Top 20 - International Maritime Statistics Forum (IMSF)
Top 20 - International Maritime Statistics Forum (IMSF)
Top 20 - International Maritime Statistics Forum (IMSF)
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The Threat of Somali Piracy to Trade &<br />
Shipping<br />
<strong>International</strong> <strong>Maritime</strong> <strong>Statistics</strong> <strong>Forum</strong><br />
Oslo 22 May <strong>20</strong>12<br />
Wally Mandryk Lloyd’s List Intelligence
Outline<br />
•Somali Piracy Threat Area<br />
•Piracy Trends and Incidence Rates<br />
•Shipping Profiles Gulf of Aden, Arabian Sea and Indian Ocean<br />
(Fleet, Owners , Nationality and Deployment)<br />
•Key Energy Trade Dependencies – Crude Oil and LNG<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 2
Somali Piracy Threat Map – 2 Million Square Miles<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 3
Somali Piracy Incidents<br />
<strong>20</strong>09 <strong>20</strong>10 <strong>20</strong>11<br />
Attacks 217 219 236<br />
Hijackings 47 49 28<br />
Source IMB<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 4
Somali Piracy Threat Map – Shipping Activity<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 5
Transits By Vessel Type - <strong>20</strong>11<br />
18,000<br />
16,000<br />
14,000<br />
12,000<br />
10,000<br />
8,000<br />
6,000<br />
4,000<br />
2,000<br />
-<br />
Tanker Container Dry Bulk Gas General Cargo RORO Reefer Passenger<br />
No. Transits DWT Capacity<br />
3,000,000,000<br />
2,500,000,000<br />
2,000,000,000<br />
1,500,000,000<br />
1,000,000,000<br />
500,000,000<br />
-<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 6
Transits Through and Within The Threat Area - <strong>20</strong>11<br />
43446<br />
80%<br />
10574<br />
<strong>20</strong>%<br />
Passing Through<br />
Passing and Calling<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 7
Piracy Risk Threat – <strong>20</strong>11<br />
% Ratio<br />
Attacks 0.4% 1:229<br />
Hijackings 0.05% 1:1930<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 8
Transits by Flag - <strong>Top</strong> <strong>20</strong><br />
St. Vincent & Grenadines<br />
Italy<br />
Japan<br />
People's Republic of China<br />
United States of America<br />
Norwegian <strong>International</strong> Register<br />
Danish <strong>International</strong> Register<br />
Cyprus<br />
Germany<br />
United Kingdom<br />
Antigua & Barbuda<br />
Greece<br />
India<br />
Malta<br />
Bahamas<br />
Hong Kong<br />
Marshall Islands<br />
Republic of Singapore<br />
Liberia<br />
Panama<br />
0 <strong>20</strong>00 4000 6000 8000 10000 1<strong>20</strong>00<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 10
Transits By Owner Nationality - <strong>Top</strong> <strong>20</strong><br />
State of Qatar<br />
Iran<br />
Turkey<br />
Monaco<br />
Switzerland<br />
United Kingdom<br />
United States of America<br />
United Arab Emirates<br />
Taiwan<br />
Unknown<br />
Hong Kong<br />
India<br />
Republic of Singapore<br />
Republic of Korea<br />
People's Republic of China<br />
Norway<br />
Denmark<br />
Greece<br />
Japan<br />
Germany<br />
0 1000 <strong>20</strong>00 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 11
Transits by Owner - <strong>Top</strong> <strong>20</strong><br />
Bergesen Worldwide Limited (BW Group)<br />
United Arab Shipping Company (S.A.G.) (UASC)<br />
E.R. Schiffahrt GmbH & Cie KG<br />
Conti Holding GmbH & Company KG<br />
Reederei Claus-Peter Offen (GmbH & Company)<br />
China Shipping (Group) Company<br />
Ernst Komrowski Reederei<br />
Pacific <strong>International</strong> Lines (Private) Limited (PIL)<br />
Peter Dohle Schiffahrts-KG<br />
Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Limited ('K' Line)<br />
Sammy Ofer Group Monaco<br />
Cido Shipping (HK) Company Limited<br />
Qatar Liquefied Gas Company Limited (Qatargas)<br />
The Shipping Corporation of India Limited<br />
CMA CGM S.A.<br />
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)<br />
China Ocean Shipping (Group) Company (COSCO)<br />
Nippon Yusen Kaisha (NYK)<br />
Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Limited (MOL)<br />
A.P. Moller-Maersk Group<br />
0 500 1000 1500 <strong>20</strong>00 2500<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 12
Crude Oil Trade Transiting The Threat Area - <strong>20</strong>11<br />
• 983 Million Tonnes Crude Oil Transited the Area<br />
threatened by Somali Pirates<br />
•= 44 % of Global Seaborne Oil Volumes<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 13
Crude Oil Trade By Direction - <strong>20</strong>11<br />
770,233,065<br />
78%<br />
213,036,1<strong>20</strong><br />
22%<br />
East Of Suez<br />
West Of Suez<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 14
Crude Oil Trade By Vessel Size Range - <strong>20</strong>11<br />
900,000,000<br />
800,000,000<br />
700,000,000<br />
600,000,000<br />
500,000,000<br />
400,000,000<br />
300,000,000<br />
<strong>20</strong>0,000,000<br />
100,000,000<br />
-<br />
VLCC Suezmax Aframax Panamax<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 15
Seaborne Crude Oil Import Dependencies <strong>Top</strong> <strong>20</strong> – <strong>20</strong>11<br />
180,000,000<br />
160,000,000<br />
140,000,000<br />
1<strong>20</strong>,000,000<br />
100,000,000<br />
80,000,000<br />
60,000,000<br />
40,000,000<br />
<strong>20</strong>,000,000<br />
-<br />
98%<br />
78%<br />
60%<br />
82%<br />
24%<br />
77%<br />
68% 69%<br />
23% 19%<br />
45%<br />
67%<br />
30%<br />
15%<br />
100%<br />
<strong>20</strong>%<br />
38%<br />
53%<br />
73%<br />
1<strong>20</strong>%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
<strong>20</strong>%<br />
0%<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 16
<strong>Top</strong> 10 Seaborne Crude Oil Import Dependencies – <strong>20</strong>11<br />
Republic of Singapore<br />
Japan<br />
Republic of Korea<br />
India<br />
Tanzania<br />
Yemeni Republic<br />
Bangladesh<br />
Kenya<br />
Sri Lanka<br />
Pakistan<br />
77%<br />
78%<br />
82%<br />
98%<br />
100%<br />
100%<br />
100%<br />
100%<br />
100%<br />
100%<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 17
LNG Trade Transiting The Threat Area - <strong>20</strong>11<br />
• 90 Million Tonnes LNG Transited the Area<br />
threatened by Somali Pirates<br />
•= 42 % of Global Seaborne LNG Trade<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 18
LNG By Direction - <strong>20</strong>11<br />
35,231,379<br />
39%<br />
54,518,041<br />
61%<br />
East Of Suez<br />
West Of Suez<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 19
Seaborne LNG Import Dependencies – <strong>20</strong>11<br />
25,000,000<br />
<strong>20</strong>,000,000<br />
15,000,000<br />
10,000,000<br />
5,000,000<br />
-<br />
29%<br />
90%<br />
44%<br />
99%<br />
42%<br />
96%<br />
67%<br />
27%<br />
<strong>20</strong>%<br />
44%<br />
22%<br />
63%<br />
55%<br />
49%<br />
25%<br />
15% 9%<br />
36% 36% 30% 35%<br />
14%<br />
5%<br />
1<strong>20</strong>%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
<strong>20</strong>%<br />
0%<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com <strong>20</strong>
<strong>Top</strong> 10 Export Countries – <strong>20</strong>11<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
<strong>20</strong><br />
10<br />
0<br />
State of<br />
Qatar<br />
Sultanate of<br />
Oman<br />
Yemeni<br />
Republic<br />
United Arab<br />
Emirates<br />
Arab<br />
Republic of<br />
Egypt<br />
Nigeria Norway Trinidad &<br />
Tobago<br />
Malaysia Algeria<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 21
Conclusions<br />
•Unlikely That Threat can be eliminated at sea given the vast area<br />
of piracy operations combined with the level of high shipping<br />
activity<br />
•Majority of potential shipping targets operate within the threat<br />
area rather than just transit en route<br />
•Mismatch between legal flag state responsibilities and ability to<br />
protect their “national” fleets<br />
•Contrary to popular perception Far Eastern Asian shipping and<br />
trade interests have greatest overall exposure to Somali shipping<br />
threats<br />
•Significant Exposure of Individual European and Far Eastern<br />
Shipowners<br />
lloydslistintelligence.com 22
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