addressing climate change adaptation in regional transportation plans
addressing climate change adaptation in regional transportation plans addressing climate change adaptation in regional transportation plans
The crops produced are varied and include almonds, milk, cattle, cotton, oranges,and poultry. Each crop type is likely to react differently to alteration in seasonaltemperature regimes and changes in water availability. It is difficult to specificallyproject the production impact on crops because it relates to many factors inaddition to temperature and precipitation, including pest regimes, availability ofirrigation water, and management practices (Luedeling et al., 2011). The particularaspect of climate change most important to assessing impact also will vary. Inthe case of nut trees, it is the reduction in nighttime cooling that may have themost impact (Luedeling et al., 2011). Jurisdictions reliant on almonds, walnuts,pistachios, or other nuts should specifically evaluate projected changes in dailylow temperatures.As with crops, climate-change impacts on dairy cows depend on a variety offactors. For example, the severity of heat stress, which can influence productivity,is influenced by the following factors (Chase, 2006, p.2):• The actual temperature and humidity• The length of the heat stress period• The degree of night cooling• Ventilation and air flow• The size of the cow• The level of milk production and dry matter intake prior to the heat stress(higher- producing animals will experience greater effects of heat stress)• Housing – type, ventilation, overcrowding, etc.• Water availability• Coat color (lighter color coats absorb less sunlight)The impact of climate change on agricultural productivity has the potentialto alter a community’s economic continuity, including its employmentbase. Communities should work with farm bureaus and other agriculturalorganizations to understand the challenges being faced and support theseorganizations as much as possible. Communities should also consider developingplans that limit the impact of productivity reductions on community operationsand the provision of basic services.Public Health, Socioeconomic, and Equity ImpactsHeat is a contributing factor in the production of ground level ozone, anair pollutant that affects respiratory function. Visalia is a location in the SanJoaquin Valley traditionally high in ozone. Using Visalia and Riverside, two areastraditionally high in ozone, Dreschler et al. (2006) projected that the number ofdays in California with “conditions conducive to ozone” could increase by 25 to80 percent by 2100, “depending on warming scenarios” (Kahrl and Roland-Holst,pg. 105).PAGE 62APG: UNDERSTANDING REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS
Inland low-lying areas in California, such as the San Joaquin Valley, reported thegreatest number of heat-related deaths in the 2006 heat wave. The counties inthe Southern Central Valley region have a relatively large number of agriculturalworkers. Extreme heat and temperature-related declines in air quality are likelyto contribute to increased physical strain, respiratory issues, and general healthconditions. Agricultural workers will have increased exposure to heat events andwill be especially at risk of heat illness due to the combination of outdoor workand jobs demanding physical exertion. In addition, farmworker housing may lackair conditioning. Farm employment is one of the top five industries in TulareCounty, and while not registering in the top five employment sectors in theremaining counties, the absolute number of employees involved in agriculture inthis region is significant.Regardless of their occupation, the poor are less likely to have the adaptivecapacity to prevent and address impacts. For instance, Fresno County isconsidered a “high poverty” county (English et. al., 2007). All of the counties inthis region exceed poverty levels of greater than 20 percent of their populations.Households eligible for energy utility financial assistance programs are anindicator of potential impacts. These households may be more at risk of notusing cooling appliances, such as air conditioning, due to associated energy costs.Kings and Tulare counties have moderately high proportions of populationseligible (47 to 55 percent) (English et al., 2007).The foothill areas outside of and between Fresno and Bakersfield may experiencehigher ozone levels and temperatures. Those most vulnerable to high levels ofozone and particulate matter include people who work or spend a lot of timeoutdoors, such as residents of this region who are employees of the touristindustry (Sequoia, Kings Canyon, and Yosemite national parks) in the nearbyNorth Sierra and Southeast Sierra regions.Water SupplyWater supply in this region relies primarily on snowmelt from the Sierra.Climate change is projected to result in a dramatic decrease in snowpack. Thischange will not only limit the availability of water in the warmer summer months,but also may result in flooding during the spring. Precipitation falling as rainrather than snow and/or in intense rainfall events can limit the ability to capturethe water in reservoirs or groundwater.Further threatening local water supply is the vulnerability of the levees protectingthe California Delta. The Delta feeds the State Water Project and CentralValley Project, two key water sources for the region. There is the potentialfor this source to be compromised by catastrophic levee failure (DWR, 2011).APG: UNDERSTANDING REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS PAGE 63
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The crops produced are varied and <strong>in</strong>clude almonds, milk, cattle, cotton, oranges,and poultry. Each crop type is likely to react differently to alteration <strong>in</strong> seasonaltemperature regimes and <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> water availability. It is difficult to specificallyproject the production impact on crops because it relates to many factors <strong>in</strong>addition to temperature and precipitation, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g pest regimes, availability ofirrigation water, and management practices (Luedel<strong>in</strong>g et al., 2011). The particularaspect of <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> most important to assess<strong>in</strong>g impact also will vary. Inthe case of nut trees, it is the reduction <strong>in</strong> nighttime cool<strong>in</strong>g that may have themost impact (Luedel<strong>in</strong>g et al., 2011). Jurisdictions reliant on almonds, walnuts,pistachios, or other nuts should specifically evaluate projected <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> dailylow temperatures.As with crops, <strong>climate</strong>-<strong>change</strong> impacts on dairy cows depend on a variety offactors. For example, the severity of heat stress, which can <strong>in</strong>fluence productivity,is <strong>in</strong>fluenced by the follow<strong>in</strong>g factors (Chase, 2006, p.2):• The actual temperature and humidity• The length of the heat stress period• The degree of night cool<strong>in</strong>g• Ventilation and air flow• The size of the cow• The level of milk production and dry matter <strong>in</strong>take prior to the heat stress(higher- produc<strong>in</strong>g animals will experience greater effects of heat stress)• Hous<strong>in</strong>g – type, ventilation, overcrowd<strong>in</strong>g, etc.• Water availability• Coat color (lighter color coats absorb less sunlight)The impact of <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> on agricultural productivity has the potentialto alter a community’s economic cont<strong>in</strong>uity, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g its employmentbase. Communities should work with farm bureaus and other agriculturalorganizations to understand the challenges be<strong>in</strong>g faced and support theseorganizations as much as possible. Communities should also consider develop<strong>in</strong>g<strong>plans</strong> that limit the impact of productivity reductions on community operationsand the provision of basic services.Public Health, Socioeconomic, and Equity ImpactsHeat is a contribut<strong>in</strong>g factor <strong>in</strong> the production of ground level ozone, anair pollutant that affects respiratory function. Visalia is a location <strong>in</strong> the SanJoaqu<strong>in</strong> Valley traditionally high <strong>in</strong> ozone. Us<strong>in</strong>g Visalia and Riverside, two areastraditionally high <strong>in</strong> ozone, Dreschler et al. (2006) projected that the number ofdays <strong>in</strong> California with “conditions conducive to ozone” could <strong>in</strong>crease by 25 to80 percent by 2100, “depend<strong>in</strong>g on warm<strong>in</strong>g scenarios” (Kahrl and Roland-Holst,pg. 105).PAGE 62APG: UNDERSTANDING REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS