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Ministry of Commerce And Supplies - Enhanced Integrated ...

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N T I S2010Export Prospect: According to industry sources, the prospect <strong>of</strong> further increases in both exports andproduction is widely seen as very positive. Export prospect is basically in line with production prospect asmost <strong>of</strong> the production is exported.Index 2: World Market ConditionsTable 2.16Total World Export Value <strong>of</strong> Tea, 2004-2008 (US$1,000)2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20093,335,023 3,616,503 3,889,756 4,248,759 5,408,830 n/aWorld tea exports have grown annually by 12 per cent in recent years, with a slight nominal upward trend inaverage unit values.Market Access Conditions (Tariffs and NTBs): Overall, Nepal has favourable market access to most marketsbut few tariff advantages, with the main exception being the Indian market. India applies a 100 per cent MFNtariff on tea. Many major importers have zero MFN rates for tea, 18 so there is no advantage for Nepal. Thisincludes major importers such as EU, USA, Oman, and UAE. Russia applies a 20 per cent tariff and grantsduty-free access to Nepal, and similarly does Japan. These could, therefore, be interesting markets for directexports. Pakistan, one <strong>of</strong> the largest importers in the world, grants a 10,000 MT duty-free quota for SAPTALDCs (<strong>of</strong> which only Nepal and Bangladesh export tea).Major Competitors in World Market: Sri Lanka and Kenya are the main competitors in Nepal’s current orpotential export destinations, followed by China and India. Pakistan, for example, imports 63 per cent <strong>of</strong> itstea from Kenya alone.World Market Prospect: Overall, world market prospect is positive. World market prices for tea are volatile,but have shown an upward trend in recent years, except for a temporary but significant fall during the globaleconomic crisis in 2008/09. By the end <strong>of</strong> 2009 prices have reached their highest level since the mid 1980s.The World Bank forecasts a positive trend in prices in the long-term, partly due to increasing demand fromIndia.Figure 2.3 Tea Prices on World MarketsSource: World Bank, Global Economic Prospects 2009 (Commodity markets briefs)18Tariffs refer to black tea only.NEPAL TRADE INTEGRATION STRATEGY 2010BACKGROUND REPORT47

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