Systematic review, meta-analysis and economic modelling of ...
Systematic review, meta-analysis and economic modelling of ...
Systematic review, meta-analysis and economic modelling of ...
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DOI: 10.3310/hta17010 Health Technology Assessment 2013 Vol. 17 No. 1st<strong>and</strong>ard based on HsTnT, as well as a st<strong>and</strong>ard TnT assay. The sensitivity <strong>and</strong> specificity <strong>of</strong> HsTnT were95.0% <strong>and</strong> 61.5%, respectively, compared with a reference st<strong>and</strong>ard based on the st<strong>and</strong>ard assay, <strong>and</strong>were 94.3% <strong>and</strong> 69.6%, respectively, compared with a reference st<strong>and</strong>ard based on the high-sensitivitytroponin assay. These findings suggest that the higher sensitivity <strong>and</strong> lower specificity <strong>of</strong> high-sensitivityassays compared with st<strong>and</strong>ard troponin assays are not simply due to different assays being used for indextest <strong>and</strong> reference st<strong>and</strong>ard, but represent a genuine improvement in early sensitivity at the expense <strong>of</strong>specificity for a final diagnosis <strong>of</strong> MI. The lower specificity <strong>of</strong> high-sensitivity assays may be due to a greaterability to detect myocardial injury secondary to other clinical conditions. 83,84Description <strong>of</strong> diagnostic studies <strong>of</strong> heart-type fatty acid-binding proteinWe identified 17 diagnostic studies 49,50,57–59,63,64,67,68,72–78,82 <strong>of</strong> H-FABP for inclusion in the <strong>review</strong>. Table 9shows the population characteristics <strong>and</strong> Table 10 shows the index <strong>and</strong> reference st<strong>and</strong>ard testcharacteristics. As with the troponin studies, reporting <strong>of</strong> exclusion criteria were variable, with somestudies excluding patients with diagnostic ECG changes. The prevalence <strong>of</strong> MI varied from 15% to 73%<strong>and</strong> was relatively high, suggesting some selection <strong>of</strong> higher risk cases. The time from symptom onsetto sampling varied from 1.2 hours (mean) to 5.9 hours (median). Around half <strong>of</strong> the studies evaluatedqualitative assays, most specifying that this was the CardioDetect assay with a diagnostic threshold <strong>of</strong>7 µg/l. The threshold used by quantitative assay was variable. Most <strong>of</strong> the studies used reference st<strong>and</strong>ardsbased on a st<strong>and</strong>ard modern troponin assay, using the 10% CV or 99th percentile as a diagnosticthreshold, although not all gave details <strong>of</strong> the assay <strong>and</strong> threshold.Quality assessment <strong>of</strong> diagnostic studies <strong>of</strong> heart-type fatty acid-binding proteinFigure 14 shows the quality assessments for studies <strong>of</strong> H-FABP, while Figure 15 shows the methodologicalquality summary. The overall quality <strong>and</strong> the issues raised were similar to those for the studies <strong>of</strong> troponin.Analysis <strong>of</strong> diagnostic studies <strong>of</strong> heart-type fatty acid-binding proteinFigure 16 shows the <strong>meta</strong>-<strong>analysis</strong> <strong>of</strong> the studies <strong>of</strong> quantitative H-FABP <strong>and</strong> Figure 17 shows the<strong>meta</strong>-<strong>analysis</strong> <strong>of</strong> qualitative assays. The summary estimates <strong>of</strong> sensitivity <strong>and</strong> specificity were 81% (95%predictive interval 50–95%) <strong>and</strong> 80% (95% predictive interval 26–98%), respectively, for the quantitativeassays <strong>and</strong> 68% (95% predictive interval 11–97%) <strong>and</strong> 92% (95% predictive interval 20–100%),respectively, for the qualitative assays.Description <strong>of</strong> diagnostic studies <strong>of</strong> ischaemia-modified albuminWe identified four studies 48,61,68,70 that were eligible for inclusion in the <strong>review</strong> (Tables 11 <strong>and</strong> 12). Anumber <strong>of</strong> other studies <strong>of</strong> IMA were excluded because the reference st<strong>and</strong>ard was ACS, based on clinicalcriteria, <strong>and</strong> cases with MI were not reported separately. Two studies restricted recruitment to patientspresenting within 3 70 <strong>and</strong> 8 hours 61 <strong>of</strong> symptom onset. Only one study 48 reported the median time delayfrom symptom onset. Thresholds <strong>of</strong> between 75 <strong>and</strong> 91 were used for IMA. Three studies used a modernst<strong>and</strong>ard troponin assay for the reference st<strong>and</strong>ard, whereas the older study from Christensen et al. 61inevitably used an older troponin reference st<strong>and</strong>ard with a higher threshold for positivity.Quality assessment <strong>of</strong> diagnostic studies <strong>of</strong> ischaemia-modified albuminFigure 18 shows the quality assessments for studies <strong>of</strong> IMA, whereas Figure 19 shows the methodologicalquality summary.Analysis <strong>of</strong> diagnostic studies <strong>of</strong> ischaemia-modified albuminFigure 20 shows the results <strong>of</strong> <strong>meta</strong>-<strong>analysis</strong> <strong>of</strong> studies <strong>of</strong> IMA. The summary estimates <strong>of</strong> sensitivity<strong>and</strong> specificity were 77% (95% predictive interval 19–98%) <strong>and</strong> 39% (95% predictive interval 2–95%),respectively.Description <strong>of</strong> diagnostic studies <strong>of</strong> myoglobinWe identified 13 diagnostic studies 18,49,52,57,58,63,64,68,69,71,74,77,79 <strong>of</strong> myoglobin for inclusion in the <strong>review</strong>.Table 13 shows the population characteristics <strong>and</strong> Table 14 shows the index <strong>and</strong> reference st<strong>and</strong>ard© Queen’s Printer <strong>and</strong> Controller <strong>of</strong> HMSO 2013. This work was produced by Goodacre et al. under the terms <strong>of</strong> a commissioning contract issued by the Secretary <strong>of</strong> Statefor Health. This issue may be freely reproduced for the purposes <strong>of</strong> private research <strong>and</strong> study <strong>and</strong> extracts (or indeed, the full report) may be included in pr<strong>of</strong>essional journalsprovided that suitable acknowledgement is made <strong>and</strong> the reproduction is not associated with any form <strong>of</strong> advertising. Applications for commercial reproduction should beaddressed to: NIHR Journals Library, National Institute for Health Research, Evaluation, Trials <strong>and</strong> Studies Coordinating Centre, Alpha House, University <strong>of</strong> Southampton SciencePark, Southampton SO16 7NS, UK.35