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addressing climate change adaptation in regional transportation plans

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Address<strong>in</strong>g Climate Change Adaptation <strong>in</strong> Regional Transportation PlansA Guide for California MPOs and RTPAsconditions (such as water levels and currents, wave action, w<strong>in</strong>ds, andtemperatures), exceed<strong>in</strong>g what the <strong>in</strong>frastructure was designed to withstand.While <strong>transportation</strong> plann<strong>in</strong>g efforts do take weather conditions <strong>in</strong>to account <strong>in</strong>the design of <strong>in</strong>frastructure, there is less exam<strong>in</strong>ation of whether current designstandards are sufficient to accommodate <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>.For example, the dra<strong>in</strong>age capacity of road <strong>in</strong>frastructure often <strong>in</strong>corporatesconsideration of a 100-year storm event. However, <strong>climate</strong> projections <strong>in</strong>dicatethat current 100-year storm events are likely to occur more frequently (such asevery 50 or perhaps even every 20 years) by the end of the current century. Inthis case, design standards for dra<strong>in</strong>age would need to be updated to considerthese chang<strong>in</strong>g conditions. Examples of design strategies <strong>in</strong>clude improv<strong>in</strong>gmaterials or develop<strong>in</strong>g new materials, or upgrad<strong>in</strong>g current systems withimprovements <strong>in</strong> design, and enhanc<strong>in</strong>g protection.Similarly, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) maps are oftenused to support development decisions, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the sit<strong>in</strong>g of roadways.Because FEMA maps do not reflect projected <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> impacts, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>geffects of <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> on floodpla<strong>in</strong> designations, roads may be established <strong>in</strong>areas that are highly vulnerable to flood<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the future.In addition to operational and design <strong>change</strong>s, other types of <strong>adaptation</strong> optionsare available for <strong>transportation</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure. Transportation plann<strong>in</strong>g and landuse controls, especially concern<strong>in</strong>g new construction and development, can<strong>in</strong>tegrate projected <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong>to the plann<strong>in</strong>g process. For example,development can be restricted or prohibited <strong>in</strong> zones most at risk from stormsurges, flood<strong>in</strong>g, and sea-level rise. In addition, long-range plann<strong>in</strong>g andpromot<strong>in</strong>g cross-agency collaboration are two examples of other potential<strong>adaptation</strong> actions for <strong>transportation</strong> plann<strong>in</strong>g.4.2 POTENTIAL CLIMATE IMPACTSON THE CALIFORNIA TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMAND STRATEGIES FOR ADAPTATIONAs described <strong>in</strong> Section 3.2, projected <strong>climate</strong> impacts that will affect California<strong>in</strong>clude sea-level rise, <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>tense precipitation events, and temperature –specifically the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> higher heat days. Each of these key <strong>climate</strong> impactswill affect a variety of <strong>transportation</strong> assets rang<strong>in</strong>g from roadways, to railways,to airports and bridges. The focus for <strong>regional</strong> <strong>transportation</strong> planners will be tobe aware of the potential <strong>climate</strong> impacts on their regions and their effects on the<strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>in</strong> the MPO or RTPA region. This section will first describe thetypical <strong>climate</strong> impacts <strong>in</strong> California and their effects on <strong>in</strong>frastructure. Forevery <strong>climate</strong> impact, there are a range of <strong>adaptation</strong> strategies that can bedeployed either through plann<strong>in</strong>g, design or operational methods. A list<strong>in</strong>g ofthese strategies is summarized <strong>in</strong> Table 4.1.Cambridge Systematics, Inc. 4-3

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