addressing climate change adaptation in regional transportation plans
addressing climate change adaptation in regional transportation plans addressing climate change adaptation in regional transportation plans
illnesses due to air pollution resulting from wildfires, and exacerbation ofasthma, allergies, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and othercardiovascular diseases. Wildfire also threatens safety at the wildland-urbaninterface. With the increase in wildfire likelihood, more residents are likely tobe vulnerable to wildfire in the future, and additional strategies will need tobe developed to address this risk. Smoke management, especially the use ofprescribed burning as a fuel-reduction tool, should be coordinated with the airdistricts.AgricultureThe highest value agricultural product of the northernmost areas of theregion (Del Norte and Humboldt counties) is timber (California Farm BureauFederation, 2012). In addition to timber, other products include milk, nurseryproducts, and wine grapes. The southern two counties (Mendocino and Lake)produce wine grapes, valued at more than double any other crop.Each of the products from this region will be affected by climate changedifferently. Forests will experience changed seasonal patterns that may altermoisture and temperature regimes, both of which may affect growth rates.Further threatening timber production is that temperature and precipitationalong with management and invasive species (fuel load) will result in increasedfire risk in this region (see above).For wine grapes, the largest crop in the southern part of the region, climatecan affect productivity, as well as the quality of the grape for wine production.North Coast communities should collaborate closely with local agriculturalorganizations to best support and prepare for changes in this economic sector.Coastal DevelopmentThe region is relatively undeveloped on the coast and therefore will generallybe resilient as sea level rise occurs. Notable exceptions are the Arcata/Eureka/Fortuna area, which is in a coastal plain subject to flooding, and Crescent City,which is currently susceptible to tsunami. For example, Humboldt County isprojected to see an 18 percent increase in coastal inundation by 2100. Theearthen levees holding back the sea in many of these areas are at or nearcapacity. These communities should carefully assess the potential consequencesof these impacts.U.S. Highway 101 is a key transportation route and lifeline for all communitiesin Humboldt and Del Norte counties. In many areas, the roadbed is located ator below sea level and protected by aging shoreline protective structures (nearHumboldt Bay, for example). The highway corridor also crosses major riverAPG: UNDERSTANDING REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS PAGE 18
systems and estuaries, where bridged crossings will be particularly vulnerable toincreased erosion of support structures, and eventually, to flooding. State Route 1performs a similar function in rural Mendocino County. There too, the roadwayfaces future stress from coastal erosion and may be inundated in lower lying areas.Sea level rise is expected to affect vulnerable populations along the coast throughthe immediate effects of flooding and temporary displacement and longertermeffects of permanent displacement and disruption of local tourism. Somepopulations do not have the resources to prepare for, respond to, and recoverfrom disasters. These populations are vulnerable to temporary and permanentdisplacement, drowning, and property damage, as well as coastal erosion harmingrecreational activities, tourism, and the tourism industry.In addition to causing inundation of built structures and public safety hazards, sealevel rise can affect tourism. In 2000, over 7 percent of the region’s employmentwas dependent on coastal resources (NOEP, 2005), with tourism-based activitiesrepresenting the largest part of this percentage. Preparing for potential impactsof climate change means taking action to preserve the coastal ecosystems thatserve as the tourist attraction. From an ecological perspective, the estuaries atthe mouth of the Smith River, Humboldt Bay, and the mouth of the Eel River areof particular concern.Public Health, Socioeconomic, and Equity ImpactsExtreme heat events are less likely to occur in the North Coast region than inother parts of the state. When they do occur, vulnerable populations may beseverely affected because of a historic lack of adaptive capacity having to do withhistorically milder temperatures. For instance, “low air conditioner ownership”is found along the California coast. Humboldt County has “only medium airconditioner ownership (60-65 percent of the population)” (English et al., 2007).Humboldt County has moderately high proportions of populations eligible forenergy utility financial assistance programs (47 to 55 percent) (English et al., 2007).Households eligible for these programs are an indicator of potential impacts, asthese households may be more at risk of not using cooling appliances, such as airconditioning, due to associated energy costs. Del Norte County has a relativelyhigher poverty level (more than 23 percent), which suggests residents may nothave the material resources needed to prevent, respond, or recover from impacts.Populations that are isolated in some of the rural areas of this region and may nothave the access to care or means necessary to recognize impacts and/or evacuateare at increased risk for injuries and death from burns and smoke inhalation andheat-related illnesses. Mendocino County is one of the state’s counties with thehighest proportion of elderly living alone (English et al., 2007).PAGE 19APG: UNDERSTANDING REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS
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illnesses due to air pollution result<strong>in</strong>g from wildfires, and exacerbation ofasthma, allergies, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and othercardiovascular diseases. Wildfire also threatens safety at the wildland-urban<strong>in</strong>terface. With the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> wildfire likelihood, more residents are likely tobe vulnerable to wildfire <strong>in</strong> the future, and additional strategies will need tobe developed to address this risk. Smoke management, especially the use ofprescribed burn<strong>in</strong>g as a fuel-reduction tool, should be coord<strong>in</strong>ated with the airdistricts.AgricultureThe highest value agricultural product of the northernmost areas of theregion (Del Norte and Humboldt counties) is timber (California Farm BureauFederation, 2012). In addition to timber, other products <strong>in</strong>clude milk, nurseryproducts, and w<strong>in</strong>e grapes. The southern two counties (Mendoc<strong>in</strong>o and Lake)produce w<strong>in</strong>e grapes, valued at more than double any other crop.Each of the products from this region will be affected by <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>differently. Forests will experience <strong>change</strong>d seasonal patterns that may altermoisture and temperature regimes, both of which may affect growth rates.Further threaten<strong>in</strong>g timber production is that temperature and precipitationalong with management and <strong>in</strong>vasive species (fuel load) will result <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>creasedfire risk <strong>in</strong> this region (see above).For w<strong>in</strong>e grapes, the largest crop <strong>in</strong> the southern part of the region, <strong>climate</strong>can affect productivity, as well as the quality of the grape for w<strong>in</strong>e production.North Coast communities should collaborate closely with local agriculturalorganizations to best support and prepare for <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> this economic sector.Coastal DevelopmentThe region is relatively undeveloped on the coast and therefore will generallybe resilient as sea level rise occurs. Notable exceptions are the Arcata/Eureka/Fortuna area, which is <strong>in</strong> a coastal pla<strong>in</strong> subject to flood<strong>in</strong>g, and Crescent City,which is currently susceptible to tsunami. For example, Humboldt County isprojected to see an 18 percent <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> coastal <strong>in</strong>undation by 2100. Theearthen levees hold<strong>in</strong>g back the sea <strong>in</strong> many of these areas are at or nearcapacity. These communities should carefully assess the potential consequencesof these impacts.U.S. Highway 101 is a key <strong>transportation</strong> route and lifel<strong>in</strong>e for all communities<strong>in</strong> Humboldt and Del Norte counties. In many areas, the roadbed is located ator below sea level and protected by ag<strong>in</strong>g shorel<strong>in</strong>e protective structures (nearHumboldt Bay, for example). The highway corridor also crosses major riverAPG: UNDERSTANDING REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS PAGE 18