Russia-2025: Scenarios for the Future

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OMD-limitsWeak feedback• Weak political parties and the parliament• Strong state control over major media• Regional interests are almost not represented at thefederal center• It takes too long for a signal to go to the very topthrough various filters and to come back
OMD-limitsTroubles with decision-making• Absence of formal formats to represent interests of major elite clans and tofind a compromise• bilateral rather than multilateral communication,• matter of time,• tactical rather than strategic,• no way to make a logical chain of election/ reformsNone of serious decisions where interests of differentelite groups overlap has been made recently once andforeverPension reform; political reform – 2011;Cases: Rosneftegaz…
Page 1: Russia-2025: Scenarios for theFutur
Page 4 and 5: Institutions-substitutionsFive weak
Page 7 and 8: Basics of OMDBasics of the Overmana
Page 9: OMD-limitsSystem’s mechanical cha
Page 13 and 14: Politics2012 emasculated political
Page 15 and 16: Russia on the moveA short, victorio
Page 17 and 18: Russia-2025Scenarios for the future
Page 19 and 20: Russia-2020Russia in 2020: scenario
Page 22 and 23: Davos Scenario Framework
Page 24 and 25: Russia-2025Alternative scenarios

Russia-2025: Scenarios for the Future

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