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addressing climate change adaptation in regional transportation plans

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Address<strong>in</strong>g Climate Change Adaptation <strong>in</strong> Regional Transportation PlansA Guide for California MPOs and RTPAsFigure 3.7Spatial Resolution and Representation of Topographyof a Typical GCM and a Typical RCMSource: National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), 2007.Abrupt Climate ChangeAbrupt <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> is def<strong>in</strong>ed as a large-scale <strong>change</strong> <strong>in</strong> the <strong>climate</strong> systemthat takes place over a few decades or less, persists (or is anticipated to persist)for at least a few decades, and causes substantial disruptions <strong>in</strong> human andnatural systems (CCSP, 2008). Some scientists have referred to our current stateas lead<strong>in</strong>g to a <strong>climate</strong> “tipp<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t”, or a po<strong>in</strong>t when <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>s from astable state to another stable state that disrupts the natural system.Four types of abrupt <strong>change</strong> <strong>in</strong> the geologic record stand out as be<strong>in</strong>g so rapidand large <strong>in</strong> their impact that, if they were to recur, they would pose clear risksto society <strong>in</strong> terms of our ability to adapt:1. Rapid <strong>change</strong> <strong>in</strong> glaciers, ice sheets, and hence sea level;2. Widespread and susta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>change</strong>s to the hydrologic cycle, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>gdrought and flood<strong>in</strong>g;3-12 Cambridge Systematics, Inc.

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