11.07.2015 Views

Iran: Cultural Values, Self images and Negotiation Behavior

Iran: Cultural Values, Self images and Negotiation Behavior

Iran: Cultural Values, Self images and Negotiation Behavior

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Communication <strong>and</strong> <strong>Negotiation</strong>Pre-<strong>Negotiation</strong>s <strong>and</strong> Operational Intelligence<strong>Iran</strong>ian negotiators have been known to make extensive use of back channels <strong>and</strong>pre-negotiations. Obviously such behavior has a mundane domestic reason: to free theregime of the need to explain its behavior to the <strong>Iran</strong>ian public. In many cases,however, these channels seem to have been no more than a mechanism for gatheringoperational intelligence prior to the actual negotiations, for sounding out the rival’sweaknesses <strong>and</strong> positions, <strong>and</strong> to identify disagreements within the rival's teams. In afew cases it was revealed that the <strong>Iran</strong>ian side made extensive simulations, includingallocating tasks to the more responsive or conciliatory team member as opposed to thehard-liner.Here, the <strong>Iran</strong>ian pre-conceptions of the West frequently come into play. The morethe West is perceived as a “high BATNA” rival (Best Alternative to a NegotiatedAgreement - like the <strong>Iran</strong>ians themselves), <strong>and</strong> willing to walk away (to the militaryoption if need be), the greater will be the <strong>Iran</strong>ian tendency to expedite thenegotiations.What's on the Table?True to the code of the bazaar, the prices of merch<strong>and</strong>ise proposed at the outset ofnegotiations has very little to do with the real price that the <strong>Iran</strong>ian believes he canget. The difference is usually expressed in terms of hundreds of percents (when theprice is in money), <strong>and</strong> in unacceptable political dem<strong>and</strong>s when the price isdiplomatic.A more interesting phenomenon is the willingness to enter into detailednegotiations over issues that the <strong>Iran</strong>ian side knows it could not deliver even if itsdem<strong>and</strong>s were to be met. 138 Some sources claim that this is a negotiating ploy, meantto wear out the adversary with “virtual” negotiations <strong>and</strong> to learn his weaknessesbefore raising real issues. Others claim that this is just a reflection of the “bazaarinstinct” <strong>and</strong> the “love of the game,” a demonstration of rhetorical, emotional, <strong>and</strong>intellectual virtuosity in negotiation that raises the status of the <strong>Iran</strong>ian in the eyes ofhis colleagues <strong>and</strong> subordinates, <strong>and</strong> hence serves a social end, separate from the realgoal of the negotiations.According to one source, the virtual negotiations often spring from other issueswith no apparent reason, with the <strong>Iran</strong>ian side going off on a tangent. The new <strong>and</strong>unexpected issue comes as a non sequitur, but becomes the focal point of the talks.The non-<strong>Iran</strong>ian side finds itself compelled to negotiate back to the original issue, <strong>and</strong>then finds that it has paid for the return to status quo ante. A former Western officialpointed out that at the start of negotiations he was “led to believe that [the <strong>Iran</strong>iannegotiators] are rational, reasonable, underst<strong>and</strong>ing, <strong>and</strong> able to adjust on the basis offacts that are revealed to them in the course of the give <strong>and</strong> take.” He claims,however, that this turned out to be no more than verbal dexterity serving as a mask tohide a reluctance to change positions. He discovered that at the end of the negotiations138 Sources who were privy to sensitive negotiations over hostages/POWs testified that even when therewas reliable information that the <strong>Iran</strong>ian team did not have the authority to make decisions, or theycould not deliver, they held talks as if they could.39

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!