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addressing climate change adaptation in regional transportation plans

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Address<strong>in</strong>g Climate Change Adaptation <strong>in</strong> Regional Transportation PlansA Guide for California MPOs and RTPAsneeded <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g a comprehensive approach to <strong>adaptation</strong>. For example,Oregon has already taken strategic plann<strong>in</strong>g steps <strong>in</strong> that direction, document<strong>in</strong>gexist<strong>in</strong>g knowledge about <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> impacts and summariz<strong>in</strong>g data thatcan lead to the development of a full vulnerability assessment of <strong>transportation</strong><strong>in</strong>frastructure (Oregon CCIG, 2008).The Gulf Coast Study Phase I, a jo<strong>in</strong>t U.S. DOT and U.S. Geological Survey(USGS) report, conducted under the auspices of the <strong>in</strong>teragency U.S. ClimateChange Science Program, <strong>in</strong>vestigated the potential impacts of <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> by2050 and 2100 on <strong>transportation</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>in</strong> the north central Gulf Coast.That study <strong>in</strong>tegrated environmental trend data, <strong>climate</strong> model outputs based ona range of <strong>climate</strong> scenarios, and <strong>transportation</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure data to identifyareas of risk to <strong>climate</strong> impacts <strong>in</strong> the region. The study also developed aframework for risk assessment and explored <strong>adaptation</strong> options to address thepotential risks of <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> (CCSP, 2008b).For Phase II of the study of the Gulf Coast, U.S. DOT performed an <strong>in</strong>-depthassessment of <strong>transportation</strong> assets across all modes for a s<strong>in</strong>gle Gulf Cost MPOto: 1) identify critical assets; 2) assess <strong>climate</strong> impacts on those assets; 3) assessvulnerability; and 4) perform detailed eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g assessments of vulnerable<strong>in</strong>frastructure, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g a review and analysis of <strong>adaptation</strong> options. The resultsof this MPO-specific research and analysis <strong>in</strong>formed the development of riskmanagement tools, templates, and architectures for the plann<strong>in</strong>g agency <strong>in</strong> thestudy region to use <strong>in</strong> decid<strong>in</strong>g what <strong>in</strong>frastructure or <strong>transportation</strong> programsneed protect<strong>in</strong>g, and for prioritiz<strong>in</strong>g efforts to protect, accommodate, or relocateassets.In 2008, the Transportation Research Board (TRB) published Special Report 290,Potential Impacts of Climate Change on U.S. Transportation (NRC, 2008). In thisreport, <strong>adaptation</strong> to <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> with<strong>in</strong> the <strong>transportation</strong> sector falls <strong>in</strong>tothree categories of actions: operational <strong>change</strong>s, design <strong>change</strong>s, and otheractions.Climate variability and extreme events, such as storms and precipitation of<strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>tensity, will require chang<strong>in</strong>g operational responses from<strong>transportation</strong> providers. While U.S. <strong>transportation</strong> providers already addressthe impacts of weather on <strong>transportation</strong> system operations <strong>in</strong> a diverse range ofclimatic conditions, exist<strong>in</strong>g plann<strong>in</strong>g does not take <strong>in</strong>to account long-term<strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>climate</strong>. Operational <strong>change</strong>s may <strong>in</strong>clude adjust<strong>in</strong>g ma<strong>in</strong>tenance(both <strong>in</strong> the tim<strong>in</strong>g and type of ma<strong>in</strong>tenance); improved monitor<strong>in</strong>g of conditions(both climatic and <strong>in</strong>frastructure conditions), <strong>in</strong>corporat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>climate</strong> scenariomodel<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to <strong>in</strong>frastructure plann<strong>in</strong>g, modify<strong>in</strong>g procedures for emergencymanagement, and alter<strong>in</strong>g construction schedules.In general, operational <strong>change</strong>s will apply to procedural plann<strong>in</strong>g at vary<strong>in</strong>gdegrees of adjustment. For example, greater use of technology such as <strong>climate</strong>scenario model<strong>in</strong>g can enable <strong>in</strong>frastructure providers to monitor <strong>climate</strong><strong>change</strong>s and receive advance warn<strong>in</strong>g of potential failures due to chang<strong>in</strong>g4-2 Cambridge Systematics, Inc.

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