Russia-2025: Scenarios for the Future

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OMD-limitsGrowing dysfunctionality• Priority of control and loyalty over efficiency,• short time horizon,• narrow visionCases:1 Putin’s first, second and third terms2 Governors’ replacements and the party of power failure in 2011 Dumaelections3. Impotent omnipotence
OMD-limitsSystem’s mechanical character, lack of flexibility andadjustabilityHigh center of gravity - instabilityLack of buffers, leading to shocks beingtransmitted to the very topInability to grew organically and to adjustLocal political crisis can easily transforminto all-Russian one posing risk to thewhole system
Page 1: Russia-2025: Scenarios for theFutur
Page 4 and 5: Institutions-substitutionsFive weak
Page 7: Basics of OMDBasics of the Overmana
Page 11 and 12: OMD-limitsTroubles with decision-ma
Page 13 and 14: Politics2012 emasculated political
Page 15 and 16: Russia on the moveA short, victorio
Page 17 and 18: Russia-2025Scenarios for the future
Page 19 and 20: Russia-2020Russia in 2020: scenario
Page 22 and 23: Davos Scenario Framework
Page 24 and 25: Russia-2025Alternative scenarios

Russia-2025: Scenarios for the Future

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