance & Economics, College <strong>of</strong> Industrial Management,K<strong>in</strong>g Fahd University <strong>of</strong> Petroleum & M<strong>in</strong>erals, P.O. Box No.1557, Dhahran 31261, Saudi Arabia,Tel: (+9663) 860-7729, Fax:(+9663) 860-2585E-mail address: hsmaoui@kfupm.edu.sa1


1. IntroductionThe <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry has recently grown tremendously and has expandedwidely reach<strong>in</strong>g several <strong>in</strong>ternational f<strong>in</strong>ancial centers, reflect<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong> Shariah-compliant products and services. Given this grow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terest, several<strong>in</strong>ternational market <strong>in</strong>stitutions have launched Shariah-compliant <strong>in</strong>dices (e.g. "DowJones" <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> US and "FTSE" <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> UK). Accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> Saudi Arabian MonetaryAgency (SAMA), <strong>the</strong> assets held by <strong>Islamic</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ancial Institutions amount to more than$822 Billion by end <strong>of</strong> 2009. By <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2010, <strong>the</strong>y are expected to exceed $1 Trillion.There are more than 430 <strong>Islamic</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ancial Institutions operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> more than 75countries. Moreover, about 191 conventional banks have opened <strong>Islamic</strong> w<strong>in</strong>dows. Inaddition, <strong>the</strong> total assets <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment funds amount to $ 27 billion by <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong>2009.<strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g is based on pr<strong>of</strong>it and loss shar<strong>in</strong>g between <strong>the</strong> bank and <strong>the</strong> borrower(Khan and Mirakhor, 1987). Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>e commercial bank<strong>in</strong>gactivities and <strong>in</strong>vestment bank<strong>in</strong>g operations <strong>in</strong> order to generate acceptable rates <strong>of</strong>return for depositors but <strong>in</strong> compliance with <strong>Islamic</strong> rules and pr<strong>in</strong>ciples (Al-Kassim,2005). Unlike conventional banks, where money is considered as a commodity that canbe bought and sold, <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> treat money as a mean to facilitate transactions fortrad<strong>in</strong>g purpose (Al-Kassim, 2005).This research aims at <strong>in</strong>vestigat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> 1countries over <strong>the</strong> period 1995-2009. Specifically, we propose to analyze which among<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal (bank characteristics) and <strong>the</strong> external determ<strong>in</strong>ants (macroeconomicenvironment) <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>’ pr<strong>of</strong>itability appear to be important.Analyz<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>’ performance is essential for managers, depositors, and bankregulators. While managers are <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> outcomes <strong>of</strong> past decisions,depositors are keen to determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> performance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir banks s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>y are notpromised fixed returns and <strong>the</strong>ir deposits are not capital-protected (Hassan and Bashir,2003). For bank regulators, track<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> performance <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> is important to: (1)1 The Gulf Cooperation Council2


assess <strong>the</strong> soundness and <strong>the</strong> safety <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank<strong>in</strong>g system; (2) ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> publicconfidence <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank<strong>in</strong>g system; and (3) identify <strong>the</strong> banks <strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial distress.The rem<strong>in</strong>der <strong>of</strong> this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 gives a brief overview on<strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong>. Section 3 discusses <strong>the</strong> literature review. In Section 4, wedevelop our hypo<strong>the</strong>ses. Section 5 identifies <strong>the</strong> data sources, describes <strong>the</strong> variablesused, and presents our methodology. The empirical results are presented <strong>in</strong> Section 6,while <strong>the</strong> conclusion is stated <strong>in</strong> Section 7.2. <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g: background<strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g is based on pr<strong>of</strong>it and loss shar<strong>in</strong>g (PLS) between <strong>the</strong> borrower and <strong>the</strong>bank (Khan and Mirakhor, 1987). <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>it by mix<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestmentand commercial bank<strong>in</strong>g operations to engage <strong>in</strong> acceptable rates <strong>of</strong> return fordepositors but <strong>in</strong> accordance to <strong>Islamic</strong> rules and pr<strong>in</strong>ciples. <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g rules areaccord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Shariah derived from <strong>the</strong> Quran and prophet Mohamed’s(peace be upon him) say<strong>in</strong>gs. The three ma<strong>in</strong> practices clearly prohibited <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Quranand <strong>the</strong> prophet’s say<strong>in</strong>gs are: Riba (Interest), Gharar (Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty), and Maysir (Bett<strong>in</strong>g).For <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> to make pr<strong>of</strong>it and to satisfy <strong>the</strong> borrowers’ needs <strong>of</strong> cash, <strong>the</strong>y haveto conduct transactions that do not violate <strong>Islamic</strong> rules by look<strong>in</strong>g for allowed contractsthat can achieve <strong>the</strong> required goal. Mostly, <strong>the</strong>y are based on sale and purchasetransactions, accompanied by a degree <strong>of</strong> risk. There are five ma<strong>in</strong> contracts: Mudarabah,Musharakah, Murabahah, Ijarah and Salam.a) Mudarabah: is a contract between two parties; one provides <strong>the</strong> capital and <strong>the</strong>o<strong>the</strong>r provides <strong>the</strong> labor to form a partnership to share <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>its by a certa<strong>in</strong>agreed proportions.b) Musharakah: is a f<strong>in</strong>ancial contract between two or many parties to establish acommercial enterprise based on capital and labor. The pr<strong>of</strong>it and loss is shared atan agreed proportion accord<strong>in</strong>g to amount <strong>of</strong> contribution (Hassan and Zaher,2001).c) Murabahah refers to a sale <strong>of</strong> a good or property with an agreed pr<strong>of</strong>it aga<strong>in</strong>st adeferred or a lump sum payment. There are two contracts <strong>in</strong> Murabahah: <strong>the</strong> first3


contract is between <strong>the</strong> client and <strong>the</strong> bank, whereas <strong>the</strong> second contract isbetween <strong>the</strong> bank and supplier. The client (purchaser) orders a certa<strong>in</strong>commodity through <strong>the</strong> bank, <strong>the</strong> bank <strong>the</strong>n buys <strong>the</strong> commodity from <strong>the</strong>supplier and sells it to <strong>the</strong> client with specified pr<strong>of</strong>it whereby <strong>the</strong> client canmake a lump sum or a deferred payment to <strong>the</strong> bank (Iqbal and Molyneux, 2005).d) Ijarah (leas<strong>in</strong>g): <strong>in</strong> which two parties <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>the</strong>re<strong>in</strong>: <strong>the</strong> lessee and leaser. Theleaser (bank) is <strong>the</strong> real owner <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> asset or property and it is rented out to <strong>the</strong>lessee until full payment is received. The lessee has <strong>the</strong> option to keep <strong>the</strong> asset atcontract maturity or give it back to <strong>the</strong> bank. If all payments are received, <strong>the</strong>lessee can keep <strong>the</strong> asset but at a higher price than <strong>the</strong> usual asset price (Iqbaland Molyneux, 2005).e) Salam: is ano<strong>the</strong>r contract where full payment for a good is paid <strong>in</strong> advance but<strong>the</strong> delivery <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> good is made at an agreed future date (Iqbal and Molyneux,2005).Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Kuwait F<strong>in</strong>ance House 2 , <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g, which accounts for 17% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><strong>GCC</strong> bank<strong>in</strong>g assets, is expected to grow annually at 15%-20%.Recently, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g sector <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> region has witnessed tremendousgrowth and seen an <strong>in</strong>creased demand for Shariah-compliant products and services. By<strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> March <strong>of</strong> 2010, <strong>the</strong> share <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> total assets <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> region’s bank<strong>in</strong>g system has <strong>in</strong>creased to 16.6%.2 Kuwait F<strong>in</strong>ance House Research Ltd., KFH <strong>GCC</strong> Daily Highlights - 2 September 20104


<strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g Assets/ Country's Total Bank<strong>in</strong>gAssets (%)Figure 3.1 below shows that Kuwait’s <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g sector accounted for 34.3% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>country’s total bank<strong>in</strong>g assets, followed by Qatar (19.3%), Saudi Arabia (15.9%), <strong>the</strong> UAEFigure 2.1: Percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g Assets to <strong>the</strong> Country's Total Bank<strong>in</strong>g Assets403534.3302520151015.910.919.31450Kuwait Saudi Arabia Bahra<strong>in</strong> Qatar UAE Oman0(14.0%), and Bahra<strong>in</strong> (10.9%).The existence <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial centers <strong>in</strong> Bahra<strong>in</strong>, Qatar and <strong>the</strong> UAE, as well as a number <strong>of</strong><strong>Islamic</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ance organizations such as <strong>the</strong> Account<strong>in</strong>g and Audit<strong>in</strong>g Organization for<strong>Islamic</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ancial Institutions (AAOIFI), Liquidity Management Centre (LMC) and <strong>the</strong>International <strong>Islamic</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ancial Market (IIFM) will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to attract new players to <strong>the</strong>region and fur<strong>the</strong>r propel <strong>the</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry to greater heights 3 .3. Literature ReviewMany studies have been conducted to analyze <strong>the</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong>conventional banks (Peters et al., 2004; Kosmidou et al., 2006; Goddard et al., 2004;Athanasoglou et al., 2006; Heffernan and Fu, 2008; etc.). Only a handful studies haveexam<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>.Haron (1996) was <strong>the</strong> first to exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> competition and external factors on<strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>. He shows that, <strong>in</strong> competitive market, <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>3 Kuwait F<strong>in</strong>ance House Research Ltd., KFH <strong>GCC</strong> Daily Highlights - 2 September 20105


earned more than those which operate <strong>in</strong> a monopolistic market. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>in</strong>terestrates, <strong>in</strong>flation and size have significant positive impact on <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>its <strong>of</strong> bothconventional and <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>.Bashir (2000) exam<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>the</strong> performance <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Middle-Eastern regionbetween 1993 and 1998. To measure pr<strong>of</strong>itability, he used Non-Interest Marg<strong>in</strong> (NIM),Before Tax Pr<strong>of</strong>it (BTP), Return on Assets (ROA), and Return on Equity (ROE). Theresults confirm previous f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs and show that <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>’ pr<strong>of</strong>itability is positivelyrelated to equity and loans. The results also <strong>in</strong>dicate that favorable macroeconomicconditions positively impact pr<strong>of</strong>itability.Hassan and Bashir (2003) later confirm <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> Bashir (2000). They exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong>determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g pr<strong>of</strong>itability between 1994 and 2001 for 21 countries.Their results show that <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> have a better capital asset ratio compared toconventional banks. Surpris<strong>in</strong>gly, <strong>the</strong>y document a negative relationship between totalassets and pr<strong>of</strong>itability, which amaz<strong>in</strong>gly means that smaller banks are more pr<strong>of</strong>itable.In addition, dur<strong>in</strong>g an economic boom, bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability seems to improve because<strong>the</strong>re are fewer nonperform<strong>in</strong>g loans. Inflation, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, does not have anyeffect on <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability.In <strong>the</strong> same ve<strong>in</strong>, Haron (2004) analyzed <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal and external variables on<strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>. He found that liquidity, funds deposited <strong>in</strong>to currentaccounts, total capital and reserves, and <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>it-shar<strong>in</strong>g between bankand depositors positively <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>. The results alsoshow that <strong>in</strong>terest rates, <strong>in</strong>flation and size have significant positive impact on <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>its<strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>.Samad (2004) compared <strong>the</strong> performance <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> and conventional banks <strong>in</strong>Bahra<strong>in</strong> after <strong>the</strong> Gulf War <strong>of</strong> 1990. The results <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>the</strong>re is no significantdifference, <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability and liquidity, between <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> andconventional banks. Moreover, <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> are exposed to less credit risk thanconventional banks.6


Haron and Wan (2004) <strong>in</strong>vestigated <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal and external variables on <strong>the</strong>pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> <strong>in</strong> selected countries from 1984 to 2002. The results showthat liquidity, deposit items, assets structure, <strong>in</strong>flation and money supply have asignificant long-run relationship with <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>.Us<strong>in</strong>g several ratios measur<strong>in</strong>g bank performance, Kader et al. (2007) assessed <strong>the</strong>performance <strong>of</strong> UAE <strong>Islamic</strong> banks over <strong>the</strong> period 2000- 2004. Their results show that<strong>Islamic</strong> banks are relatively more pr<strong>of</strong>itable, less liquid, less risky and more efficientthan conventional banks <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> UAE.4. Development <strong>of</strong> Hypo<strong>the</strong>sesIn order to test our hypo<strong>the</strong>ses, we use six <strong>in</strong>dependent variables, namely capitaladequacy, liquidity, efficiency, GDP growth and <strong>in</strong>flation. The dependant variable isbank pr<strong>of</strong>itability, proxied by return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA) and netnon-<strong>in</strong>terest marg<strong>in</strong> (NIM).Equity to Assets (EA) ratio is a measure <strong>of</strong> capital adequacy. The ratio shows <strong>the</strong> ability<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank to withstand losses. It is expected that <strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> EA ratio, <strong>the</strong> lower <strong>the</strong>need <strong>of</strong> external fund<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong>refore <strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank.Athanasoglou et al. (2008) and Mamatzakis and Remoundos (2003) f<strong>in</strong>d that <strong>the</strong>coefficient <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> EA ratio is highly significant and positively related to pr<strong>of</strong>itability.H1: Equity to Assets ratio (EA) is positively related to pr<strong>of</strong>itabilityThe ratio <strong>of</strong> loan loss reserves to gross loans (LLR) measures <strong>the</strong> banks’ asset quality.With a sound quality <strong>of</strong> loans, <strong>in</strong> accordance to <strong>the</strong> risk-return hypo<strong>the</strong>sis, a high ratiocould imply a positive relationship between risk and pr<strong>of</strong>its. Heffernan and Fu (2008)f<strong>in</strong>d a positive and significant coefficient on <strong>the</strong> LLR ratio, <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g that loan lossprovision<strong>in</strong>g improves performance.H2: Loan loss reserves ratio (LLR) is positively related to pr<strong>of</strong>itability7


The cost to Income ratio (COSR) is used as an <strong>in</strong>dicator <strong>of</strong> efficiency <strong>in</strong> expensesmanagement. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Kosmidou et al. (2006), s<strong>in</strong>ce higher expenses normallyimply lower pr<strong>of</strong>its, COSR is expected to have a negative effect on <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank’smarg<strong>in</strong>s and pr<strong>of</strong>its.H3: Cost to Income Ratio (COSR) is negatively related to pr<strong>of</strong>itabilityNet Loans to Assets ratio (NLA) is a measure <strong>of</strong> liquidity. It <strong>in</strong>dicates how much <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>assets <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank are tied up <strong>in</strong> loans. Higher NLA ratios could reduce liquidity and<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> marg<strong>in</strong>al borrowers that default. However, higher NLA ratiosmay be <strong>in</strong>dicative <strong>of</strong> better bank performance because <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong>come.Heffernan and Fu (2008) f<strong>in</strong>d mixed results for NLA. Never<strong>the</strong>less, Demirguc-Kunt andHuiz<strong>in</strong>ga (1999) f<strong>in</strong>d that NLA has a negative and significant impact on bankpr<strong>of</strong>itability.H4: Net Loan to Assets ratio (NLA) is negatively related to pr<strong>of</strong>itabilityKosmidou et al. (2006) and Hassan and Bashir (2003) provide evidence that higher GDPgrowth leads to higher bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability. GDP growth is expected to stimulate <strong>the</strong>demand for bank loans, <strong>the</strong>reby <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability.H5: GDP growth is positively related to pr<strong>of</strong>itabilityHigh <strong>in</strong>flation rates are generally associated with high <strong>in</strong>terest rates on loans. Thus,<strong>in</strong>flation is expected to have a positive impact on bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability. Many studies haveput forward a positive and significant relation between <strong>in</strong>flation and bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability(Athanasoglou et al., 2008; Kosmidou et al., 2006; Pasiouras et al., 2007; and Demirguc-Kunt and Huiz<strong>in</strong>ga, 1999).H6: Inflation has a positive relationship with bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability.8


5. Data, Variables, and Methodology5.1 DataTo empirically exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>’ pr<strong>of</strong>itability, we rely on apanel data set <strong>of</strong> 44 <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> region over <strong>the</strong> period 1995-2009. The dataon pr<strong>of</strong>itability and banks’ characteristics are obta<strong>in</strong>ed from BankScope databasewhich is compiled by International Bank Credit Analysis Limited (IBCA). BankScopega<strong>the</strong>rs <strong>in</strong>formation on more than 11,000 banks worldwide, account<strong>in</strong>g for about90% <strong>of</strong> total assets <strong>in</strong> each country. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> data is presented <strong>in</strong>standardized formats, after adjust<strong>in</strong>g for differences <strong>in</strong> account<strong>in</strong>g and report<strong>in</strong>gstandards, <strong>the</strong>reby mak<strong>in</strong>g cross-country comparisons more mean<strong>in</strong>gful. The dataon <strong>the</strong> macroeconomic environment is ga<strong>the</strong>red from <strong>the</strong> World Bank’s WorldDevelopment Indicators 2009.A total <strong>of</strong> 44 <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> belong<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> region were chosen <strong>in</strong> this study.The selected banks are those classified as <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> BankScope database.To be <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> our sample, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> must have available data for at leasttwo years between 1995 and 2009. This yielded an unbalanced panel data <strong>of</strong> 2,350bank-year observations.5.2 Def<strong>in</strong>ition <strong>of</strong> Variablesa. Dependant VariablesIn <strong>the</strong> bank<strong>in</strong>g literature, <strong>the</strong>re are many pr<strong>of</strong>itability ratios that have been used byresearchers <strong>in</strong> measur<strong>in</strong>g bank performance. The two most <strong>of</strong>ten used are <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong>return on assets (ROA) and <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> return on equity (ROE) (Iqbal et al., 2005).In this study, <strong>the</strong> ratios that have been selected and used as proxies for pr<strong>of</strong>itabilityare: ROA: Return on Assets; ROE: Return on Equity; and NIM: Net Non-InterestMarg<strong>in</strong>. Table 3.1 shows <strong>the</strong> def<strong>in</strong>itions, notation and <strong>the</strong> expected sign <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>explanatory variables on bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability.9


Return on Assets (ROA)ROA is <strong>the</strong> ratio <strong>of</strong> a bank's net after-tax <strong>in</strong>come divided by its total assets. Itmeasures how efficiently <strong>the</strong> management <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank has been able to convert <strong>the</strong>bank's or <strong>in</strong>stitution's assets <strong>in</strong>to pr<strong>of</strong>its (Samad, 1999). In this study, we use averageassets <strong>in</strong> order to capture any differences <strong>in</strong> assets that could have occurred dur<strong>in</strong>g<strong>the</strong> fiscal year.Return on Equity (ROE)ROE is <strong>the</strong> ratio <strong>of</strong> a bank's net after-tax <strong>in</strong>come divided by its total equity capital. Itmeasures how effectively <strong>the</strong> management <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank has been able to turnshareholders' equity <strong>in</strong>to net pr<strong>of</strong>it. It is <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> return that flows to <strong>the</strong> bank'sstockholders (Samad, 1999).Net Non-Interest Marg<strong>in</strong> (NIM)The NIM is def<strong>in</strong>ed as <strong>the</strong> net <strong>in</strong>come accru<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> bank from non-<strong>in</strong>terestactivities (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g fees, service charges, foreign exchange, and direct <strong>in</strong>vestment)divided by total assets (Hassan and Bashir, 2003). Non-<strong>in</strong>terest revenue has recentlyga<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> importance for conventional banks <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1990s. These new <strong>in</strong>come items<strong>in</strong>clude, among o<strong>the</strong>rs, ATM fees, credit-card fees, and fees from <strong>the</strong> sale <strong>of</strong> mutualfunds. Non-<strong>in</strong>terest revenue constitutes <strong>the</strong> lion's share <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank’s operat<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>come. The higher <strong>the</strong> NIM, <strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>it marg<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank is command<strong>in</strong>g.b. Determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>Pr<strong>of</strong>itability</strong>Previous studies classified <strong>the</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>in</strong>to two categories:<strong>in</strong>ternal and external. Four <strong>in</strong>ternal variables are use <strong>in</strong> this study, namely cost to<strong>in</strong>come ratio, loan loss reserves to gross loans, equity to asset ratio, net loans to totalassets, and liquid assets to deposit and short-term fund<strong>in</strong>g. We also use two externalvariables measur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> overall macroeconomic environment, namely GDP growthand <strong>in</strong>flation.10


Efficiency: Cost to Income ratio (COSR)COSR measures <strong>the</strong> overheads or costs <strong>of</strong> runn<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> bank, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g staff salariesand benefits, occupancy expenses and o<strong>the</strong>r expenses such as <strong>of</strong>fice supplies, aspercentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>come. It is typically used as an <strong>in</strong>dicator <strong>of</strong> management's ability tocontrol costs. S<strong>in</strong>ce higher expenses normally mean lower pr<strong>of</strong>its and vice versa,COSR is expected to have a negative effect on bank pr<strong>of</strong>its and marg<strong>in</strong>s (Kosmidouet al., 2006).Asset Quality: Loan loss reserves to Gross loans (LLR)LLR is <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> total loan portfolio that has been set aside for bad loans.Higher LLR ratios could <strong>in</strong>dicate poor quality <strong>of</strong> loans, hence higher risk on <strong>the</strong>loan’s portfolio. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Kosmidou et al. (2006), a poor loan quality couldreduce <strong>in</strong>terest revenue and <strong>in</strong>crease bank’s provision<strong>in</strong>g costs.Capital: Equity to Asset ratio (EA)Equity to asset ratio (EA) measures <strong>the</strong> capital adequacy <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank. It signals <strong>the</strong>overall shock absorb<strong>in</strong>g capacity <strong>of</strong> a bank for potential loan asset losses. The higher<strong>the</strong> EA ratio, <strong>the</strong> stronger is <strong>the</strong> ability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank to withstand asset losses (Samad,2004). Additionally, <strong>the</strong> greater <strong>the</strong> EA ratio, <strong>the</strong> lower is <strong>the</strong> need for externalfund<strong>in</strong>g, hence <strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank.Liquidity: Net Loans/Total Assets (NLA)NLA is a liquidity ratio measur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> portion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank’s assets tied up <strong>in</strong> loans.Higher NLA ratios could reduce <strong>the</strong> liquidity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank and <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong>default<strong>in</strong>g borrowers (Hassan and Bashir, 2003). However, higher NLA ratios maybe <strong>in</strong>dicative <strong>of</strong> better bank performance because <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong>come.Thus, its effect on bank performance is ambiguous.GDP growthWe use <strong>the</strong> real GDP growth to measure <strong>the</strong> overall economic activity <strong>in</strong> a country.Higher real GDP growth rates could stimulate <strong>the</strong> demand for bank loans. Therefore,11


a positive association is expected between real GDP growth and bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability.(Pasiouras et al., 2007; Heffernan and Fu, 2008; Kosmidou et al., 2006).InflationWe use Consumer Price Index (CPI) as a proxy for <strong>in</strong>flation. Although <strong>in</strong>flation may<strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> revenues and costs, its impact on bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability could bepositive or negative depend<strong>in</strong>g on whe<strong>the</strong>r it is anticipated or unanticipated. In <strong>the</strong>case <strong>of</strong> anticipated <strong>in</strong>flation, we expect a positive impact on pr<strong>of</strong>itability s<strong>in</strong>ce bankscan timely adjust <strong>in</strong>terest rates, result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> revenues <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g faster than costs. In<strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> unanticipated <strong>in</strong>flation, we hypo<strong>the</strong>size a negative impact on pr<strong>of</strong>itabilitys<strong>in</strong>ce banks may be forced to adjust slowly <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>terest rates, lead<strong>in</strong>g to a faster<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> bank costs than banks revenues (Pasiouras and Kosmidou, 2007).5.3 MethodologyTo test our hypo<strong>the</strong>ses on <strong>the</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank’s pr<strong>of</strong>itability, weestimate <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g time-series cross-sectional equation:<strong>Pr<strong>of</strong>itability</strong> i,t = β 0 + β 1*LLR i,t-1 + β 2*EA i,t-1 + β 3*COSR i,t-1 + β 4*NLA i,t-1 + β 5*GDP i,t-1 +β 6*CPI i,t-1 + i,t + i,t (1)where:i = <strong>the</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank (i=1,…, N);t = <strong>the</strong> time <strong>in</strong>dicator that is equal to <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> years (t=1,…,T)<strong>Pr<strong>of</strong>itability</strong> = ROA, ROE or NIM.LLR = Loan loss reserves to gross loan ratioEA = Total equity to total assets ratioCOSR = Cost to <strong>in</strong>come ratioNLA = Net loans to total assets ratio12


GDP = GDP growth rateCPI = Consumer price <strong>in</strong>dex = <strong>in</strong>dividual effect = residual termNote that all explanatory variables <strong>in</strong> model (1) are lagged one period, which greatlyreduces <strong>the</strong> possibility that <strong>the</strong>y endogenous to <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability measures.Our pr<strong>of</strong>itability model is estimated us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Prais-W<strong>in</strong>ston estimation techniquewhich produces panel corrected standard error (PCSE) estimates for l<strong>in</strong>ear paneldata models. When comput<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> standard errors and <strong>the</strong> variance-covarianceestimates, <strong>the</strong> disturbances are assumed to be heteroskedastic andcontemporaneously correlated across panels.6. ResultsThis section presents <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> regressions <strong>of</strong> our pr<strong>of</strong>itability measures(ROA, ROE, and NIM) on <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal and external <strong>in</strong>dependent variables for oursample <strong>of</strong> 44 <strong>GCC</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> over <strong>the</strong> period 2000-2009. Four specifications areused: (1) represents <strong>the</strong> basic model; (2) controls for <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank; (3) uses analternative measure for efficiency (Overheads); and (4) employs <strong>the</strong> ratio <strong>of</strong> liquidassets to deposits and short term fund<strong>in</strong>g as an alternative measure <strong>of</strong> liquidity.Return on Assets (ROA)The results <strong>in</strong> Table 2 show that <strong>the</strong> EA ratio, measur<strong>in</strong>g capital strength, makes asignificant positive contribution to <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>, whatever <strong>the</strong>specification. Therefore, our results support hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H1 that argues that <strong>the</strong>higher <strong>the</strong> equity to assets ratio, <strong>the</strong> lower <strong>the</strong> need to external fund<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong>refore<strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank. This f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g is consistent with previous13


studies (Demirguc-Kunt and Huiz<strong>in</strong>ga, 1999; Kosmidou et al., 2006; Pasiouras et al.,2006; Athanasoglou et al., 2008; Heffernan and Fu, 2008).We notice from Table 2 that <strong>the</strong> coefficients <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> net loans to assets (NLA) are notsignificant at <strong>the</strong> 5% level across all <strong>the</strong> specifications. Therefore, bank liquidity doesnot appear to be a major determ<strong>in</strong>ant <strong>of</strong> bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability.The results <strong>in</strong> Table 2 also show that <strong>the</strong> coefficient <strong>of</strong> LLR has <strong>the</strong> unexpectednegative sign (except for specification (3) where <strong>the</strong> coefficient is positive) and isonly significant <strong>in</strong> specification (1). Therefore, <strong>the</strong> results don’t support ourhypo<strong>the</strong>sis H2 that states that loan loss reserves ratio (LLR) is positively related topr<strong>of</strong>itability.As expected, <strong>the</strong> coefficient <strong>of</strong> COSR loads negative and significant at <strong>the</strong> 1% level <strong>in</strong>all cases, suggest<strong>in</strong>g that efficiency <strong>in</strong> expenses management is a robust determ<strong>in</strong>ant<strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank pr<strong>of</strong>its. This f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g supports hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H3 that cost to <strong>in</strong>come ratiois negatively related to <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>. Kosmidou et al. (2006) andPasiouras et al. (2006) also confirm this <strong>in</strong>verse relationship for <strong>the</strong> UK and Europeanbanks respectively.As for <strong>the</strong> external determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability, Table 2 shows that GDP growth isnot significantly related to pr<strong>of</strong>itability at conventional levels. However, <strong>the</strong>coefficient <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>flation is expectedly positive and significant at <strong>the</strong> 5% significancelevel, whatever <strong>the</strong> specification. This latter f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g is consistent with previousstudies (Athanasoglou et al., 2008; Kosmidou et al., 2006; Pasiouras et al., 2007; andDemirguc-Kunt and Huiz<strong>in</strong>ga, 1999) and supports hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H6 that susta<strong>in</strong>s thathigh <strong>in</strong>flation rates are generally associated with high <strong>in</strong>terest rates on loans, whichlead to higher bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability.In specification (2), we control for <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> log <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> totalassets. From Table 2, we notice that <strong>the</strong> size affects positively and significantly <strong>the</strong>pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank. Consistent with previous studies, this result could beexpla<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> fact that larger size enables banks to <strong>of</strong>fer a wide range <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancialservices at a lower cost (Hassan and Bashir, 2003).14


In specification (3), we use <strong>the</strong> overhead costs (OH) as an alternative measure <strong>of</strong>efficiency. The results <strong>in</strong> Table 2 show that OH is negatively and significantly relatedto pr<strong>of</strong>itability at <strong>the</strong> 1%. This f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g fur<strong>the</strong>r supports hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H3.F<strong>in</strong>ally, <strong>in</strong> specification (4), we use <strong>the</strong> ratio <strong>of</strong> liquid assets to deposits & short-termfund<strong>in</strong>g (LIQ) to measure liquidity. The results show that <strong>the</strong> coefficient <strong>of</strong> LIQ has<strong>the</strong> negative expected sign, but not significant at <strong>the</strong> 5% level.Return on Equity (ROE)The results <strong>in</strong> Table 3 show that <strong>the</strong> coefficient <strong>of</strong> Equity to Asset (EA) ratio isexpectedly positive, but not significant at conventional levels. Accord<strong>in</strong>g toAthanasoglou et al. (2008), it is not appropriate to <strong>in</strong>clude EA <strong>in</strong> a pr<strong>of</strong>itabilityequation when ROE is <strong>the</strong> dependent variable.As expected, <strong>the</strong> coefficient <strong>of</strong> NLA is negative, but <strong>in</strong>significant at <strong>the</strong> 5% levelacross <strong>the</strong> specifications. Once aga<strong>in</strong>, we reject hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H4 that states that NLAhas a negative impact on bank pr<strong>of</strong>itability.We notice from Table 3 that LLR, measur<strong>in</strong>g asset quality, is negatively andsignificantly related to pr<strong>of</strong>itability, except for model (3). This f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>in</strong>consistentwith hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H3, could be expla<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> fact that higher LLR ratios could<strong>in</strong>dicate poor quality <strong>of</strong> loans, which could reduce <strong>in</strong>terest revenue and <strong>in</strong>creasebank’s provision<strong>in</strong>g costs (Kosmidou et al., 2006).Consistent with our earlier f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs, <strong>the</strong> coefficient <strong>of</strong> Cost to Income ratio (COSR) isnegative and statistically significant at <strong>the</strong> 1% level across <strong>the</strong> specification. Thus,efficiency appears to be a major determ<strong>in</strong>ant <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank’s performance.While <strong>in</strong>flation affect positively and significantly pr<strong>of</strong>itability (specification (2) and(4)), we document an <strong>in</strong>significant relation between GDP growth and pr<strong>of</strong>itability.The size, measured by <strong>the</strong> log <strong>of</strong> Total Assets, positively affects bank performance,<strong>the</strong> coefficient be<strong>in</strong>g positive and significant at <strong>the</strong> 1% level for all <strong>the</strong> specifications.15


Us<strong>in</strong>g Overheads costs (OH) as an alternative measure <strong>of</strong> efficiency, we f<strong>in</strong>d that <strong>the</strong>coefficient <strong>of</strong> OH is negative and statistically significant at <strong>the</strong> 1% level. This resultprovides fur<strong>the</strong>r support for hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H3.Non-<strong>in</strong>terest Marg<strong>in</strong> (NIM)We notice from Table 4 that EA ratio positively and significantly affects bankpr<strong>of</strong>itability (except <strong>in</strong> model (2)). This f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g is consistent with hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H1 and<strong>in</strong>dicates that <strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> EA ratio, <strong>the</strong> lower <strong>the</strong> need <strong>of</strong> external fund<strong>in</strong>g and<strong>the</strong>refore <strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank (Athanasoglou et al., 2008;Mamatzakis and Remoundos, 2003).Unlike earlier results, <strong>the</strong> ratio <strong>of</strong> Net Loans to Assets (NLA) negatively andsignificantly affects performance. This result provides support for hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H4and <strong>in</strong>dicates that higher NLA ratios could reduce liquidity and <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> number<strong>of</strong> marg<strong>in</strong>al borrowers that default, <strong>the</strong>reby reduc<strong>in</strong>g bank performance (Demirguc-Kunt and Huiz<strong>in</strong>ga, 1999).From Table 4, we can see that <strong>the</strong> coefficient <strong>of</strong> LLR is positive as expected, butsignificant only <strong>in</strong> specification (4). Consequently, hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H3 is only partiallysupported. Surpris<strong>in</strong>gly, COSR is not significantly related to bank performance asmeasured by NIM, whatever <strong>the</strong> specification. When efficiency is measured byOverhead Costs (OH), <strong>the</strong> results show no significant relationship with performance.We conclude that efficiency is not a major determ<strong>in</strong>ant <strong>of</strong> NIM.Turn<strong>in</strong>g to our external determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability, we f<strong>in</strong>d no significant impact<strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>flation on bank performance, whereas GDP growth loads positive andsignificant only <strong>in</strong> specification (4).F<strong>in</strong>ally, we notice from Table 4 that size affects positively bank performance, <strong>the</strong>coefficient <strong>of</strong> log <strong>of</strong> Total Assets be<strong>in</strong>g positive and statistically significant at <strong>the</strong> 1%level across <strong>the</strong> specifications.16


7. ConclusionThe recent rapid growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g has generated, among researchers, an<strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> understand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong><strong>Banks</strong>. In this paper, we exam<strong>in</strong>ed this issue us<strong>in</strong>g an unbalanced panel data setconsist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> 44 <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> region between 2000 and 2009.Specifically, we consider <strong>the</strong> impact efficiency, capital strength, asset quality, andliquidity on <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>.After controll<strong>in</strong>g for <strong>the</strong> bank size and <strong>the</strong> macroeconomic environment, we f<strong>in</strong>dsupport for our ma<strong>in</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>ses. More specifically, we f<strong>in</strong>d that capital strength,measured by <strong>the</strong> equity to assets ratio, is positively and significantly related to ROAand NIM. This f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g provides support to our hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H1 that well capitalizedbanks face lower costs <strong>of</strong> external f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, which reduces <strong>the</strong>ir costs and enhancespr<strong>of</strong>its (Demirguc-Kunt and Huiz<strong>in</strong>ga, 1999; Kosmidou et al., 2006; Pasiouras et al.,2006; Athanasoglou et al., 2008; Heffernan and Fu, 2008).The results show that efficiency, proxied with cost to <strong>in</strong>come ratio, affects negativelyand significantly <strong>Islamic</strong> Bank’s pr<strong>of</strong>itability, and appears to be <strong>the</strong> most significantdeterm<strong>in</strong>ant <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability for <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>. Consistent with our hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H3,this f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g is <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e with previous studies such as Pasiouras (2007), Kosmidou et al.(2005), and Kosmidou et al. (2006).Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> liquidity on bank performance varies with <strong>the</strong> measure<strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability used. Specifically, liquidity is <strong>in</strong>significantly related to ROA andROE, but negatively and significantly related to NIM. These f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs provide partialsupport for hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H4 and <strong>in</strong>dicate that higher NLA ratios could reduceliquidity and <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> marg<strong>in</strong>al borrowers that default, <strong>the</strong>rebyreduc<strong>in</strong>g bank performance (Demirguc-Kunt and Huiz<strong>in</strong>ga, 1999).The impact <strong>of</strong> asset quality, measured with loan loss reserves to gross loans, ispositive and significant and positive on all pr<strong>of</strong>itability measures, except ROE. Thisf<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>in</strong>consistent with hypo<strong>the</strong>sis H3, could be expla<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> fact that higher17


LLR ratios could <strong>in</strong>dicate poor quality <strong>of</strong> loans, which could reduce <strong>in</strong>terest revenueand <strong>in</strong>crease bank’s provision<strong>in</strong>g costs (Kosmidou et al., 2006).Additionally, we document a strong positive association between size andpr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong>, whatever <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability measure. This result is <strong>in</strong>l<strong>in</strong>e with previous studies (Hassan and Bashir, 2003) and <strong>in</strong>dicates that larger sizeenables banks to <strong>of</strong>fer a wide range <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial services at a lower cost.F<strong>in</strong>ally, favorable macroeconomic environment, proxied with GDP Growth andInflation, seems to stimulate higher pr<strong>of</strong>its. This is similar to conventional banks,where GDP growth and Inflation were found are significantly and positively relatedto bank performance as well.All <strong>in</strong> all, <strong>the</strong> similarity <strong>of</strong> results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability betweenconventional and <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> strongly <strong>in</strong>dicates that <strong>the</strong> techniques and <strong>the</strong> toolsdeveloped <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> literature on conventional bank<strong>in</strong>g are potentially applicable for an<strong>Islamic</strong> Bank<strong>in</strong>g system.18


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Table 1: Def<strong>in</strong>itions, Proxies and Expected SignVariables Description NotationExpectedSignDependent<strong>Pr<strong>of</strong>itability</strong> Return on Average Assets ROAReturn on Average EquityROENet non-Interest Marg<strong>in</strong>NIMIndependentAsset Quality Loan loss reserves/gross loans LLR +Capital Equity/total assets EA +Efficiency Cost to <strong>in</strong>come ratio COSR -Liquidity Net loans/total assets NLA -Liquidity Liquid assets/deposits & short-term fund<strong>in</strong>g LIQ -GDP Growth Annual GDP growth rate GDP +Inflation Consumer price <strong>in</strong>dex CPI +Size Log (Total Assets) log (TA) +Overheads Overhead costs OH -23


Table 2: Determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Return on Assets (ROA)This table shows <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> regressions estimated with <strong>the</strong> Prais-W<strong>in</strong>ston procedure for oursample <strong>of</strong> 44 <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> region for <strong>the</strong> period 2000-2009. The dependent variable is <strong>the</strong>Return on Assets (ROA). The def<strong>in</strong>itions <strong>of</strong> our variables appear <strong>in</strong> Table 1. The Prais-W<strong>in</strong>stontechnique produces panel corrected standard error (PCSE) estimates for l<strong>in</strong>ear panel data models.When comput<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> standard errors and <strong>the</strong> variance-covariance estimates, <strong>the</strong> disturbances areassumed to be heteroskedastic and contemporaneously correlated across panels. The p-values appear<strong>in</strong> paren<strong>the</strong>ses below <strong>the</strong> estimated coefficients. ***, **, * refer to <strong>the</strong> 1, 5 and 10% levels <strong>of</strong> significancerespectively.VariableExpectedSignEA (t-1) + 0.081***(1) (2)(0.004)NLA (t-1) - -0.008(0.571)LLR (t-1) + -0.178**(0.034)COSR (t-1) - -0.011***(0.001)GDP (t-1) + 0.024(0.745)CPI (t-1) + 0.061**(0.031)Size0.058**(0.033)0.004(0.729)-0.116*(0.074)-0.009***(0.002)0.018(0.774)0.108***(0.000)Log (TA (t-1)) + 0.492***(0.000)(3)Overheads0.060**(0.049)-0.013(0.329)0.026(0.737)-0.008(0.773)0.072***(0.000)0.457***(0.000)OH (t-1) - -0.718***(0.000)(4)LA/STBF0.079**(0.025)-0.133(0.109)-0.008***(0.004)0.044(0.698)0.105***(0.004)0.476***(0.000)LIQ (t-1) - -0.001Constant 1.911(0.129)-5.022***(0.000)-2.702***(0.005)N 73 72 90 55(0.716)-5.025***(0.003)R 2 0.400 0.552 0.648 0.49324


Table 3: Determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Return on Assets (ROE)This table shows <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> regressions estimated with <strong>the</strong> Prais-W<strong>in</strong>ston procedure for oursample <strong>of</strong> 44 <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> region for <strong>the</strong> period 2000-2009. The dependent variable is <strong>the</strong>Return on Equity (ROE). The def<strong>in</strong>itions <strong>of</strong> our variables appear <strong>in</strong> Table 1. The Prais-W<strong>in</strong>stontechnique produces panel corrected standard error (PCSE) estimates for l<strong>in</strong>ear panel data models.When comput<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> standard errors and <strong>the</strong> variance-covariance estimates, <strong>the</strong> disturbances areassumed to be heteroskedastic and contemporaneously correlated across panels. The p-values appear<strong>in</strong> paren<strong>the</strong>ses below <strong>the</strong> estimated coefficients. ***, **, * refer to <strong>the</strong> 1, 5 and 10% levels <strong>of</strong> significancerespectively.VariableExpectedSignEA (t-1) + 0.721(1) (2)(0.108)NLA (t-1) - -0.093(0.417)LLR (t-1) + -3.281***(0.001)COSR (t-1) - -0.193***(0.000)GDP (t-1) + -0.1332(0.842)CPI (t-1) + 0.796(0.112)Size0.3994(0.296)-0.043(0.763)-2.666***(0.004)-0.172***(0.000)-0.052(0.935)1.143**(0.021)Log( TA (t-1)) + 5.175***(0.001)(3)Overheads0.210(0.360)-0.185*(0.093)-0.545(0.385)-0.458*(0.061)0.461*(0.055)4.739***(0.000)OH (t-1) - -13.950***(0.000)(4)LA/STBF0.742(0.125)-2.903***(0.006)-0.166***(0.000)0.436(0.787)1.414**(0.016)5.630***(0.000)LIQ (t-1) - -0.012Constant 25.634**(0.031)-41.324**(0.042)-6.288(0.631)N 73 72 90 55(0.801)-58.345**(0.014)R 2 0.452 0.520 0.824 0.55025


Table 4: Determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Non-Interest Marg<strong>in</strong> (NIM)This table shows <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> regressions estimated with <strong>the</strong> Prais-W<strong>in</strong>ston procedure for oursample <strong>of</strong> 44 <strong>Islamic</strong> <strong>Banks</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> region for <strong>the</strong> period 2000-2009. The dependent variable is <strong>the</strong>Non-Interest Marg<strong>in</strong> (NIM). The def<strong>in</strong>itions <strong>of</strong> our variables appear <strong>in</strong> Table 1. The Prais-W<strong>in</strong>stontechnique produces panel corrected standard error (PCSE) estimates for l<strong>in</strong>ear panel data models.When comput<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> standard errors and <strong>the</strong> variance-covariance estimates, <strong>the</strong> disturbances areassumed to be heteroskedastic and contemporaneously correlated across panels. The p-values appear<strong>in</strong> paren<strong>the</strong>ses below <strong>the</strong> estimated coefficients. ***, **, * refer to <strong>the</strong> 1, 5 and 10% levels <strong>of</strong> significancerespectively.VariableExpectedSignNLA (t-1) - -0.044***(1) (2)(0.004)LLR (t-1) + 0.114(0.301)COSR (t-1) - -0.000(0.745)GDP (t-1) + 0.007(0.863)CPI (t-1) + -0.031(0.110)Size-0.043***(0.003)0.160(0.245)0.000(0.886)0.013(0.753)-0.018(0.300)log (TA (t-1)) + 0.384***(0.000)(3)Overheads-0.042***(0.004)0.138(0.217)0.023(0.441)0.012(0.472)0.314***(0.000)OH (t-1) - 0.136*(0.089)(4)LA/STBF0.406***(0.006)0.000(0.796)0.274***(0.003)0.023(0.365)0.397***(0.000)LIQ (t-1) - 0.001Constant 2.716**(0.031)-2.099*(0.099)-1.699(0.115)N 73 72 90 55(0.816)-8.422***(0.000)R 2 0.4260 0.4904 0.4951 0.563626

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