150 11 Global Trading of Commodities11.1.3.3 Trading, Risk Management and Logistical ExpertiseTraders provide essential expertise in formulating and executing trading strategies,as clearly indicated by their very high compensation levels. An intimate knowledgeof the fundamentals that drive individual markets is obviously part of this expertise,but it also often requires an equally extensive knowledge of infrastructural elementsof the market, which may create trading opportunities or preclude certain tradingstrategies at different times. With respect to certain commodities (e.g., electricity,as well as natural gas), traders possess knowledge of both market fundamentals andinfrastructural and logistical features.However, when product is moved via ocean-going vessel, as is true of aluminaand aluminum (as well as liquified natural gas), the chartering function is generallyperformed by a separate group within the trading firm. The chartering of vesselsrequires specialized knowledge regarding the optimal means of shipping differentmetals and bulk raw materials, how quickly one can load, how long the voyagewill be, the identities of charter parties and ship owners seeking particular cargosizes, the availability and locations of ships at specific points in time, which vesselshave excess space on particular voyages, discharge rates and depths at individualports, demurrage charges, etc. In general, local knowledge is extremely importantin obtaining the requisite shipping capacity at reasonable cost. 3,4 When trading andlogistics are handled by separate groups, traders are in frequent contact with individualsresponsible for chartering vessels, requesting quotes multiple times daily.Shipping rates may determine whether a contemplated trade will be profitable.While traders typically determine their individual transactions-specific hedgingstrategies, the trading group also performs a higher-level risk management function,which is often centralized. This activity entails establishing credit and position limits,continuously monitoring the group’s exposure, and assessing the potential lossesassociated with adverse price movements and changes in spread (the differential invalue from one month to the next).11.1.3.4 Administrative Controls and IT SystemsBecause of the large dollar value of individual contracts and the very high cost ofpotential errors, omissions or missed trades, an effective system of firm-wide controlsis essential. Trading firms generally require that every contract for the purchaseand/or sale of product be approved in writing from a credit standpoint as part of such3 Chartering teams generally work with brokers. Chartering brokers possess important marketinformation that they develop and maintain through daily dialog with other market participants.It is also frequently advantageous to have a middleman in negotiations with vessel owners.4 The freight market is a commodity market, with many characteristics in common with other suchmarkets. Freight rates move on a daily basis, and a futures market for freight (the Baltic Exchange)has developed to provide ship owners and firms leasing vessel space a means of hedging theirexposure. However, only ships of certain sizes are covered on the Baltic Exchange; smaller vessels,constituting the “Handy Market,” are not covered. Some trading firms have “gone long” on ships(i.e., purchased vessels) in recent years, as freight rates have increased dramatically.
11.1 Summary of Key Facts 151internal controls. Every physical trade is also generally confirmed in writing withthe counterparty, clearly specifying the terms that the parties intended. Moreover, allcontracts are typically reviewed to ensure that they contain the correct legal clausesand are therefore enforceable, that the terms are correctly stated and accord withthose originally agreed on verbally, etc. Such oversight is critically important totrading firms. Risk managers must also have effective systems and procedures inplace to quantify and continuously monitor different types of risks (market risk,counterparty-related risk, operational risk and liquidity risk). Similarly, an IT systemthat permits risk managers to view transactions and hedges in “real time” is essentialto effective risk management. While certain trading-specific applications softwareis available from third parties, generally by product or sector, it typically requiresextensive customization. 511.1.3.5 Reputation for ReliabilityBroadly speaking, the counterparty-related risks referenced above entail nonpayment(i.e., credit risk), delayed performance (i.e., the delayed delivery ofproduct) or outright non-performance. If the first or third of these eventualitiescomes to pass, the financial downside will generally be enormous. Because suchrisks are so consequential, it is of the utmost importance that trading firms be viewedas reliable counterparties.11.1.4 Recent Developments and Their Effect on the RelativeImportance of Core Assets and SkillsThe core trading elements identified above, including (a) access to financing andproduct, (b) trading, risk management and logistical expertise, (c) effective administrativecontrols, risk management procedures and IT systems, and (d) a reputationfor reliability, taken as a whole, do not change overly much from year to year.However, their relative importance can shift substantially over a comparatively briefperiod. In the past 3–5 years, the commodities trading landscape has been dominatedby four important developments:1. Hedge funds have become a very significant factor in these markets.2. China has diminished dramatically in importance, particularly in the alumina andaluminum markets.3. Pre-payment prospects have dwindled because few producers now requirefinancing.5 For example, energy trading software vendors include OpenLink and Triple Point Technology.Other vendors sell software for natural gas, alumina and aluminum, crude oil and most other tradedcommodities.