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addressing climate change adaptation in regional transportation plans

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Address<strong>in</strong>g Climate Change Adaptation <strong>in</strong> Regional Transportation PlansA Guide for California MPOs and RTPAsTitle Summary Author Date Category6 Climate Change and Sealevelrise Scenarios forCalifornia Vulnerability andAdaptation Assessment7 Sea-Level Rise for theCoasts of California,Oregon, and Wash<strong>in</strong>gton:Past, Present, and Future8 Reports on the ThirdAssessment from theCalifornia Climate ChangeCentercommunities can use to meet <strong>adaptation</strong> vary<strong>in</strong>g needs.This white paper provides an evaluation of physical elements of <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> and sea-level rise that areconta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> the California Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment. The analyses usesix global <strong>climate</strong> models, each run under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Reporton Emissions Scenarios B1 and A2 scenarios. From the global <strong>climate</strong> models and associateddownscaled output, these scenarios conta<strong>in</strong> a range of warm<strong>in</strong>g, cont<strong>in</strong>ued <strong>in</strong>terannual and decadalvariation of precipitation with <strong>in</strong>cremental <strong>change</strong>s by the middle and end of 21 st century, substantial lossof mounta<strong>in</strong> snow pack, and a range of sea-level rise along the California coast.Caltrans is work<strong>in</strong>g with other state agencies to determ<strong>in</strong>e specific sea-level rise values to <strong>in</strong>corporate <strong>in</strong>tofuture plann<strong>in</strong>g and design documents. As new guidance becomes available from the State, it will beimportant to <strong>in</strong>corporate that <strong>in</strong>formation <strong>in</strong>to future plann<strong>in</strong>g assessments and update Caltrans guidance,as appropriate.Tide gages show that global sea level has risen about 7 <strong>in</strong>ches dur<strong>in</strong>g the 20 th century, and recent satellitedata shows that the rate of sea-level rise is accelerat<strong>in</strong>g. Sea-level rise poses enormous risks to thevaluable <strong>in</strong>frastructure, development, and wetlands that l<strong>in</strong>e much of the 1,600 mile shorel<strong>in</strong>e of California,Oregon, and Wash<strong>in</strong>gton. As those states seek to <strong>in</strong>corporate projections of sea-level rise <strong>in</strong>to coastalplann<strong>in</strong>g, they asked the National Research Council to make <strong>in</strong>dependent projections of sea-level risealong their coasts for the years 2030, 2050, and 2100, tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to account <strong>regional</strong> factors that affect sealevel.The State’s third major assessment on <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> explores local and statewide vulnerabilities to<strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, highlight<strong>in</strong>g opportunities for tak<strong>in</strong>g concrete actions to reduce <strong>climate</strong>-<strong>change</strong> impacts.More than 30 peer-reviewed papers on energy, water, agriculture, public health, coastal, <strong>transportation</strong>,and ecological resource sectors are available.9 Cal-Adapt This is a web-based <strong>in</strong>teractive visualization tool for convey<strong>in</strong>g the risks of <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>. At the mostbasic level, the tool can educat<strong>in</strong>g the general public and policy-makers with very little or no knowledge of<strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> science who are visit<strong>in</strong>g the site to learn about the effects of <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> on theirhometown or other locations of <strong>in</strong>terest. MPOs and RTPAs may be able to quickly enter the site to seeimpacts on their areas of <strong>in</strong>terest. This guide also uses the more technical data and <strong>in</strong>formation for theirapplication to specific <strong>transportation</strong> impacts.Source: Compiled by Cambridge Systematics, Inc., 2012.CEC 7/2012 State-LevelGuidanceNationalResearchCouncil2012 State-LevelGuidanceVarious 2012 State-LevelGuidanceCEC 2012 On-l<strong>in</strong>eTool1-6 Cambridge Systematics, Inc.

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