Russia-2025: Scenarios for the Future

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Institutions-substitutionsFive weakened democratic institutions and theirsubstitutions in Russia at the federal levelState DumaPublic ChamberFederation CouncilConsultative councils, commissions attached topresidentState Council and its PresidiumCouncil of LegislatorsPolitical partiesIndependent mediaGovernment‘Loyal opposition’ parties and movementsState corporationsRegional political machinesPublic reception officesRegional networks for collecting letters from citizensFSB, other secret servicesPollstersPresidential administrationState corporationsSecurity CouncilElite ‘clubs’
Institutions-substitutionsThree weakened democratic institutions and theirsubstitutions in Russia at the regional levelFederal andregional bodies ofexecutive powerPopularly electedheads of regionsand ofmunicipalitiesDirect electionsPlenipotentiary presidential envoys to federaldistricts; chief federal inspectorsPresidential appointees confirmed by regionalparliaments and hired city-managersHorizontal rotation of federal appointees includinggovernors; complicated system of indicators usedto evaluate efficiency of regional authorities; socalled ‘personnel reserve’ at different levels; secretsociological polls to evaluate public attitudes;
Page 1: Russia-2025: Scenarios for theFutur
Page 7 and 8: Basics of OMDBasics of the Overmana
Page 9 and 10: OMD-limitsSystem’s mechanical cha
Page 11 and 12: OMD-limitsTroubles with decision-ma
Page 13 and 14: Politics2012 emasculated political
Page 15 and 16: Russia on the moveA short, victorio
Page 17 and 18: Russia-2025Scenarios for the future
Page 19 and 20: Russia-2020Russia in 2020: scenario
Page 22 and 23: Davos Scenario Framework
Page 24 and 25: Russia-2025Alternative scenarios

Russia-2025: Scenarios for the Future

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